Select Committee on European Union Twenty-Fourth Report


APPENDIX 1: GOVERNMENT'S RESPONSE TO THE REPORT, "THE FURTHER ENLARGEMENT OF THE EU: THREAT OR OPPORTUNITY?"


Setting the scene

The history of the EU, as well as the legal texts on which the EU is based, show that the process of enlargement has been an integral part of its development over the last 50 years. (para 3)

1.  Enlargement has been at the core of the success and development of the EU. Enlargement has enabled the peaceful re-unification of Europe across the Cold War divide. In the words of the Prime Minister in Warsaw in 2003: "In the era of globalisation, nations like ours need to come together as allies and fashion the new Europe for our and others' national interest. To make it outward, not inward; to make it economically effective, not economically feeble; to use Europe to make our voice heard louder and stronger in the world." and helped us to respond better to the challenges of globalisation.

2.  We agree that development of the EU has gone hand in hand with enlargement. Since the first enlargement in 1973, of which the UK was a part, each successive enlargement has added to our prosperity, our range of rights and opportunities and our ability to compete in a tougher global market. Enlargement has cemented the values of democracy and the rule of law across Europe.

3.  The December 2006 European Council concluded that: "Enlargement has been a success story for the European Union and Europe as a whole. It has helped to overcome the division of Europe and contributed to peace and stability throughout the continent. It has inspired reforms and has consolidated common principles of liberty, democracy, respect for human rights and fundamental freedoms and the rule of law as well as the market economy. The wider internal market and economic co-operation have increased prosperity and competitiveness, enabling the enlarged Union to respond better to the challenges of globalisation. Enlargement has also enhanced the EU's weight in the world and made it a stronger international partner."

Current attitudes towards enlargement

There is a sharp contrast between public perceptions (and some political rhetoric) about the impact of the last enlargement and the assessment of it by most experts. (para 7)

Perhaps the single biggest obstacle to future enlargements is inadequate public support in Western Europe, combined with a hostile or ambiguous stance taken by many political leaders in the Member States. Little attempt has been made to explain the benefits that enlargement has brought. (para 26)

Much public opposition to future enlargements stems from misunderstandings about the impact of past enlargements, in particular the accession of the Central and Eastern European countries in 2004. As subsequent chapters explain, this impact has been positive. The governments of the existing Member States, supported by the European Commission, must make significant efforts to explain the impact of enlargement to Europe's citizens, including issues such as migration, the link between enlargement and globalisation and the need to find a way of living harmoniously with different religious communities. (para 50)

Attitudes towards enlargement remain fluid, are influenced by non-enlargement related developments (such as economic growth) and are partly related to lack of information about enlargement. A concerted effort on the part of EU politicians and other opinion formers could help to increase public support for enlargement. (para 59)

4.  We agree that there is often a sharp contrast between public perceptions and expert analysis of the benefits of enlargement and more needs to be done across the EU to correct misunderstanding and explain the benefits. We agree on the importance of public support and that public attitudes remain relatively fluid and influenced by concerns over factors unrelated to future enlargement (such as low levels of economic growth). We also agree on the need for proactive efforts to explain the benefits of EU membership and enlargement (such as tackling crime, promoting energy and climate security). The December European Council agreed that better communication and greater transparency are important to ensure public support. The November 2006 European Commission Enlargement Strategy Paper proposes expanding its support for civil society dialogue; listening to the concerns of the public to enable it to communicate more effectively on enlargement and making public key documents such as final EU common positions and producing user-friendly information to explain the accession process.

5.  This Government has always been a strong advocate for enlargement. We will continue to make the case in speeches and articles to both domestic and international audiences. Parliamentarians, business leaders, journalists and other opinion formers—have made significant contributions and we hope will continue to do so.

6.  Some of the most powerful advocates of enlargement are not politicians or business leaders but people who have direct experience of the benefits of enlargement: farmers who rely on workers from new Member States, small businesses that have found dynamic partners or new customers, and British tourists who enjoy weekend trips to the Baltic or buy holiday homes on the Black Sea.

7.  In addition to proactive communication, we would also underscore the importance of a rigorous application of the criteria for membership to candidate and prospective candidate countries. This will ensure that all new member states are fully prepared for accession and build public confidence in the effectiveness of the process.

The impact of the last enlargement

It is safe to assume that the impact of the 2004 enlargement on the new members was roughly 20 times larger than on the old ones. (para 67)

8.  We agree that the impact of enlargement is significantly greater on the candidate countries than the existing members because of the relative sizes of their economies. But the cumulative benefits of a larger, more competitive single market continue to accrue.

Although the available studies have relied on very different assumptions and methodologies, they have come to broadly similar conclusions: First, the impact of eastward enlargement on the EU-15 has been limited. Second, the impact—though small—is positive. Third, as pointed out above, much of the impact has taken place already since economic integration between Eastern and Western Europe has proceeded gradually since the early 1990s. Most studies conclude that the cumulative economic gain for the old EU is below 1 per cent over a period of five to ten years. (para 76)

9.  We agree that the impact of A10 accession was positive for the EU 15. UK merchandise trade with the new member states increased by 392% between 1992 and 2005, nearly ten times as fast as with the rest of the world, and is steadily rising. There were around 14,000 UK firms exporting to Central and Eastern Europe in 2001. Firms like Tesco, Unilever, Vodafone and BP are successful investors in both new member and candidate states.

10.  The Commission's paper on the economic impact of enlargement highlighted that the three countries that opened their labour markets to the A8 countries (UK, Ireland and Sweden) were also among the top performers in employment rate growth amongst the EU 15 in the two years following accession. From the UK point of view, although it is not currently possible to measure reliably the impact of A8 migration on economic growth, a 2002 Treasury estimate attributed 10-15% of economic trend growth to migration. In its February 2006 Inflation Monitoring Report, the Bank of England confirmed that overseas workers—including those from the A8—played a significant role in boosting the available pool of labour and helping ease shortages, therefore helping to keep inflation down. The Department of Work and Pension's two reports (May 2005 and February 2006) on the impact of enlargement on the UK labour market found that the broad outcome had been to increase output and jobs. More generally, the expansion of the single market to more than 500 million citizens will bring long-term benefits in an increasingly competitive, globalised economy—widening the consumer base and increasing competition.

11.  The benefits of enlargement are also evident in other key areas where increased co-operation makes for a more effective response to cross-border problems such as international crime and trafficking in people and drugs. It also helps to promote security and stability, human rights and the protection of the environment. In the cases of Bulgaria and Romania these environmental benefits are quite dramatic. In 1990, in Romania "degradation [in the Danube Delta region] was reaching serious proportions through engineering works and inappropriate land uses… Pollution carried downstream in the Danube… threatened fish life…[and] drastically reduced the numbers of migratory fish (sturgeons, hausen, ship sturgeon, and Russian sturgeon)" (Source: UNEP). Now there are over 800 natural protected areas in Romania, which represent over 5% of the national territory. These include three biosphere reserves, two Ramsar sites (protected wetlands), and 18 landscape reserves. In Bulgaria, air quality around the Maritza's three power units, once identified as Europe's number one environmental 'hotspot" for sulphur pollution, have dramatically improved through EU investment and action by the Bulgarian government. A new plant on the site will be using state of the art pollution control technology and will meet the relevant EU and Bulgarian emission standards for particulates. Similarly, at the Kozloduy nuclear plant dangerous Units 1-2 were taken offline early in negotiations and 3-4 were also closed upon accession. These are all examples of the benefits of enlargement.

The increase in the number of Member States and the concomitant wider spread of interests and positions has made aspects of EU decision-making more laborious. But suggestions that enlargement could lead to gridlock in the EU institutions are not borne out by evidence. (para 105)

12.  We agree with the Committee that EU institutions and decision-making systems have adapted remarkably well to the challenge of decision making at 25. The EU institutions are not currently facing gridlock due to recent enlargement. However, there are some institutional questions that must be addressed. In particular, existing treaties require us to look again at Commission size now that Bulgaria and Romania have joined the EU. We have already said that we are ready to consider whether steps can be taken on the basis of the existing treaties to make the EU more effective. We will be discussing these issues over the coming months under the German Presidency.

We recommend that in future the EU does not endorse target dates for EU entry until the accession negotiations with the candidate in question are almost complete and the EU is fully satisfied that the candidate can assume the obligations of membership. (para 118)

13.  We agree. This approach was recommended by the Commission in its November 2006 Enlargement Strategy Paper and endorsed by the December European Council. Neither Croatia nor Turkey has yet been offered target entry dates as part of their negotiation process. But we believe it is positive that both countries have set themselves internal targets to help energise their reform efforts and pursue their own individual pace of progress.

It is essential that future enlargements do not import existing disputes about borders, the treatment of minorities and recognition into the Union. At the same time, however, the EU must be careful not to allow third countries to effectively gain a veto over the accession of a candidate by preventing the settlement of an existing dispute. (para 123)

14.  The Government believes that the EU should ensure that any candidate country fully meets the requirements for membership. In practice this means meeting the so-called Copenhagen criteria.

15.  In this context full account needs to be taken of any existing disputes about borders, the treatment of minorities and recognition related issues. We also agree that the EU should be careful not to allow third countries to gain a veto over the accession of candidate countries by introducing new requirements over which the candidate country does not have full control.

The EU must use conditionality in a consistent and credible manner. Rather than aiming for a "big bang" enlargement of the Western Balkans, the EU should stick to a system under which each country progresses towards membership as fast as its pre-accession preparations allow. (para 130)

16.  The December 2006 Council conclusions reaffirmed that the EU should keep its commitments towards all the countries that are in the accession process, moving forward on the basis of strict conditionality at all stages of the negotiations, and judging each country on its own merits. We fully endorse this approach.

Absorption capacity and the borders of Europe

The Copenhagen accession criteria have enabled the EU to encourage and monitor economic and political change in the candidate countries. The EU should not modify the list of the criteria or set them in stone by including them in a future treaty. (para 136)

17.  We agree. The UK firmly supports a rigorous but fair accession process based on the Copenhagen criteria. However, as the Committee notes, this should not prevent us tailoring our approach in the light of experience. For example, in December 2006 the EU agreed various improvements suggested by the Commission to enhance the management and quality of the accession process, including its proposal to tackle difficult issues like administrative and judicial reforms and corruption early on in the process. The accession process has successfully evolved to meet different challenges over the last fifty years. We cannot anticipate all the challenges that we will face in the future.

Since the EU Treaty gives any European country the right to apply for Union membership, any attempt to draw a final boundary around its territory which excluded European countries would not be consistent with the Treaty. Moreover, politically it would be undesirable for the EU to attempt to define its final boundaries since this would weaken the EU's ability to encourage positive change in potential candidates. Ambiguity is preferable to a definite 'no'. (para 143)

18.  We agree. The December 2006 European Council confirmed that the EU would keep its commitments regarding the ongoing accession negotiations with Turkey and Croatia and that the future of the Western Balkans lies in the EU. But we must also keep the EU's door open to countries like Ukraine and Belarus, however distant a prospect candidate status might be. Bringing irreversible democratic and economic reform to these countries will benefit all Europeans. The EU treaties provide that "any European state" may apply to become a member of the Union. The treaty does not define how this is to be interpreted geographically. We note that, 1992 Commission report entitled 'Europe and the Challenge of Enlargement' stated that: "the shared experience of proximity, ideas, values, and historical interaction cannot be condensed into a simple formula, and is subject to review by each succeeding generation. The Commission believes that it is neither possible nor opportune to establish now the frontiers of the European Union, whose contours will be shaped over many years to come".

The debate about absorption capacity is harmful since the term is inherently vague and is interpreted by many in the candidate countries as an excuse for closing the Union's doors. However it now seems unlikely that the debate will go away. We therefore believe that it would be best if the term was deconstructed into its individual components and considered in that light. The debate would then shift onto solid ground and focus on real issues such as budgetary capacity and institutional adjustments. "Absorption capacity" would become a to-do list for the existing Member States rather than a barrier to the candidate countries or an excuse for delaying or preventing their accession. (para 153)

19.  We consider it to be firmly in the interests of existing Member States and candidate countries that the EU should be properly prepared for future enlargements and that these preparations should proceed in parallel with the accession negotiations. The Copenhagen Council of 1993 acknowledged the importance of the EU's absorption capacity and the impact of enlargement on the EU's institutions, budget and common policies has been considered in advance of all previous enlargements. The question of absorption capacity (now renamed integration capacity) was discussed at the European Council in December 2006 on the basis of the Commission's "Special report on the EU's capacity to integrate new members." There is no stated intention to revisit this issue in the immediate future. We do not believe that any assessment of integration capacity should create a new barrier for candidates. Their progress through the accession process should continue to be based on their success in meeting the Copenhagen criteria and accepting and implementing the body of EU legislation and policies known as the acquis.

The political context for future enlargements

A larger EU will need institutional change and more efficient decision-making procedures. It will also require a rebalancing of the respective representation of large and small countries. An overstretched and ineffective EU cannot play a stabilising role in its neighbourhood and the wider world. We recommend that EU governments acknowledge that the Constitutional Treaty will not be adopted in its current form. Sensible and functionally oriented improvements to the working practices of the Union could be dealt with in a new intergovernmental conference; including a careful review of the rationale for all institutions where currently there is one representative per Member State. (para 167)

20.  Mr Hoon made a Written Ministerial Statement to Parliament on 5 December regarding the Government's approach to consultations on the future of Europe under the German Presidency. We can make no presumption about the outcome of this process or whether/when there will be a new intergovernmental conference. Nor is it for the UK alone to say what will happen to the Constitutional Treaty: that will be a matter for agreement among the 27. But we believe the EU needs now to focus on policies that are directly relevant to citizens' lives, such as energy security, climate change and counter terrorism. Any reform of EU institutions must have a clear logic and help deliver practical benefits.

We believe it would be a mistake for the EU to impose an artificial "pause" on enlargement while these institutional debates are proceeding. Such a pause would be destabilising for applicants and could become a trap from which it would be difficult to emerge (if a pause was officially declared it would also need to be ended by a unanimous decision, which may prove problematic). Instead, the Union should proceed in a measured way, handling all applications on their merits, neither accelerating nor retarding the process. In fact, this would mean at most one more accession in this decade, namely Croatia. (para 168)

21.  We agree with the Committee that ongoing discussions on the future of Europe do not mean that we should bring enlargement to a halt, and we would not support a "pause". The December European Council agreed that the enlargement strategy based on consolidation conditionality and communication, combined with the EU's capacity to integrate new members forms the basis for a renewed consensus on enlargement". It also confirmed that the EU would "keep its commitments regarding the ongoing accession negotiations". The programme of the German Presidency reflects that commitment to make progress with the accession negotiations. We will work closely in support of the Presidency and Commission to move Croatia and Turkey's accessions forward.

A Union of 27 or more Member States will require more flexible ways of policy-making. While the idea of a "core Europe" is unlikely to gain traction, the increasing use of "variable geometry" or "enhanced co-operation" appears both inevitable and indeed desirable. While moving in this direction, the EU needs to take care not to endanger existing achievements, such as the single market, and to ensure democratic accountability of new initiatives. (para 176)

22.  Article 43 of the Amsterdam Treaty provides for "enhanced co-operation". These provisions allow Member States who wish to co-operate more closely in certain areas to be able to do so. However Article 43 also sets out rigorous criteria for the activation of Enhanced Co-operation to ensure policy consistency among all Member States and to safeguard the EU Single Market. To date, the Enhanced Co-operation provisions of Article 43 have not been activated. However, moves towards de facto enhanced co-operation are a reality as the Committee points out. We fully concur on the importance of the integrity of the Single Market, and the need for democratic accountability.

The budget review of 2008-09 must take into account the possible impact of future enlargement. A serious restructuring of the EU's spending priorities will be required for successful future accessions, in particular those of Turkey and the countries of the Western Balkans. (para 181)

23.  Our aim is to achieve a modern, outward-looking European Union, enabling member states to respond to the challenges of globalisation and deliver opportunity, fairness and prosperity for all our citizens. These priorities should be reflected in the Budget of the EU. The December European Council invited the Commission to provide impact assessments on key policy areas in the course of the accession negotiations.

24.  The 2008/09 Budget Review is the opportunity to create a budget that meets the challenges of the 21st Century and takes into account the prospect of future EU enlargement. We will aim for an ambitious and fundamental review, guided by a principled approach that calls for advancement of the national and EU public interest, proportionality and sound financial management.

Candidates and potential candidates

If the countries of the Western Balkans are to be able to address their many challenges in terms of economic reform, statehood and the integration of minorities they need to be offered a credible EU perspective. Without such the Western Balkans could turn into an area of political and economic instability surrounded by EU Member States, where nationalism, economic deprivation and organised crime could flourish. The Union could be faced with the stark choice between integrating the Western Balkans into the EU or having to take responsibility for running them as protectorates if they turn into failed states. The Union must therefore adhere to its Thessaloniki commitment to the eventual accession of these countries and should avoid any linkage between the entry of Turkey and the entry of the countries of the Western Balkans. (para 195)

25.  We agree with the Committee that a credible EU perspective for the Western Balkans should be maintained. The UK Government remains committed to EU enlargement for the Western Balkans and firmly believes that the only viable solution to the region's difficult past is a European one. We are therefore pleased that the December 2006 European Council re-affirmed that the future of the Western Balkans lies in the European Union. The December Council also reiterated that each country's progress towards the EU depends on its individual efforts to comply with the Copenhagen criteria and the conditionality of the Stabilisation and Association process. We support this too.

The accession of the Western Balkans confronts the EU with new challenges compared with the previous eastward enlargement. The countries that joined the EU in 2004 were relatively homogenous, stable nation states that were motivated by the desire to 'rejoin Europe'. In the Western Balkans, the EU is dealing with more fragile, fractious countries. To help these countries along the path to greater stability and prosperity the EU needs a more proactive approach: simply setting conditions and waiting for governments to fulfil them in their own time will no longer be enough. The EU must also devote real resources to the accession process, both in terms of expertise and money. Since the accession of these countries will take time, the EU needs to find ways of maintaining momentum for positive change. It should gradually integrate the candidates into various EU policy areas, and should include them in a customs union. (para 196)

26.  We agree that enlargement to the Western Balkans presents the EU with new challenges. But some of the most difficult issues are already a central part of the accession process, including the challenges of administrative and judicial reforms and tackling corruption and organised crime. We should maintain step by step the process of supporting these countries to implement the changes required for EU membership. We agree we should provide both financial and technical support to assist the countries of the Western Balkans meet the conditions of the "acquis" and Copenhagen criteria. The EU's Instrument for Pre-Accession (IPA) provides the financial support to help the countries achieve this. Between 2007-2013 55% of the Instrument for Pre-Accession (total budget €11.57 billion) will be allocated to the Western Balkans. As part of this, the EU's Twinning programme funds secondments of public sector experts from EU Member States. This enables us to help them to reform their administrations in line with European standards. We agree that finding ways of maintaining momentum for positive change is important. We therefore very much welcome the recent signing of the enlarged and amended Central Europe Free Trade Agreement (CEFTA), which now includes all the Western Balkan countries. The agreement is a substantial step forward both economically and politically and a move closer towards a future European wide free market.

Croatia is making good progress with its accession preparations, and the EU should not discourage the country by making its accession date dependent on an agreement on institutional reform among the existing member-states. If the EU has not agreed institutional changes by the time Croatia is ready, the minimum changes required for Croatian membership would need to be included in Croatia's accession treaty. It is important that Croatia should be able to join the Union if and when it has completed its accession talks, not only for Croatia but also for the credibility of the EU accession progress. Delays in Croatian accession would send a negative signal to the Western Balkans. (para 204)

27.  The Government welcomes the report's comments regarding Croatia. The country has made solid progress since accession negotiations began on 3 October 2005. Negotiations have been provisionally closed on two chapters (Ch25—Science and Research and Ch26—Education and Culture), and opened on a further three (Ch17—Economic and Monetary Policy; Ch20—Enterprise and Industrial Policy; and Ch29—Customs Union). We are confident that further chapters will be opened during the course of the German Presidency. The UK continues to support Croatia's preparations proactively. We are providing £600,000 of bilateral assistance this year targeted at specific EU related issues in addition to our contribution through EU-funded projects.

28.  We agree that Croatia should join the Union as soon as it meets the necessary standards and that any unnecessary delay to its accession would send a negative signal to the Western Balkans. If necessary institutional adjustments to enable Croatian accession could be made in Croatia's accession treaty.

The EU must do more to acknowledge the progress that Turkey has already made. The EU member-states should strive to maintain a more consistent and coherent line, reassuring Turkey that they remain committed to admitting it as a full member, if and when the accession negotiations have been completed. (para 226)

29.  The Government agrees with the Committee that Turkey has made a great deal of progress in recent years, including abolishing the death penalty, significantly reducing torture, ensuring constitutional rights for women and improving the cultural rights of minority groups. However, there is more to be done, and the Commission's 2006 report stated that "the pace of reform has slowed". We continue to urge the Turkish Government to address areas of continuing concern such as freedom of expression.

30.  The December 2006 European Council reaffirmed that it would honour existing commitments to Turkey and other countries that are in the enlargement process. Furthermore, the agreement at the December 2006 General Affairs and External Relations Council allows negotiations with Turkey to move ahead and the EU to continue to pursue the strategic objective of Turkish accession.

Given the strategic importance of Turkish accession for the long-term development of the wider Europe, the EU should not allow the question of Cyprus to derail the accession talks. A compromise needs to be found under which Turkey implements its commitments under the Ankara protocol while the EU lives up to its promise to free up trade with Northern Cyprus. Until such a compromise is in place, the EU may decide to suspend the negotiations on a limited number of chapters directly related to the customs union. If the negotiations were halted altogether, it would require a tremendous effort on both sides to re-start them. (para 227)

31.  The Government agrees that the question of Cyprus should not be allowed to derail Turkey's accession negotiations. Indeed, it is our view that steady progress in Turkey's negotiations will increase trust and interaction between the parties and improve the prospects for a resumption of settlement negotiations under UN auspices.

32.  Turkey must of course fulfil its obligations to all Member States, including fully implementing the Additional Protocol to the Ankara Agreement. At the December 2006 General Affairs and External Relations Council, EU Member States agreed not to open 8 chapters and not to close any chapters until Turkey has done so. At the same time, the Council agreed that all other work should continue, and that chapters for which technical preparations have been completed should be opened.

33.  We are also pleased that support for resuming work without delay on a Direct Trade Regulation to end the isolation of the Turkish Cypriots will be reiterated by the January 2006 General Affairs and External Relations Council and that work on this will be taken forward by the German Presidency. We will continue to support efforts to achieve agreement as soon as possible.

Whatever the hesitation and hostility hanging over Turkey's accession negotiations, we believe that it is in both Turkey's and the EU's best interests that the accession negotiations be pursued in good faith and with a will to bring them to a successful conclusion. (para 228)

34.  The Government agrees. We are pleased that EU Member States reaffirmed at both the June and December 2006 European Councils that they would honour existing commitments to Turkey and other candidates.

Possible alternative to enlargement and the cost of non-enlargement

The EU needs to have an attractive and effective policy to work with those countries that do not have the immediate, or even medium-term, prospect of membership. The European Neighbourhood Policy (ENP) is a promising start but the EU needs to improve it through better incentives, tougher conditionality and more differentiation among the participating countries. An effective ENP may also have to distinguish between the EU's European neighbours and the neighbours of Europe, between those that ultimately harbour hopes for membership and those that do not. In the case of the former, an ENP that is construed as alternative to membership is unlikely to be acceptable. For the eastern neighbours, the ENP could be turned into a waiting room for membership. At the very least, the ENP should be "membership" neutral. (para 245)

35.  We agree with the conclusions of the report that the EU needs an effective policy to work with countries that do not at this stage have a prospect of EU membership. The European Neighbourhood Policy (ENP) offers a framework through which the EU can engage with its eastern and southern neighbours on social, political and economic reform. Supporting the development of prosperous, stable and democratic neighbours is strongly in the EU's interests. Failure to support neighbouring countries in their reforms has a number of potential negative consequences for the EU, for example in terms of illegal immigration, poor environmental standards, and lack of energy security. We agree that there is scope for the ENP to be improved to offer better incentives to partner countries, and to this end will continue to work with partners to explore where the EU can strengthen its offer.

36.  The ENP is 'membership neutral' and does not prejudice the future of the eastern neighbours' relationship with the EU. We strongly agree that ENP should not be an alternative to membership for Eastern neighbours. This would be unacceptable to the Eastern neighbours. The prospect of EU membership is a powerful lever for reform. Closing off this option would doubtless have serious implications for the reform process in the east, engendering some of the negative consequences for the EU described in the preceding paragraph.

Neither Turkey nor the countries of the Western Balkans are likely to accept a "privileged partnership" however it is defined as a substitute for full membership of the EU. Repeated calls for a privileged partnership from EU governments could have a demotivating effect on the candidate countries. (para 255)

37.  We agree that any reference to privileged partnerships risks undermining the momentum for reform in Turkey and the Western Balkans. Member States have agreed to stand by existing commitments to countries that are in the accession process, most recently at the December 2006 European Council. The clear objective of negotiations is full membership, although as in any negotiations the outcome cannot be guaranteed in advance. We will continue to work towards that objective.

If the EU were to halt or considerably slow down the enlargement process, it could face heavy costs in terms of political instability and economic stagnation in its neighbourhood. The most immediate and severe impact would be in the Western Balkans. Although a return to war and bloodshed looks unlikely there would likely be an upsurge in nationalism and current positive trends in governance and economic reform would be halted. (para 268)

The Member States should therefore keep to their commitment to offer full membership to both Turkey and the countries of the Western Balkans if and when they are ready to assume the obligations of membership. (para 269)

38.  We agree on the likely detrimental impact on the political stability and reforms in the Western Balkans of a halt or considerable slowing down of the enlargement process. We would also underscore the potential detrimental impact on the reform process in Turkey. We fully endorse the Committee's conclusion on the importance of honouring our clear commitments to Turkey, Croatia and the other Western Balkans countries.

Enlargement and South East Europe Group
Foreign and Commonwealth Office
January 2007


 
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