The Economics of Renewable Energy - Economic Affairs Committee Contents


Memorandum by Lawrence Graham LLP

INTRODUCTION

  LG is a leading London-based law firm with a recognised and expanding renewable energy group, combining the firm's recognised strengths in capital raising, corporate advice, real estate development, planning, entrepreneurial growth services and environmental law. Our clients include corporates, promoters, investors, entrepreneurs, government agencies, developers and contractors, covering a wide spectrum of renewable technologies including wind, wave & tidal, biomass, energy from waste, biofuels, carbon trading and recycling. As a result we have a good understanding of the issues which companies and investors see as the key barriers to increased investment and productivity in the renewable energy and low-carbon sectors.

BARRIERS TO GREATER USE OF RENEWABLE ENERGY

  If the government is committed to reaching its target of 15% of electricity from renewable sources by 2020 (as mentioned in the following section this will actually need to be significantly higher than this to satisfy the energy gap that will have developed by 2020) and 60% by 2050 then barriers to the funding, construction and connectivity of renewable energy projects need to be addressed as a matter of urgency. In our experience the presence ad extent of these barriers means that many renewable energy companies and investors believe that that UK is significantly less attractive than many other jurisdictions for the development of such projects.

  LG attended the two day All-Energy conference in Aberdeen in May, and we noted that many speakers felt that if the current "business-as-usual" approach continues then is unlikely that electivity from renewable energy sources will be more than 10% of all energy produced by 2020.

ENERGY MIX

  As you will be aware, all but one of the UK's nuclear power stations will have been decommissioned by 2020. In addition a number of large fossil fuel plants will also have to close or significantly reduce capacity by 2015 to meet restrictions under the Large Combustion Plants Directive (2001/80/EC).

  The earliest that new nuclear power stations could come online is expected to be from 2020 as it takes around a decade to build a nuclear plant. Demand for electricity is set to continue to rise, however even without an increase in forecasted demand for electricity there will be a significant energy gap by 2020. Many commentators believe that renewable energy can play a crucial role in meeting this demand. We understand that if increased use of renewable energy alone was used to satisfy the energy deficit then by 2020 the electricity from renewable energy sources would need to account for over 40% of all electricity generation.

  Due to issues such as planning and connectivity (as discussed below) it often currently takes many years for a renewable energy facility to start producing renewable energy. As a result of these delays, if the government is committed to the targets it has announced then it is imperative that the current barriers and hurdles to development are reduced and/or simplified as soon as practicable.

PLANNING

  The planning process can take an unacceptably lengthy time for companies investing in renewable energy projects, and the outcome is often viewed as highly uncertain. For example, Shell has recently declared its wish to dispose of its 30% stake in the London Array scheme, which would amount to the largest offshore wind farm in the world. Condemned by politicians and environmentalists for being greedy and irresponsible, Shell said that costs at the London Array had soared by 45%. since work commenced. At a renewable energy conference which members of our firm attended in Aberdeen last month, Dermot Grimson (Head of UK Government Relations at Shell International) confirmed that Shell's decision was based on many factors including lengthy delays in the project, spiralling production costs and that, in a global market, Shell could invest the capital committed to the London Array project in other projects in different jurisdictions which would see a quicker return on investment.

  Planning is a key constraint, both in terms of time and complexity. For example, in 2007 the target time period for consenting for onshore wind farms was three months. However the average timeframe was 10 months in England, 27 months in Wales and 14 months in Scotland. Currently only 5% of wind farm projects are being consented in the 16 week target period. For major, or highly controversial projects, the timescale can be significantly longer, which compares unfavourably with other countries.

  In our view there are strong grounds for making renewable energy projects a "special case" and to fast track them through the planning system (in a similar way to mobile telephony in the past) and for reviewing potentially obstructive case law which is proving unhelpful in the commercial uptake of renewable energy.

Special case for renewable energy

  Our view, based on discussions with companies across the renewable energy sector, is that the government could address current unease over planning in the UK in two ways:

    (a) first, by lowering the threshold at which strategically important projects (such as in the renewable sector) can be considered by the new Infrastructure Planning Commission (the IPC) and so be fast-tracked. The 50 MWh (100MWh offshore) threshold for a renewable energy project equates, for example, to a large wind farm and many organisations such as the British Wind Energy Association had lobbied for the threshold to be set at lower levels for renewable projects; and

    (b) secondly by making the renewable energy sectors a "special case" to promote faster growth, a precedent which was set in the UK with a similar approach for mobile telephony. This could be achieved by extending permitted development rights and/or specific planning policy statements.

  By making renewables a "special case", the government might perhaps also re-consider another common issue faced, namely of objections to proposed projects on the assumption that wind farms interfere with MoD radar systems. For example, E.On recently submitted plans to build one of the largest ever wind farms in the country, but the project will need to overcome objections form the Ministry of Defence, which fears that the 83 turbines to be situated five miles off the coast of East Yorkshire will interfere with radar defences. E.On had hoped to begin building the £700 million wind farm in 2010 with production of up to 300MW electricity in 2012.

Review of the Merton Rule

  The so-called "Merton Rule" which requires that use of renewable energy on site to reduce carbon dioxide emissions is now being widely invoked by local authorities when planning permission is sought on commercial developments in urban centres. The effect of the rule is to oblige retailers and other large businesses to generate 10%. or more of their energy requirements for a particular development through renewable energy generated ON SITE.

  In our experience, whilst most businesses are in theory very happy to use a higher proportion of electricity generated from renewable energy, the practical difficulties of generating this on site are considerable. It would make more sense, in our view, to free businesses from the obligation of generating renewable energy on site but raise the total amount they are required to buy in from renewable sources. We believe that, even were the threshold to be raised, this change would be welcomed by the business community.

  This proposal would also lead to the more efficient production of renewable energy as energy would be produced from larger plants and sources and this in turn would be attractive to third party investors as costs of energy production would be lower.

OFFSHORE PROJECTS

  Offshore wind farms (together with the more developed onshore wind farms) is the most important form of renewable energy production if the UK is to significantly increase production of green electricity over the next decade (on the assumption that the Severn Barrage may not be built). A significant and increasing number of renewable energy projects involve offshore development which, in the past, was particularly difficult due to the lack of a single body taking responsibility for the marine estate. To some extent, the government is addressing this broader issue in the Marine Bill, currently out to consultation, which will simplify the current system and create a new overseeing body, The Marine Management Organisation (MMO). These developments are broadly welcomed.

  However, LG is concerned about the impact of the Marine Bill on the renewable energy sector, as the Bill appears to do little to help independent operators, or those with necessarily smaller, innovative or exploratory projects.

  Whilst larger offshore and onshore renewable energy projects would fall under the auspices of the new IPC (created in the Planning Bill) offshore projects generating less than 100 MWh will still fall under the current consenting regime of the Electricity Act combined with the new system of marine licences issued by the MMO outlined in the Marine Bill. The Planning Bill does enable the Secretary of State to "promote" developments which otherwise fall below the IPC thresholds into the IPC regime if he considers that they are nationally important, but we suggest that given the imperative of increasing renewable energy capacity all but the smallest offshore project should automatically be able to benefit from the regime.

  The IPC will have the overriding objective of prioritising strategically important projects in what are recognised as key sectors, including energy. In contrast, the MMO will have wide-ranging responsibilities, not just in relation to licensing but also nature conservation, spatial planning and enforcement, and concerns have already been expressed as to whether it will also have the resources necessary to handle applications for the more complex developments in any sector. Any perception that as a result the operators of smaller offshore projects may be subject to a less favourable consenting process is likely to make it harder for them to raise capital and may well discourage innovation and more experimental developments offshore. This could in turn hold back development in the sector. It is worth noting, by way of illustration perhaps, that a more favourable regime encouraged independent operators to play a key role in developing North Sea oil—where they often proved more willing than larger players to experiment in new fields and technologies.

MARINE ENVIRONMENTAL CONSIDERATIONS

  The Marine Bill ironically could also have the effect of putting increased hurdles into the planning process for the offshore projects that fall within its remit (ie those under 100 MWh), through the introduction of Marine Conservation Zones (MCZs).

  The need for thorough Environmental Impact Assessment (EIA) for developments forms an important part of what is often seen as the delay inherent in applications for consent for onshore development: for example, there may be a need to undertake particular surveys over specific time periods which are often seasonal. The processes associated with conducting an EIA are slowly improving as more data as to onshore biodiversity interests is collected but there is currently very little equivalent data which can be used in relation to offshore projects and the costs to the developer of obtaining it can be high. MCZ's will add an extra dimension to this and we are concerned that the effect will be to further discourage potential development of smaller renewable energy projects offshore.

  Potential offshore developers may be surprised to realise that MCZs are not intended merely to protect the "best" areas in terms of conservation/biodiversity value, but more to create a wide ranging network of protected sites simply representing the diversity of particular interests. The criteria for their creation and the subsequent control of activities in them reflect, in slightly less stringent terms, the approach of the Habitats Directive, including the precautionary principle in relation to potential environmental damage (pursuant to which it will be for the proposed developer to demonstrate that the project will have no or very limited impact on the marine environment) and the need for it be demonstrated that there are no practical alternatives to the development, that public interest outweighs any damage that might be caused and that the developer will provide suitable compensation. The implementation of the Habitats Directive in the UK initially brought significant uncertainties—both for developers and conservation bodies—concerning the basis of the selection of sites, the criteria against which assessments should be carried out and the meaning of the no alternatives/public interest/compensation requirements. If similar uncertainties are not to act as a deterrent to smaller renewable energy projects offshore and to those who might fund them, it will be critical that the whole industry participates fully in the designation process and the setting of clear conservation objectives for sites that are selected.

GRID AND CONNECTIVITY ISSUES

  The fact that a large proportion of new renewable generation capacity is often located in geographically remote locations, often with intermittent output, means that there are questions as to whether the current transmission regime is fit to achieve the Government's current renewables targets.

  We recently hosted a renewable energy dinner the focus of which was the barriers to funding in the sector. The debate was chaired by Lord Moyniham. One of the many issues which our clients and contacts felt was a significant barrier to investment was the lengthy delays involved in renewable energy and conventional generators connecting with the transmission network.

  These delays were seen as being primarily due to:

    —  The scale of demand for new generator connections—at the moment the National Grid operates a first-come-first-served approach to connecting generation without reflecting the status of projects in the queue for connection. With the re-banding of the Renewable Obligation, demand for connection is only set to increase;

    —  Planning permission;

    —  Existing generators have limited incentives to release or sell transmission capacity in the short term; and

    —  Limited information is made available between transmission licensees and generators.

  Various ideas have been put forward to try and release the queue for Grid connectivity. One issue is whether to adopt fundamental change (for example charging electricity suppliers to invest and connect to the Grid) or incremental change revolving around queue juggling. The organisations which are controlling the Grid queue system are not geared up for seismic change therefore this issue cannot be left to the Grid companies alone and public body involvement is required.

  Other factors which could assist would be linking Grid connectivity access to planning consent. We understand that this is contemplated in respect of the fast-track large infrastructure projects which is welcome news. However consideration also needs to be given to smaller power generators.

  At a recent speech given by the British Wind Energy Association (BWEA), it stated that if the consenting process for onshore wind farms was reduced to nine months, this in itself would have a minimal impact on wind farm development and output going forwards. In their view, the key limiting factor is Grid connectivity and if these issues were resolved then this would have a highly marked impact on the output of energy from renewable sources. This is even more marked when considering offshore wind farms since the establishment of an offshore grid is in its infancy.

  On 31 January 2008 OFGEM and DBERR published an interim report to the Secretary of State on its findings so far in its review of transmission access. One of its key findings is that stronger commercial incentives could be placed on the transmission companies to deliver on time firm connection dates to developers who have made an appropriate financial commitment.

  The current Energy Bill includes provisions to assist in implementing a new regime that will provide the infrastructure to transmit electricity from offshore renewables to the onshore electricity supply network. At present, existing offshore connections are owned and operated by the generator-developers. A new offshore transmission regime, to optimise existing and future offshore connections by requiring that they be owned and operated by a separate licensed entity, is being implemented under the Electricity Act 1989 and the Energy Act 2004. The Bill gives additional powers to enable GEMA (Gas and Electricity Markets Authority) to run a tender process for licensing connections of large scale offshore renewables projects to the onshore electricity network. These proposals are broadly welcomed by the industry.

REGULATORY REGIME AND FINANCIAL INCENTIVES

  A common theme expressed by many of our clients and contacts in the sector is that a stable regulatory and economic regime is required over the medium term to provide investors with the confidence that they will obtain an acceptable return on their investment over say a five to 10 year period.

  The re-banding of the Renewable Obligation from 1 April 2009 has been broadly welcomed by investors and renewable companies alike. However, there are calls for the banding to be increased for certain of the emerging technologies which require almost prohibitively high levels of capital expenditure to research, develop, test and deploy these technologies. We feel that the government should consider raising the banding in certain sectors even further to ensure a significant continued inflow of investment into the various renewable energy generation sectors.

  In addition the Renewable Obligation is due to be reviewed by Government every five years. In order to aid investor confidence (which will be looking for medium to long-term stability) we would suggest that the Government should commit to an upwards only re-banding at any such review.

  We note that prior to the implementation of the RO, the Government did consult on various methods of incentivising investment in the industry, including the use of feed-in tariffs. Whilst the Government has decided that a green certificate such as the ROC is the preference in the UK, there is still much debate over whether the subsidy system developed by the feed-in tariff principle is actually more lucrative for renewable power generators and therefore more attractive to investors.

  The investors involved with medium to large scale renewable energy projects are sophisticated and are often not constrained to solely investing in the UK. The costs of developing, installing and maintaining a renewable energy plant in the UK (in terms of both time costs and capital expenditure for R&D, construction costs, professional fees and ongoing maintenance) are high compared to other jurisdictions. In our experience the more sophisticated renewable energy companies are often choosing to establish operations outside the UK. One example would be our client Clipper Windpower plc which is a UK company listed on AIM which constructs wind turbines—to date its entire wind farm portfolio is established in the US rather than the UK. There are many reasons for this including ease of planning consent in US states, accessibility of skilled engineers and scientists and the monetary exchange rate.

  It goes without saying that the more incentives (such as tax breaks and grants) which central or local government can provide to entities involved at each stage of the development and implantation of renewable energy projects the better. The establishment of the Energy Technology Institute in December 2007 has been welcomed. This is a 50:50 partnership between the Government and various leading companies and which provides grants for the funding of testing of prototype renewable technologies. The Government should encourage the development of more organisations of this kind.

GENERAL MOOD WITHIN THE INDUSTRY

  As previously mentioned we recently held a dinner for 50 clients and contacts in the renewable sectors (both companies and investors). The theme of the dinner was the hurdles to investment in renewable energy projects and we held a round table discussion chaired by Lord Moynihan. Members of our firm have also recently attended the two day All-Energy conference in Aberdeen.

  At both of these events we detected a very strong feeling of frustration with the amount of red tape, delays and other hurdles which renewable energy companies need to overcome. The individuals leading these companies are passionate about their technologies and processes and demonstrate huge drive and determination to ensure that their businesses are successful.

  The government on the one hand is claiming that it is committed to producing certain levels of renewable energy within certain timeframes and on paper these are impressive targets. However, within the industry there is resignation and extreme frustration at the hurdles which the industry needs to overcome to be able to produce energy from renewable resources. Examples include the complexity of the planning approval system and non joined up thinking between different government departments and tiers of government. Processes urgently need to be streamlined and simplified as we are in danger of many such companies seeking to establish their renewable energy technologies and business overseas rather than in the UK.

16 June 2008



 
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