Project Verde - Treasury Contents


7  Events following the collapse of Verde and the emergence of the capital shortfall

281. This section summarises developments involving Co-op Bank and the Lloyds Banking Group divestment since the revelation of Co-op Bank's capital shortfall in June 2013. It also considers whether the case of Co-op Bank provides any lessons for the mutual model.

Recapitalisation and changes to governance

282. Following the revelation of the capital shortfall, significant changes were made to Co-op Bank's governance. A number of new members with considerable banking experience were appointed to the Board from May to October 2013, including a new Chairman, Richard Pym, former Chief Executive of Alliance and Leicester plc, and a new Chief Executive, Niall Booker, formerly of HSBC and with over 30 years' experience in retail and corporate banking. Barry Tootell and Paul Flowers resigned in May and June 2013 respectively. Peter Marks retired in May 2013, as had been previously arranged in 2012. Len Wardle resigned in November 2013. By December 2013, the majority of Co-op Bank's directors who had been in place at the start of the year, including all of those from the Co-op Group board, had resigned.[478] Co-op Group retains the power, however, to appoint two members to the Co-op Bank board.[479]

283. Co-op Bank's new management team set about designing a recapitalisation plan. Initial plans were drawn up in June 2013 and, following lengthy negotiations, a rescue was finally agreed between Co-op Bank, retail investor groups and the regulators in November 2013.[480] The plan, implemented in December 2013, saw large numbers of retail bondholders written down in a 'bail-in', an injection of funds by two large hedge funds, and the group's stake in the bank reduced to 30 per cent.[481] Additional conduct redress losses uncovered in March 2014 required an additional capital injection of £400m by institutional investors in May 2014, which reduced Co-op Group's stake further to 20 per cent.[482]

284. Sir Christopher Kelly's report noted:

    The new management [of Co-op Bank] have taken positive steps towards reforming risk governance, including a reorganisation of reporting lines and some changes in personnel. Several interviewees told the Review that the Bank has been rebuilding the Risk Management function almost from scratch.[483]

And, on Co-op Bank's outdated IT, Sir Christopher said that the new management was "now addressing a number of issues that should have been dealt with some years ago".[484]

285. Co-op Bank's interim financial report for the first half of 2014 showed considerable improvements to the bank's financial position. Compared with the end of 2013, the bank's Common Equity Tier 1 capital ratio rose from 7.2 per cent to 11.5 per cent, and its liquidity position improved.[485] The bank's loss before tax—excluding the effects of the bank's May 2014 capital raising—was £75.8 million, compared to £844.6 million in the first half of 2013.[486]

Lessons for the mutual model?

286. Co-op Bank was not itself a mutual firm. But it was wholly-owned by the mutual Co-operative Group. As such it shared some of the features of its parent. As has been described, it was afflicted by the group's governance structure. And, in common with all mutuals, it had no access to the public equity markets—its only source of capital was retained earnings, either from its own business or from other Co-op businesses via injections from the group.

287. The Committee asked a number of witnesses whether what happened at Co-op Bank reflected a weakness in the mutual model, or weaknesses particular to Co-op Group. Witnesses agreed that the problems in many areas were particular to Co-op. Andrew Bailey told us:

    I think the governance issues were particular to the Co-op, yes. I do not see those sorts of issues in building societies.[487]

Lord Myners also believed that the issues he had uncovered with the wider Co-op Group were "quite specific to the size and complexity of the Co-op".[488] David Anderson did not see "a read-across about the constitutional status", and furthermore felt that the lessons from the case of Co-op Bank "would probably apply to a proprietary bank just as much as they would apply to a mutual".[489] He added:

    I think that in every sector there are businesses that do well and businesses that make mistakes, and I think it is clear that in this case mistakes have been made. I fundamentally disagree with anyone who says that undermines the financial mutual model.[490]

Sir Christopher Kelly prefaced his report by saying:

    My comments on governance should not be interpreted as a criticism of the co-operative model or of co-operative principles and values, for which I have a great deal of respect. It is the particular method of governance adopted by the Co-operative Group and Bank which in my view has manifestly failed, not the cooperative ideal in general. The current governance structure in the Co-operative Group, which dates only from 2001, is not the only way of putting co-operative principles into practice.[491]

288. Indeed most witnesses were supportive of the mutual model in general, and broadly positive about its future. Despite a stinging assessment of Co-op Group's governance and business management over recent years, Lord Myners told us:

    I hope we will see more mutuals and I hope we will see that in financial services and in other areas. It is a wonderful model for energising people and drawing people together around a common purpose.[492]

Peter Marks gave a downbeat assessment of the future of the mutual model in the "high-volume, low-margin" retail banking market, telling the Committee that "[t]he cost of regulation has escalated, as have the cost of capital and the amount of capital that a bank now has to keep in reserve". This meant it was "going to be difficult going forwards for a mutual to be a really serious competitor in the retail banking market".[493] But other witnesses pointed out that mutual financial firms which had stuck to the traditional model had fared well over recent years. David Anderson told us:

    I believe that building societies that have stayed closer to their traditional approach have remained more secure, and I believe that has turned out to be the best model. That is evident from those that now remain societies and from what happened to the societies that demutualised and chose a more leveraged model. […]

    I believe that successful mutuals are a big part and an important part of our financial landscape and will continue to be so.[494]

Andrew Bailey agreed:

    Some [building societies] essentially hunkered down—a phrase they tend to use—in this market and said, "This is really not a business that we can prosper in, but we are here for the long run because we are mutuals". I think they can do this because a mutual can exist on a lower rate of return than an institution in the commercial sector. It is shielded in that sense. They took that strategy, and they are here today and doing pretty well.[495]

This contrasts with the example of Britannia, which, as Mr Bailey told us, "expanded [its] lending activities into outside the traditional prime mortgage market that building societies occupied".[496]

289. Britannia's expansion outside traditional building society activity came despite its lack of the necessary risk management skills and, crucially, the ability to raise capital. A number of witnesses acknowledged the latter as a key vulnerability of the mutual model. Lord Myners told us:

    [A] conventional PLC can always turn to its shareholders for a rights issue and can always raise more capital. A mutual cannot do that and, therefore, a mutual has to be run very conservatively.[497]

He added that this made it "folly in the extreme for the Co-op even to contemplate acquiring [Verde]".[498] Peter Marks said that Co-op's inability to raise capital had been "a major problem with why the bank is where it is".[499] Mr Bailey agreed that the more generic issues around the position of mutuals were "all to do with the constraints on raising […] core tier 1 capital":

    This comes back to the risks that Britannia and a few others were taking. This restriction on the ability to raise core tier 1 capital inevitably must have an effect on what risks they take and the way in which they manage risk. Those two things must be related.[500]

Mr Bailey noted that the regulator now took a firm's mutual status into account as part of its day-to-day supervision:

    We have a team of supervisors on the building society side who are specialist building society regulators. They do not, on the whole, do commercial banks in the broader sense. What that means is that they do understand many of the particular challenges. We also have what we call a building society source book, which is a somewhat bespoke approach towards supervising building societies.[501]

He also confirmed that this 'source book' was "entirely new" and "brought in after all these experiences".[502]

290. The problems at Co-op over the last few years are not an indictment of the mutual model. The problems of Co-op were, on the whole, particular to Co-op. Other mutual firms have come through the financial crisis well.

291. The inability easily to raise capital is, however, a marked vulnerability in the mutual model. The PRA now claims to take the particular features of mutual firms into account as part of its approach to supervision. This is an important change of approach.

The Lloyds divestment

292. Lloyds TSB and HBOS merged at the height of the financial crisis, amid serious concerns that HBOS would collapse without some form of external support. In the event, even this merger proved insufficient—the enlarged banking group required an injection of £20.5 billion in taxpayer funds.

293. The merger of these two already-large banking institutions resulted in a significant concentration in the UK banking market. In response to the state aid, the Verde divestment aimed to remove the resulting competitive distortions and inject some competition back into the market.

294. In its final report in September 2011, the ICB had recommended that, to have the "best possible chance of becoming a strong, effective challenger", the entity resulting from the divestment should have at least a 6 per cent share of the personal current account (PCA) market.[503] The ICB's final report set out the reasons behind this:

    [T]he entity resulting from the divestiture will […] need to be large enough to exert a competitive constraint on the large incumbents. Evidence from the previous decade shows that small banks (below 5 per cent PCA market share) on average have grown only slowly, with an average annual growth in market share of 0.07 per cent. Banks with a PCA market share of between 5 per cent and 12 per cent, by contrast, grew significantly more quickly, with an average annual growth in market share of 0.34 per cent (although given the relatively small number of challengers, this number is drawn from a small sample). […] With a PCA market share of 4.6 per cent, Verde is on the borderline of sub-scale banks that have failed to grow significantly in the past, and is smaller than most previous challengers over the past decade as measured by PCA market share.

    A larger entity would benefit from greater economies of scale, giving it lower cost which could be passed on to customers in the form of better prices. […]

    In addition, there is a significant risk that Verde's market share will fall further as it may suffer customer attrition from the divestiture process. […]

    Given these factors, there is a real danger that Verde will fall back into the range of small banks that have not exerted a strong competitive constraint in the past, if it remains at its current size.[504]

295. The collapse of Co-op Bank's bid for the Verde branches dealt a blow to this ambition: the combination of Verde and Co-op Bank would have met the 6 per cent target—creating an institution with almost 7 per cent of the PCA market—whereas Verde alone did not.[505] Following Co-op Bank's withdrawal from the process, Lloyds announced that it would embark on its fallback option of an IPO:

    The Group now intends to divest Verde through an Initial Public Offering (IPO), having maintained this option throughout the process in order to ensure best value for our shareholders and certainty for our customers and colleagues. […]

    The Group continues to make good progress in the creation of Verde as a stand-alone bank. A strong management team is in place and we have made good progress in creating segregated IT systems on the proven Lloyds Banking Group platform and in building the necessary corporate functions to support front-office colleagues, branches and operational sites.

    Detailed plans are in place for a rebranding of the business as TSB which will be visible on the High Street during the summer of this year, at which point the TSB Bank (Verde) will operate as a separate business within Lloyds Banking Group.[506]

296. The relevant Lloyds branches were rebranded as TSB on 9 September 2013, and the first tranche of shares was issued in an IPO on 20 June 2014.[507] But, as at June 2014, TSB had only a 4.2 per cent share of the PCA market, still some way short of the 6 per cent the ICB recommended.[508] Moreover, TSB does not expect to reach the 6 per cent target for four to five years.[509] In July 2014, the Competition and Markets Authority (CMA) concluded that:

    TSB has a relatively small size and it is unclear at this stage what its overall impact on competition will be.[510]

297. The Parliamentary Commission on Banking Standards published its final report in June 2013, two months after the collapse of the Verde divestment. The planned divestment of a number of RBS branches to Santander UK had also collapsed in October 2012.[511] The Commission concluded in its final report:

    Regardless of whether these divestments can be put back on track, it looks increasingly unlikely that a significant new challenger bank will soon emerge from them. Additionally, given the delays in the divestments—which now most likely will take until at least 2014 to be completed—it will not be possible to assess whether they have fundamentally altered competition in the sector until 2017 or 2018 at the earliest.[512]

The Commission suggested a number of steps that should be taken in addition to the divestments to increase competition in the UK banking market, including:

·  That the PRA be given a secondary statutory objective to lessen the risk that it might neglect competition considerations. This was a concern given the potential for prudential requirements to act as a barrier to entry and to distort competition between large incumbent firms and new entrants.[513] The PRA was subsequently granted such an objective in the Financial Services (Banking Reform) Act 2013.[514]

·  That the FCA commit to embedding a robust pro-competition culture within itself, which looked to competition as "a primary mechanism to improve standards and consumer outcomes". The FCA expressed its commitment to this aim.[515]

·  That the FCA consult on a requirement to publish a range of statistical measures to enable consumers to judge the quality of service and price transparency provided by different banks.[516] The FCA agreed to publish a call for evidence inviting ideas on potential indicators of firm and product quality, before deciding which indicators to take forward.[517]

·  That the Competition and Markets Authority (CMA) carry out a market study of the retail and SME banking sector. This study was to be completed on a timetable consistent with making a market investigation reference in respect of the UK banking market, should the CMA so decide, before the end of 2015.[518] In July 2014, the CMA announced its provisional conclusions: that the SME and PCA markets did not appear to be functioning in the way it would expect of effective competitive markets, leading to poorer outcomes for customers and the wider economy. On this basis, the CMA's provisional decision was that a market investigation reference should be made in respect of both sectors. Following consultation, it will announce its final decision later this year.[519]

298. The Commission also welcomed the revised approach to authorising new entrant banks, announced by the FSA in March 2013, and adopted by its successor regulators thereafter. These reforms would ensure that the PRA would require start-up banks to hold proportionately less capital than major incumbents, that automatic new bank liquidity requirement premiums would no longer be enforced, and that capital requirements for rapidly growing new banks would rise gradually, so that they would not be required to operate on the same basis as incumbent firms for three to five years. The Commission considered these reforms "a long overdue correction of the bias against market entrants, who are, at least initially, unlikely to be of systemic importance".[520] The Commission concluded, however, that the implementation of these reforms would require careful monitoring, and that "the regulator should report to Parliament on progress in two years' time".[521]

299. The FSA's barriers to entry review in March 2013 noted that 39 new banks had been authorised by the FSA between 2006 and 2012.[522] A review by the PRA and FCA in July 2014 on the effect of the barriers to entry reforms reported:

    In the twelve months following the changes, the PRA authorised five new banks and there has been a substantial increase in the number of firms discussing the possibility of becoming a bank with the regulators. In the twelve months to 31 March 2014 the regulators held pre-application meetings with over 25 potential applicants. These firms have a range of different business models from retail and wholesale banking to FCA-regulated Payment Services firms who are looking to enter the banking market and offer deposits and lending to their current client base (including small SMEs) and others who are proposing to offer a mixture of SME or mortgage lending funded by retail and SME deposits.

    The review found that the new 'mobilisation' option (where authorisation is granted when a firm has met key essential elements but with a restriction on their activities due to some areas still requiring completion) has been helpful for applicant firms that may previously have faced challenges in raising capital or investing in expensive IT systems without the certainty of being authorised. In the twelve months to 31 March 2014, three of the five newly authorised banks used the mobilisation option, and a number of firms in the pre-application stage have also shown an interest in this route.

    Capital and liquidity requirements for new entrants are now lower than before, but are set against a requirement for a firm to show the regulators that it has a clear recovery and resolution plan in place in the event of it getting into difficulty in the future. These changes are a real reduction in the barriers to entry, and now mean that the minimum amount of initial capital required by a new entrant bank is £1m compared to £5m under the previous regime.[523]

300. One of the most significant consequences of Co-op Bank's near-collapse, from a public policy perspective, was the collapse of Lloyds Banking Group's planned divestment. Co-op Bank's withdrawal forced Lloyds to resort to its fallback option of an Initial Public Offering. The result is a new bank—TSB—which, not having an existing banking presence of its own, consists solely of the business divested by Lloyds. Accordingly, it has a personal current account market share not of 7 per cent, but of 4.2 per cent. There is a risk that a bank of this size might struggle to grow significantly and to act as a true challenger in the market. This is not a judgement on TSB or its management, but reflects an observation of the Independent Commission on Banking that the entity resulting from Verde should have a market share of at least 6 per cent to have the best chance of becoming an effective challenger bank.

301. The Verde divestment alone was never likely to be enough to inject sufficient competition into the UK banking market, which is the best way of improving consumer outcomes. The Treasury Committee, repeatedly, and also the Parliamentary Commission on Banking Standards, have both advocated measures to increase competition.

302. The Committee welcomes the news that there has been a substantial recent increase in the number of firms discussing the possibility of becoming a bank with the regulators. However, we have yet to see an increase in the number of new entrants. The regulators will report to Parliament on progress in a year's time.



478   The Co-operative Bank plc, 'Annual report and accounts 2013', pages 33-34 Back

479   Sir Christopher Kelly, 'Failings in management and governance', (30 April 2014), paragraph 13.35 Back

480   The Co-operative Bank plc, 'The Co-operative Group announces Recapitalisation Plan for The Co-operative Bank', 4 November 2013 Back

481   The Co-operative Bank plc, 'Confirmation of scheme sanction', 18 December 2013 Back

482   The Co-operative Bank plc, 'Results of Capital Raising', 28 May 2014; The Guardian, 'Co-op Group stake in bank expected to shrink to 20% after rescue fundraising', 9 May 2014 Back

483   Sir Christopher Kelly, 'Failings in management and governance', (30 April 2014), paragraph 6.8 Back

484   Ibid. paragraph 14.30 Back

485   The Co-operative Bank plc, Interim Financial Report 2014, (21 August 2014), page 7-8 Back

486   Ibid. page 9 Back

487   Q 1971 Back

488   Oral evidence taken on 7 May 2014, HC (2013-14) 1265, Q 61 Back

489   Q 1035 Back

490   Q 1034 Back

491   Sir Christopher Kelly, 'Failings in management and governance', (30 April 2014), paragraph 1.6 Back

492   Oral evidence taken on 7 May 2014, HC (2013-14) 1265, Q 61 Back

493   Q 475 Back

494   Qq 1034, 1039 Back

495   Q 1929 Back

496   Q 1927 Back

497   Oral evidence taken on 7 May 2014, HC (2013-14) 1265, Q 46 Back

498   IbidBack

499   Q 474 Back

500   Q 1971 Back

501   Q 1972 Back

502   IbidBack

503   Independent Commission on Banking, 'Final Report', September 2011, paragraph 8.25 Back

504   Independent Commission on Banking, 'Final Report', September 2011, paragraphs 8.22-8.25 Back

505   The Co-operative Group, 'Lloyds Banking Group Announcement', 19 July 2012; Q 1982 Back

506   Lloyds Banking Group, 'Lloyds Banking Group update on EC mandated business disposal (Project Verde)', 24 April 2013 Back

507   Lloyds Banking Group, 'TSB Banking Group plc IPO: Announcement of Offer Price', 20 June 2014  Back

508   TSB Banking Group plc, 'Results for the six months to 30 June 2014', page 4 Back

509   Reuters, 'Lloyds Bank launches TSB share sale to create new UK lender', 27 May 2014 Back

510   Competition and Markets Authority, 'Personal Current Accounts Market Study Update', paragraph 2.22 Back

511   Financial Times, 'Santander pulls the plug on RBS deal', 12 October 2012 Back

512   Parliamentary Commission on Banking Standards, 'Changing banking for good', HC 175-I, paragraph 66 Back

513   Ibid. paragraph 212 Back

514   Financial Services (Banking Reform) Act 2013, Section 130 Back

515   Parliamentary Commission on Banking Standards, 'Changing banking for good', HC 175-I, paragraph 214 Back

516   Ibid. paragraph 70 Back

517   Financial Conduct Authority, 'The FCA's response to the Parliamentary Commission on Banking Standards', October 2013, page 33 Back

518   Parliamentary Commission on Banking Standards, 'Changing banking for good', HC 175-I, paragraph 68 Back

519   Competition and Markets Authority, 'Personal current accounts and small business banking not working well for customers', 18 July 2014 Back

520   Parliamentary Commission on Banking Standards, 'Changing banking for good', HC 175-I, paragraph 51 Back

521   Ibid. paragraph 52 Back

522   Financial Services Authority, 'A review of requirements for firms entering into or expanding in the banking sector', March 2013, Annex 2, pages 1-2  Back

523   Prudential Regulation Authority, 'News Release - Prudential Regulation Authority and Financial Conduct Authority publish review of barriers to entry for new banks', 7 July 2014 Back


 
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Prepared 23 October 2014