6 The way forward
The priority for action
79. While a number of witnesses acknowledged
the case in principle against proprietary trading by banks, most
recommended against taking early action to attempt a prohibition.
Many of them questioned the benefits that would result, or warned
of the scale of the definitional challenge. Sir John Vickers stressed
that he saw few benefits from adding such a measure to the existing
ring-fence plans:
I believe that ring-fencing gains not all, but many,
of the merits that the Volcker proposal seeks to achieve. Seeking
to add Volcker from the outset would add cost and complexity,
and could add to uncertainty in undesirable ways.[119]
Bill Winters said:
I do not reach the same conclusions as Paul Volcker
does, that proprietary trading should be an area of particular
focus. I certainly don't agree that the Volcker rule, which was
not primarily a cultural tool, but was primarily a financial stability
tool, is the most effective way to achieve the objectives that
he, quite correctly, set out.[120]
[...] I think the extraordinary focus on proprietary trading is
not without relevance, but is misplaced in terms of prioritisations.[121]
The FSA said:
In our view, the ICB took a sensible approach to
addressing the issues that can be caused by proprietary trading
and a properly designed ring-fence can deliver an appropriate
degree of insulation of core banking services while conflicts
of interest can be addressed through systems and controls and
conduct rules. It is not clear that the addition of a Volcker
rule on top of a strengthened ring-fence, will bring further benefits
in terms of resolvability. It also seems likely that legislating
and then implementing both structural changes in tandem would
prove very complex.[122]
The Chancellor of the Exchequer argued:
I do not think it is necessary. We have good reforms
now to the structure of our banking industry, and I do not think
that we need to supplement them; we need to implement them. I
would say that that should be the priority. Engaging in a whole
new set of reforms, which would take a long time to legislate
for and to implement, not least because there are implementation
issues as the Americans are finding out, would distract attention
from the primary task in hand, which is to get the reforms that
are agreed through and implemented.[123]
80. Martin Taylor took a somewhat different view:
I don't think a prop trading ban is necessary. [...]
I don't think it's a bad idea. I just don't think it will make
a huge amount of difference; I certainly don't think that it will
make a big difference to financial stability. [...] If I favour
it, I favour it very modestly. If I were a member of this Commission
and other members were very strongly in favour of it, I would
not try to stop it. It does not seem to me a mistake-certainly
not a bad mistake-but it is not something that I would be proposing.[124]
81. Some other witnesses were more favourable
to action, but they nevertheless made clear that they did not
believe this to be a high priority. Asked whether the UK should
have a Volcker Rule, Douglas Flint responded "I do not see
any reason why one could not".[125]
However, HSBC's written evidence stated:
As an effective ring-fence should protect the retail
activities, having gone down the ring-fence route, it is difficult
to see what additional practical benefits would arise from a total
prohibition on proprietary trading, unless there are now concerns
about the systemic importance of the wholesale activities to be
contained in the non ring-fenced bank. Any conclusion that this
is the case would logically re-open a discussion about the positioning
of the ring-fence so that all economically-critical activities,
whether wholesale or retail, could be protected from proprietary
trading.
Asked whether a prohibition on proprietary trading
would be in the public interest, Sir David Walker, Chairman of
Barclays, responded favourably:
I would not, on the face of it, see a problem with
that, because the market-making activity and the proprietary trading
activities that we would defend are designed to promote, in the
interest of our clients, their ability to undertake flow business
with us to hedge whatever exposure they want to hedge on in reasonable
terms, which would not be available to them if they were not a
market maker in the market. If we agree on that proposition, as
I believe we do, from your conversation, I don't have a difficulty
with the proposition you make.[126]
However, Barclays' written evidence suggested that
this support was conditional on a prohibition being limited only
to stand-alone proprietary trading desks:
Our position was, and still is, supportive of a prohibition,
providing that the definition of proprietary trading is suitably
narrow and concise. More specifically, we support a prohibition
on proprietary trading desks that are established by a bank for
the specific purpose of trading for the firm's own account. These
desks tend to be set-up with segregated capital and with separate
teams of people whose compensation structure mirrors those of
hedge fund managers, rather than other traders within the bank,
and have minimal or no interaction with client business. These
"stand-alone" proprietary traders typically sit apart
from traders who serve clients as a part of steps taken to address
the potential for conflicts of interest. A wider definition could
bring considerable limitations.[127]
82. Martin Taylor commented on this type of conditional
support:
Many of the banksBarclays among themhave,
I believe, said publicly that they do not do that kind of thing
anymore. That certainly gels and chimes with Barclays' support
for the idea of a prohibition. What I think the banks are talking
about is that they are abandoning specific proprietary desks,
or internal hedge funds, where you have people coming in every
morning and, irrespective of what the bank's position is elsewhere
or what the customer flows are, simply saying, "We like the
yen; let's buy the six-month position and go hard on it."
It is very easy to tell the banks not to do that
and it is easy to police it. What is not easy to police, of course,
is the banks building up positions that are expressive of a proprietary
view by the way in which they build their trading books.[128]
83. In view of the fact that one of the main
objections to a prohibition related to the uncertainty about whether
a workable definition of proprietary trading could be found, a
number of witnesses suggested delaying any decision in the UK
until the efforts of other countries that are proceeding with
a proprietary trading ban can be properly evaluated. Andy Haldane
said:
I would like to take time to see how the US experience
pans out with their Volcker rule. Down the line, if we have a
review of Vickers in four or five years' time, as you proposed
in your earlier report, we might see whether imposing the Volcker
rule on top is a practical proposition.[129]
Referring to our proposals for periodic independent
reviews of the effectiveness of the ring-fence and the case for
full structural separation, Sir John Vickers suggested that "This
might be a good topic for the first of ... [these] reviews [...]
because I believe that these are really very difficult and vexing
questions".[130]
Lloyds Banking Group said:
it is reasonable (as suggested by the PCBS) to conduct
reviews into the effectiveness of the legislation after a suitable
period of time has elapsed, and of the relevant banking groups
internal controls and compliance, risk management and conflicts
of interests systems. If these reviews find that the ring fencing
reforms are not meeting the objectives of the legislation or that
the internal measures put in place by the groups are not sufficient
to identify and restrict risk, then it would be at that stage
that further measures could be designed to address any shortcomings
identified.[131]
HSBC recommended that any future consideration of
proprietary trading should be considered alongside other elements
of the design of the ring-fence:
given that the ring-fence is intended to prevent
contagion from non-core activities, any requirement for a prospective
review to consider the possible case for a prohibition of proprietary
trading should be part and parcel of a more general review of
the effectiveness of ring-fencing, the appropriateness of the
location of the ring fence, and the sustainability of critical
business activities and infrastructure across both the ring-fenced
and non ring-fenced banks.[132]
84. Bill Winters set out the arguments between
acting now against proprietary trading and waiting:
The argument for now would be that there's enough
uncertainty surrounding the operation of UK banks today that it's
better to get the bad news out now than to have a longer period
of uncertainty, with the prospect of bad news down the road. Clarity
is a good thing; it's a good objective. British banks need to
be able to have access to capital markets to properly capitalise
themselves and to serve their customers. Clarity is good, and
that would argue for now.
But since I don't think that the Volcker rule is
a particularly helpful tool for our economy and for the regulator
to impose, I would suggest we wait, because we may change our
mind. Whatever we think today, we may have a different view a
year, two years or five years from now, especially having benefited
from whatever experience the Americans have. I think the Europeans
will have a similar experience as they try to introduce the Liikanen
proposals. [...][133]
He concluded by saying "on balance, and recognising
my bias against the Volcker rule as a practical matter, I'll say
waiting is better."[134]
However, Martin Taylor pointed out another argument for not waiting,
namely that "if you are going to do it, the time to do it
is when the banks say that they are not doing it anyway."[135]
85. Some witnesses discussed the possibility
of legislating now to give regulators a reserve power to bring
in a Volcker rule, should current controls prove inadequate to
contain proprietary trading over time. Sir John Vickers said:
In the long term, I would be open minded. One simply
does not know how these things will develop. If enshrining a reserve
power in statute at the outset catered for those future contingencies,
there might be an uncertainty point that needed to be weighed
in the balance. To use the word you quoted from my paper, that
would seem a perfectly "coherent" thing to do. One could
then imagine a family of reserve powers: the full split reserve
power, the sibling reserve power and a Volcker reserve power.[136]
Lloyds Banking Group warned against attempting to
design powers now that would only be used in response to uncertain
future problems, since this would give rise "to the risk
that regulators' tools are ill-suited to their needs."[137]
Bill Winters warned that it could be difficult to use such a reserve
power:
The idea that the regulator has that reserve power
could in some scenarios be helpful, but it would be very difficult
to actually implement it. I suspect that the regulator has many
more tools at its disposal to encourage or force banks to behave
in a way that is different from how they are behaving without
having that particular reserve power.[138]
RBS argued that a reserve power could be justified
in relation to an individual out-of-control bank, but not the
sector as a whole:
We have no objection in principle to the regulator
holding a reserve power to impose a restriction on the nature
or scale of proprietary trading of any individual bank. However,
as discussed above, we do not consider that an outright prohibition
on proprietary trading is likely to deliver benefits in any way
proportionate to its costs. Therefore, we see no advantage in
creating either a mandate for regular review of the need for such
a prohibition or reserve powers to implement a blanket ban.[139]
86. In the previous chapter
we noted the challenges associated with defining those types of
proprietary trading that are undesirable. We also noted the concerns
expressed about the possible distraction that an attempt to prohibit
such undesirable activities now might represent to other regulatory
priorities. One or both of these arguments have led many, including
Sir John Vickers, Mark Carney and the FSA, to oppose the introduction
of a ban on proprietary trading in the UK now.
87. The issues we have identified
have not prevented proposals from being developed in other jurisdictions.
The progressor otherwiseof the USA, and, to a lesser
extent, France and Germany, in establishing a definition of proprietary
trading and enforcing their measures should become apparent over
time. This will provide valuable evidence to enable a better assessment
of the feasibility and likely effectiveness of similar action
in the UK, although the different banking and legal traditions
and regulatory approach in each country mean that experiences
will not be fully transferable.
88. The UK ring-fence, in its
electrified form, is intended to protect core banking services
by separating all investment banking activity, including proprietary
trading, in contrast to other jurisdictions which are proceeding
with structural reforms focused solely on proprietary trading.
Given the present uncertainty about the feasibility and burden
of prohibiting proprietary trading within banks, the Commission
believes that it would not be appropriate to attempt immediate
prohibition using the legislation currently before Parliament.
Our recommendations
89. Some witnesses said that similar outcomes
to prohibition could be achieved through greater use of supervisory
powers, but at a lower cost. Martin Taylor suggested that if action
was needed, such an approach would be preferable to complex new
legislation:
I think that if you want to do this, the way to frame
it is to ban the outright proprietary desks and to say that you
expect the risk positions that arise in the course of normal market-making
to be kept within reasonable bounds, and let the banks understand
that, if they don't observe that, the regulators are likely to
hit them with more capital on their trading book. Do that in a
relatively informal way. It seems to me that under the new arrangements
that are coming in for bank regulation in this country, there
is some chance of making that kind of thing work, without resorting
to an enormously complicated piece of legislation.[140]
[...] If the supervisor lets it be known that the
intention is that the banks should not take on proprietary risk
positions, that the position should arise from customers flows
and be hedged to keep the total value of risk at a reasonable
level, and that it is necessary to report to the supervisors when
it goes above that level and explain why, maybe you are beginning
to get a sensible regime.[141]
90. Martin Taylor further explained that one
way to put this into practice would be through using capital requirements
to discourage proprietary trading:
the way for the regulator to do that would be to
calibrate the capital against the degree of market risk being
run, and let the bankers know that if they increased their market
risk appetite rapidly, their capital would go up even more rapidly,
so it would become, at the margin, less and less profitable to
them. I understand that in the new macro-prudential world, that
kind of idea is on the table, and I certainly would not be hostile
to it.[142]
HSBC explained how the supervisor already has discretionary
powers to vary capital which could be used in this way:
We believe that if the supervisor has concerns about
the risks involved in any proprietary trading operations, it has
the ability and authority already effectively to prohibit these
activities in an individual bank if so required. At the simplest
level, this could be achieved by increasing the capital requirements
under the bank's Individual Capital Guidance (Basel Pillar 2)
on the basis of protection against prudential risks, to levels
which would effectively make the targeted proprietary trading
activities non-viable.[143]
91. Standard Chartered also referred to these
supervisory powers to apply capital charges or amend permissions.[144]
The FSA's Pillar 2 Assessment Framework document sets out that
the regulator may make capital adjustments up or down "to
reflect underlying weaknesses or strengths in governance, oversight,
risk management and controls".[145]
Because banks currently claim that they do not engage in proprietary
trading, if the supervisor were to discover evidence of such activity
it would potentially imply a control or governance failure, thereby
providing grounds for the FSA to make a capital adjustment under
Pillar 2. It is unclear whether the legal position would allow
such action to be justified on cultural rather than strictly prudential
grounds, particularly in light of any EU-level restrictions on
the use of capital add-ons which may emerge from the new Capital
Requirement Directive.
92. HSBC pointed out that supervisors have discretionary
powers to prevent activities which are deemed to pose risks beyond
the capacity of the firm to manage them:
Additionally, supervisors have wide powers to constrain
activities based upon their assessment of the capabilities and
capacity of individual firms to control and manage the underlying
risks.[146]
RBS noted that although the FSA has considerable
existing powers which could be used to control proprietary trading,
there could be a case for bolstering these:
It is possible that the current powers may take some
time to exercise and therefore the introduction of an additional
overarching power that allows the FSA to act immediately to require
own account trading activities of a bank that is not being well
managed to be reduced or suspended at short notice (whilst maintaining
effective management of risk and avoiding unintended systemic
consequences) may be additive to the overall powers of the regulators.[147]
93. As we noted in our First Report, the regulator
has powers to vary or cancel a firm's permission to carry on regulated
business under section 45 of FSMA. This power can, however, only
be exercised subject to a number of limits and safeguards to which
we referred in that Report, including a requirement that it be
in pursuit of regulatory objectives and that any restriction must
be proportionate to the objective the regulator is seeking to
achieve.[148] The FSA
told us that, while they had existing powers which could be used
to prohibit proprietary trading, primary legislation could strengthen
their ability to use these:
Firms' permissions could potentially be restricted
to prohibit such trading. That could be done under present regulatory
authority, but it would be highly preferable that if such restrictions
were to be imposed across a class of firms (i.e. all RFBs) for
reasons designed to promote structural separation that primary
legislation specifically authorise the regulator to impose such
restrictions across such a class. This would be to reduce litigation
risk.
The Banking Consolidation Directive (BCD) is silent
on the question whether such restrictions on firms that would
otherwise qualify to undertake such activities is consistent with
it. The FSA's General Counsel Division has taken the view that
because the ICB's proposals go beyond matters within the BCD,
it would not be impermissible for such constraints to be imposed.
However, this view has not been tested and is open to argument.
Primary legislation that specifically authorises the regulator
to impose such restrictions is therefore desirable also to anticipate
and blunt such a criticism. [149]
94. In our Second Report we recommended that
in addition to the regulator having the power to "electrify"
the ring-fence and force full separation between a ring-fenced
and non-ring-fenced bank, there should also be a specific power
to require a bank to divest itself of a specified division or
set of activities, and that such a power should be able to be
exercised to secure protection for the cultural position
of ring-fenced activities. If the Government were to adopt this
recommendation in the legislation before Parliament, it should
help to overcome the potential obstacle to supervisory action
described in the FSA's evidence.
95. RBS described how a more general application
of existing powers to trading-book risks would be preferable to
something focused specifically on proprietary trading:
We believe the better approach is to impose general
principles requiring own account trading activity to be connected
to customer activity, with specific requirements (as already exist)
for capital, market and risk limits and controls to be in place,
supported by robust compliance, monitoring and surveillance activities
and with a strong emphasis on the correct culture and risk appetite.
If at any time the regulators are not satisfied that a bank is
managing its own account trading activities prudently the regulator
can then invoke a standing power to restrict that activity, use
existing powers to vary the bank's permissions or otherwise impose
additional capital requirements.[150]
96. Standard Chartered also suggested that the
concerns about proprietary trading would be better dealt with
through a more general change to how supervisors monitor and control
risks in banks:
Rather than spend time defining proprietary trading
and splitting it out from risk taking associated with market-making,
regulators ought to monitor the overall risk profile of banks.
This approach is likely to lead to a more fruitful discussion
on the approaches being taken by banks rather than a tick box
approach to compliance with rules. It is the sustainability of
a bank's business model with which regulators ought to concern
themselves. Regulators should measure how a bank is allocating
its overall risk envelope. Is it for facilitating client business
or is it undertaking standalone proprietary trading? Furthermore
is the risk envelope appropriate given its client flows and revenue
streams? This is really only a task that can be undertaken through
effective supervision and not blunt rules.[151]
97. The main UK-headquartered
banks have told us that they do not engage in proprietary trading
at the present time and do not wish to do so. We recommend that
the PRA, with immediate effect, ensure that their regular scrutiny
of banks monitors this assertion and holds banks to it. In particular,
the PRA should play close attention to trading units which have
characteristics such as large open or arbitrage positions and
volatile revenue flows. Were a bank unable to demonstrate satisfactorily
that certain trading activities relate to their core business
of serving customers, this would be an indication of proprietary
trading or of a more general prudential weakness in the bank.
In such cases, the PRA should use its existing tools such as capital
add-ons or variations of permission to bear down on such activity
and incentivise the firm to exercise tighter control. As part
of their commitment to enhanced disclosure, banks should be required
to agree with the PRA a published statement of risk exposures
in their trading book and of control issues in their trading operations
raised by the PRA during the last year. Parliament will expect
the PRA to report on these statements. It is possible that
the PRA may not be able to justify use of existing tools in this
way under its current mandate. We therefore further recommend
that the Government consult the regulators on whether the current
legislation needs amendment to give regulators the authority to
carry out activities in pursuit of these regulatory aims.
98. We further recommend that
the current legislation require the regulators to carry out, within
three years of the Act being passed, a report to include:
i) analysis of the monitoring
and corrective actions conducted in accordance with the recommendations
in paragraph 97;
ii) an assessment of any impediments
encountered to such actions;
iii) the impact, by then, of
the moves towards ring-fencing on banks' trading activities;
iv) lessons about the feasibility
of defining and prohibiting proprietary trading within banks,
based on the experience of other countries, in particular the
USA, attempting to do this; and
v) a full assessment of the
case for and against a ban on proprietary trading.
99. We would expect this report
to be presented to the Treasury and to Parliament and to serve
as the basis of full and independent review of the case for action
in relation to proprietary trading by banks. We recommend that
legislation be introduced to provide for such a review and to
provide assurances about its independence, including a role for
the House of Commons Treasury Committee in the appointment of
the persons to carry out the review.
119 Q 2592 Back
120
Q 3681 Back
121
Q 3691 Back
122
Ev w8 Back
123
Q 4331 Back
124
Q 2897, Q 2900, Q 2912 Back
125
Q 3868 Back
126
Q 3660 Back
127
Ev w1 Back
128
Q 2890 Back
129
Oral evidence taken before the Parliamentary Commission on Banking
Standards Panel on Regulatory Approach on 21 January 2013, HC
(2012-13) 821-ii, Q 178 Back
130
Q 2588 Back
131
Ev w17 Back
132
Ev w12 Back
133
Q 3696 Back
134
Q 3697 Back
135
Q 2910 Back
136
Q 2582 Back
137
Ev w17 Back
138
Q 3691 Back
139
Ev w20 Back
140
Q 2890 Back
141
Q 2917 Back
142
Q 2945 Back
143
Ev w12 Back
144
Ev w25 Back
145
Financial Services Authority, Our Pillar 2 assessment framework,
May 2007, p 3 Back
146
Ev w12 Back
147
Ev w20 Back
148
First Report, paras 159 - 160 Back
149
Ev w8 Back
150
Ev w20 Back
151
Ev w25 Back
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