EU STRATEGY FOR AFRICA (continued)
OECD-DAC SECRETARIAT SIMULATION OF DAC MEMBERS' NET ODA VOLUMES IN 2006 AND 2010 IN CONSTANT 2004 US$ MILLION
The date below are not forecasts but Secretariat projections based on public announcements by member countries of the OECD's Development Assistance Committee (DAC). The key figures from such announcements are shown as Assumptions". To calculate net ODA and ODA/GNI ratios requires projections for GNI for 2006 and 2010. For 2006 the projections of real growth for each country are taken from the OECD Economic Outlook No 77 (May 2005) Annex Table 1. For the period 2006-10 real annual GNI growth of 2% is assumed for all countries. White calculations have been discussed at technical level with national authorities the DAC Secretariat is responsible for the methodology and the final published results.
| 20 September 2005 |
| |
2004 |
|
2006 |
2010 |
| |
Net ODA |
ODA/GNI Per cent |
|
|
ODA/GNI |
Real change in ODA compared with 2004 |
|
ODA/GNI |
Real change in ODA compared with 2004 |
| Country |
(provisional) |
Per cent |
Assumptions |
Net ODA |
Per cent |
($ m) |
Per cent |
Net ODA |
Per cent |
($ m) |
Per cent |
| Austria |
678 |
0.23 |
0.33% in 2006 and 0.51% in 2010 |
1,000 |
0.33 |
322 |
48 |
1,673 |
0.51 |
995 |
147 |
| Belgium1 |
1,483 |
0.41 |
0.7% in 2010 |
1,815 |
0.49 |
351 |
24 |
2,807 |
0.70 |
1,344 |
92 |
| Denmark |
2,037 |
0.85 |
Minimum 0.8% |
2,037 |
0.81 |
0 |
0 |
2,185 |
0.80 |
148 |
7 |
| Finland1, 2 |
655 |
0.35 |
0.44% in 2007 and 0.7% in 2010 |
797 |
0.41 |
141 |
22 |
1,475 |
0.70 |
820 |
125 |
| France1 |
8,475 |
0.42 |
0.5% in 2007 and 0.7% in 2012 |
9,877 |
0.47 |
1,403 |
17 |
13,885 |
0.61 |
5,410 |
64 |
| Germany |
7,534 |
0.28 |
0.33% in 2006 and 0.51% in 2010 |
9,271 |
0.33 |
1,737 |
23 |
15,509 |
0.51 |
7,975 |
106 |
| Greece |
465 |
0.23 |
0.33% in 2006 and 0.51% in 2010 |
715 |
0.33 |
251 |
54 |
1,196 |
0.51 |
732 |
158 |
| Ireland |
586 |
0.39 |
0.5% in 2007 and 0.7% in 2012 |
731 |
0.44 |
146 |
25 |
1,072 |
0.60 |
486 |
83 |
| Italy |
2,462 |
0.15 |
0.33% in 2006 and 0.51% in 2010 |
5,537 |
0.33 |
3,075 |
125 |
9,262 |
0.51 |
6,801 |
276 |
| Luxembourg |
241 |
0.85 |
1% in 2009 |
275 |
0.91 |
34 |
14 |
327 |
1.00 |
87 |
36 |
| Netherlands |
4,235 |
0.74 |
Minimum 0.8% |
4,801 |
0.82 |
567 |
13 |
5,070 |
0.80 |
836 |
20 |
| Portugal3 |
1,031 |
0.63 |
0.33% in 2006 and 0.51% in 2010 |
558 |
0.33 |
-474 |
-46 |
933 |
0.51 |
-96 |
-10 |
| Spain1, 2 |
2,547 |
0.26 |
0.5% in 2008 and 0.7% in 2012 |
3,446 |
0.33 |
899 |
35 |
6,687 |
0.59 |
4,140 |
163 |
| Sweden |
2,722 |
0.78 |
1% in 2006 |
3,719 |
1.00 |
997 |
37 |
4,025 |
1.00 |
1,303 |
48 |
| United Kingdom1, 2 |
7,836 |
0.36 |
0.47% in 2007-08 and 0.7% in 2013 |
9,553 |
0.42 |
1,716 |
22 |
14,525 |
0.59 |
6,689 |
85 |
| Ülh0İ
|
| EU Members, Total |
42,966 |
0.35 |
|
54,132 |
0.43 |
11,166 |
26 |
80,633 |
0.59 |
37,667 |
88 |
| Australia |
1,465 |
0.25 |
0.36% in 2010 |
1,768 |
0.28 |
303 |
21 |
2,460 |
0.36 |
995 |
68 |
| Canada |
2,537 |
0.26 |
8% annual increase until 2010 |
2,959 |
0.29 |
422 |
17 |
4,026 |
0.36 |
1,489 |
59 |
| Japan4 |
8,859 |
0.19 |
See footnote 4 |
9,859 |
0.20 |
1,000 |
11 |
11,859 |
0.22 |
3,000 |
34 |
| New Zealand |
210 |
0.23 |
0.27% in 2005-06 and 0.28% in 2007-08 |
262 |
0.27 |
51 |
24 |
294 |
0.28 |
84 |
40 |
| Norway |
2,200 |
0.87 |
1% over 2006-09 |
2,657 |
1.00 |
458 |
21 |
2,876 |
1.00 |
677 |
31 |
| Switzerland5 |
1,545 |
0.41 |
See footnote 5 |
1,596 |
0.41 |
51 |
3 |
1,728 |
0.41 |
183 |
12 |
| United States6 |
18,999 |
0.16 |
See footnote 6 |
24,000 |
0.19 |
5,001 |
26 |
24,000 |
0.18 |
5,001 |
26 |
| DAC Members, Total |
78,780 |
0.25 |
|
97,233 |
0.30 |
18,453 |
23 |
127,876 |
0.36 |
49,096 |
62 |
1 ODA/GNI ratios interpolated between 2004 and year target scheduled to be attained.
2 Finland aim to achieve 0.7% by 2010 subject to economic circumstances; Spain aim for a minimum of 0.5% by 2008, with the intention then to aim for 0.7% by 2012; the UK has announced a timetable to reach 0.7% by 2013.
3 Portugal's ODA in 2004 was above trend due to an exceptional debt relief operation for Angola.
4 Japan intends to increase its ODA volume by $10 billion in aggregate over the next five years (2005-09), compared to its net ODA in 2004. The Secretariat's estimate assumes $1 billion extra in 2005 and $3 billion extra in 2010.
5 Switzerland's ODA will increase by 8% in nominal terms from 2005 to 2006. A new goal will be determined for the following years. The Secretariat's estimate assumes maintenance of 0.41% of GNI in 2006 and 2010.
6 Secretariat estimates based on 2004 ODA plus $5 billion per annum to cover the Gleneagles G8 commitments on increased aid to Africa, Millennium Challenge Account, and initiatives on HIV/AIDS, malaria and humanitarian aid.
7 The Netherlands ODA in 2004 was below its target, as India repaid all its outstanding Dutch aid loans. The Netherlands intends to maintain its target of 0.8% of GNI on average, over the period 2004-07.
|
