Select Committee on Economic Affairs First Report


THE ECONOMIC IMPACT OF IMMIGRATION

CHAPTER 1: INTRODUCTION

The UK's immigration debate

1.  Immigration has become one of the biggest public policy issues in the UK. Net immigration—defined as immigration minus emigration from the UK—of non-British persons trebled from less than 100,000 per year in the early 1990s to over 300,000 in 2006, reaching a scale unprecedented in our history.[1] Over the same period, the share of adults who considered "immigration and race relations" as the most important issue facing Britain increased from less than 5% to over 40% (see Appendix 4).[2] For most of 2006 and 2007, immigration was the number one issue of concern to the British public, more important than law and order, the National Health Service (NHS) and international terrorism.[3]

2.  Net immigration, rather than natural change (births minus deaths), has been the main driver of UK population growth since the early 1990s (see Appendix 5). The UK population is now projected to grow from 60.6 million in 2006 to 71 million in 2031. More than two thirds of this growth is attributable, directly or indirectly,[4] to future net immigration.[5]

3.  Given the long-term demographic impacts of, and rising public concern about, the rapid increase in immigration, there is a need for a comprehensive debate about the economic, social and cultural impacts of immigration. Consideration of the economic impacts, with which this report is concerned, must include a critical assessment of the Government's economic case for immigration which has been largely based on three arguments: (i) immigration generates large economic benefits for the UK because it increases economic growth; (ii) immigrants are needed to fill labour and skills shortages and do the jobs that British workers will not do; and (iii) immigration generates fiscal benefits for the UK. The Government's highly positive assessment of the economic impact of immigration on the UK contrasts with the more mixed views of the public. About 37% of the public agree that "immigration is good for the British economy", but 40% disagree. A quarter of the public think that "we need more immigrants to do the jobs that British people don't want to do", but half do not think so.[6]

Objectives and key issues

4.  This report addresses key questions about the economic impacts of immigration on the resident population in the UK. To be as transparent as possible in what has often been a fairly confused debate, it is important to clarify at the outset some basic definitions and the scope of the inquiry. For the purpose of this report, "economic impacts" are defined broadly to include impacts on public services and economic consequences of rising population density, but the report does not discuss the impacts of immigration on cultural diversity and social cohesion[7] (although there may be associated economic impacts). "Immigrants" are defined as foreign-born persons or, where data for foreign born are not available, as foreign nationals (that is, persons without British citizenship). The term "resident population" is meant to indicate a focus (although not an exclusive one) on the impacts of immigration on the pre-existing population (that is, on the population residing in the UK before the arrival of new immigrants) rather than on immigrants or their countries of origin. Finally, the report focuses on the impacts of immigration for the UK as a whole, although some regional differences—important both in terms of the number and impacts of immigrants—are highlighted.

5.  The choice of questions addressed in this report reflects the key themes in Britain's growing immigration debate as well as the arguments made by Government over the past ten years:

  • What do we know about the scale, characteristics and demographic impacts of recent immigration? (chapter 2)
  • How does immigration impact on the incomes and living standards of the resident population? (chapter 3)
  • Is there a need for immigrant workers to fill labour and skills shortages? (chapter 4)
  • Does immigration generate fiscal benefits for the UK? (chapter 5)
  • What are the economic impacts of rising population density? (chapter 6)
  • What conclusions do we draw for the UK's immigration policies? (chapter 7)

6.  The discussion of these issues is based on a critical review of existing theories and evidence rather than on new data and research. The inquiry has generated more than 70 pieces of written evidence, and another 35 pieces of oral evidence, from a wide range of people and institutions in and outside the UK, including academics, think tanks, employers associations, trades unions, NGOs, local government and government departments across the UK.[8]

7.  A recurring theme of our inquiry, highlighted at various points in this report, is the serious inadequacy of the existing data on immigration, emigration and the stock of immigrants in the UK. The lack of reliable and more complete data makes it very difficult to assess the scale, characteristics and impacts of immigration.

8.  While our inquiry has assessed the overall economic impact of immigration, it is important to bear in mind that as a member of the European Union, the UK cannot regulate the number or selection of nationals of the European Economic Area (EEA)[9] entering the country. Most EEA nationals also have the automatic right to work in the UK. Asylum seekers have rights to humanitarian protection in the UK by virtue of international human rights treaties. This leaves as the major area of discretionary policy the entry of non-EEA nationals other than asylum seekers. When such nationals come to reside here, they have the right to bring their families with them. We do not discuss what these rights should be, but when considering the entry of foreign workers allowance must also be made for the fact that many of them will bring families with them. The economic impact on the resident population should be a central criterion for regulating the immigration and employment of these non-EEA, non-asylum seekers wishing to come here.


1   ONS, Total International Migration (TIM) Tables, 1991-2006 Back

2   Ipsos MORI 2007a, http://www.ipsos-mori.com/polls/trends/issues.shtml#2007  Back

3   Ipsos MORI 2007b, http://www.homeoffice.gov.uk/documents/moripolls0607/BIA_6_monthly_Topline_Resul1.pdf?view=Binary This new survey asks, for the first time, specifically about "immigration" rather than about "immigration and race relations" in general. Back

4   Net immigration impacts on population growth directly by increasing the number of people, and indirectly through its impact on fertility rates. Back

5   GAD, Migration and Population Growth, http://www.gad.gov.uk/Demography_Data/Population/2004/methodology/mignote.asp , accessed on 10 Feb 2008 Back

6   Source: Ipsos Mori poll of 1,000 adults aged 16+ in Britain, May-June 2007, available at the Home Office website Back

7   The impact of migration on community cohesion is currently the subject of a separate inquiry by the Communities and Local Government Committee of The House of Commons. See: http://www.parliament.uk/parliamentary_committees/clg/clgsubccm_200708.cfm Back

8   The evidence is available in volume II of this report, HL 82-II Back

9   EU 27 and Iceland, Liechtenstein and Norway Back


 
previous page contents next page

House of Lords home page Parliament home page House of Commons home page search page enquiries index

© Parliamentary copyright 2008