Economic Affairs - Second Report
Here you can browse the report which was ordered by the House of Lords to be printed 21 June 2005.
CONTENTS
Terms of Reference
Abstract
Chapter 1: Introduction
Box 1: The path of oil prices 1970 to
the present
Chapter 2: The Uncertain Science of Climate
Change
Box 2: The greenhouse gases
Negative forcing
Box 3: The basic linkages in climate change
Temperature change
Scientific consensus and scientific doubt
Box 4: The main IPCC publications
Box 5: Recent temperature change
A note on the "hockey stick" debate
Box 6: The "hockey stick"
On past scares
Chapter 3: The Future Impacts of the Enhanced
Greenhouse Effect
The nature of temperature change
Impacts: a thumbnail sketch
Extreme events
Large scale one-off changes
Summary indicators of warming damage
Box 7: Populations at risk from global warming
Positive effects of warming
Adaptation versus mitigation
Chapter 4: Forecasting Greenhouse Gas Emissions
and Temperature Change
The climate—economics linkages
Box 8: The IPCC emissions scenarios
The Henderson—Castles critique
Are the IPCC emissions scenarios equally
plausible?
Are the economic growth assumptions credible?
Table 1: Past economic growth rates for world
and world regions
The issue of convergence
Table 2: The historical record on convergence
PPP versus MER
Table 3: Effects of MER and PPP on emissions,
concentrations and rates of warming
Are the emissions and concentrations trajectories
plausible?
Table 4: World emission trends and the IPCC
scenario trends
The population projections
Table 5: Population projections
Projecting global cooling effects
Conclusions on the high emissions scenarios
Chapter 5: The Costs Of Tackling Climate
Change
Table 6: Costs to the world of achieving
the 550 ppm target, expressed in annual terms, $2005 prices, per
annum
World costs per tonne carbon
Table 7: World costs expressed in $ per tonne
carbon
Conclusions on world costs
The technologies to tackle climate change
Table 8: Illustrative costs of emissions-reducing
technologies
Costs to the United Kingdom
Figure 1: Stylised cost trajectories for
the UK
Table 9: Possible costs for UK 60% target,
present values and annuities
Costs of meeting UK goals as a percentage
of GNP
Chapter 6: The Benefits of Climate Change
Control
Estimates of monetised damage from warming
Table 10: Damages as % of regional and world
GNP
The social cost of carbon
Conclusions on benefit estimates
Chapter 7: The IPCC Process
The Special Report on Emissions Scenarios
The policy-makers' summaries
IPCC and scientific expertise
IPCC and economics expertise
Conclusion
Chapter 8: United Kingdom Policy and The
International Negotiations On Climate Change
Box 9: United Kingdom Climate Targets
Box 10: The EU Climate Targets
The Kyoto Protocol
Table 11: The environmental ineffectiveness
of the Kyoto Protocol
Kyoto and the United States
Alternative architectures for "Kyoto
Plus"
Adaptation
International carbon taxes
International technology agreements
Chapter 9: Conclusions and Recommendations
The uncertain science of climate change
The future impacts of the enhanced greenhouse
effect
Forecasting greenhouse emissions and temperature
change
The costs of tackling climate change
The benefits of climate change control
The IPCC process
UK policy and the international negotiations
on climate change
Appendix 1: Economic Affairs Committee
Appendix 2: List of Witnesses
Appendix 3: Call for Evidence
Appendix 4: Glossary
NOTE:
The Report of the Committee is published in Volume
I, HL Paper No. 12-I
The Evidence of the Committee is published in Volume
II, HL Paper No. 12-II
ORAL EVIDENCE
11 January 2005
18 January 2005
25 January 2005
1 February 2005
22 February 2005
1 March 2005
8 March 2005
15 March 2005
22 March 2005
Written Evidence
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