Select Committee on European Union Minutes of Evidence


Examination of Witness (Questions 222-239)

Mr Graham Meadows

4 MARCH 2008

  Q222  Chairman: Good morning, Mr Meadows, thank you very much for coming. May I say by way of a preliminary remark that the whole session is recorded and you will get a transcript which you can take a view on. You have of course already provided written answers to many of our questions but we are probably still going to ask them just the same and pick away at the answers. Would you like us just to start or would you prefer to make an opening statement?

  Mr Meadows: Thank you, My Lord Chairman; I would prefer you to start.

  Q223  Chairman: Then we will do that. You get me first putting the formal question, what should be the objectives of the EU's Structural Funds and how can the Funds become more effective in supporting public policy in Member States and regions? What mechanisms of delivery could make the policy more user-friendly? That is the formal general question which you have already provided some answers on, but perhaps you could just start there.

  Mr Meadows: The first point to underline is that the EU Structural Funds are instruments of regional and cohesion policy, or agricultural development policy, or policy for restructuring the fisheries sector. The Funds are governed by the objectives of the policies. The objectives of regional and cohesion policy are best seen in relation to the economic objectives set out most recently in the Lisbon Treaty: the pursuit of balanced growth and of social market economy which is providing jobs for Union citizens. These are the overall objectives of the Treaty, of EU regional policy and, therefore, of the funds. Are the Funds effective or is the policy effective? In my answers I tried to show that, although the structure of the policy is quite complex, it brings a number of benefits to the policymaker in the sense of levering in financial resources from other sources into development areas, of on strategic investments, of supporting the creation of the European Union's single market for labour, and so on. The main problem with the Funds at the moment, which makes them less user-friendly than they otherwise would be is the steady accretion of financial management responsibilities. Whereas we would all wish to see public policy managed in such a way that taxpayers' money is used for the purposes for which it is intended by the policymakers, European regional and cohesion policy is reaching a state where you have the impression that financial controls are now into the belt and braces zone: the processes are being over-controlled and there is a need to find a new way of approaching this question of financial control which would make it easier for people and for companies to have access to Structural Funds through regional development programmes.

  Chairman: I am going to postpone, if I may, discussion of how might we change the finances to later when Lord Woolmer will ask you about it, but I want to get us into the heart of it. One of the issues that this Committee is having to think about for the report is whether we in any way support a policy of repatriation or we do not; in that context I want to focus very much on that particular question because it is one of the issues for us. Lord Trimble.

  Q224  Lord Trimble: On the question of repatriation of Funds I notice in paragraph 30 of your evidence you have a long list—it runs over the page—of things that would be lost by the policies of repatriation and re-nationalisation, so you see a lot of disadvantages, do you, in the repatriation of regional policy. Do you see any advantages?

  Mr Meadows: The first point I would like to make, for my benefit rather than for the Committee's -so that you choose the word "repatriation" to describe the process which makes it sound as if you are bringing home wounded warriors who have been fighting for the realm abroad. Re-nationalisation is a slightly better word in the sense that a process which brought the implementation and direction of regional policy more closely towards central government would actually remove, or would be in danger of removing powers or measures of discretion from the regions themselves. Repatriation focuses only on that part of the process which is bringing something back from abroad, to here in the heart of government as it were. Re-nationalisation makes us aware that there are two sides to the process. It may be that the price of bringing something back from abroad is that we also take something away from either the devolved parts of the United Kingdom or from the regions themselves.

  Q225  Lord Kerr of Kinlochard: You could run a regional policy on a regional basis, it does not have to be centrally run.

  Mr Meadows: Perhaps I can come to the question about what you could do in a second part of this answer because you could do many things. It is rather a question of how you assess what you would do if you could. If that sounds Rumsfeldian, I apologise. Let me come back to Lord Trimble's question about advantages. Quite clearly, to the extent that administration may be more difficult because any European Union policy has to apply in 27 Member States and has to try to reflect the conditions in 27 Member States, in theory at least it ought to be possible to have a simpler administrative system if you are only dealing with one particular Member State. Coming back to Lord Kerr's question about could and would, there is no doubt that many of the disadvantages of re-nationalisation could be avoided if that is what the re-nationalising government wished to do. There are one or two things which it would be difficult to avoid, which in my view would represent a loss of quality inside a country like the United Kingdom: one would be the time horizon which European policy gives at the moment—it would be difficult to replicate a seven year or a nine year time horizon: another would be the difficulty of replicating the linkage in terms of economic management between the Cohesion Fund, which is part of the Structural Fund package, and the Union's Growth and Stability pact, or, in other words, management of deficits. To end on the advantage, the advantage ought to be a simpler administrative system, it ought to be perhaps a system which is more responsive to the Member States' needs. The problem is that we have to try to judge—this is why I get into this difficulty between would and could—what a Member State would do if it was re-creating a national regional policy. Here it seems to be fair to consider as important the track record of particular Member States. If you look into the Union there are some Member States who are extremely committed to regional policy and you can see that, perhaps, the transfer back to them of regional policy would have little impact and perhaps bring extra advantages. The Federal Republic of Germany, for example, is one which has a long history of very active regional policy. Then you have other Member States which have a more embryonic or ad hoc regional policy and you have the feeling that if regional policy went back to those Member States, perhaps within a fairly short time some of the benefits which have been established in the past would be eroded.

  Q226  Lord Trimble: I have to say that from that perspective one regards European regional policy as only an aspect of regional policy, there are other aspects of regional policy that currently operate on a national basis, and indeed regional policy existed before we went into the European Union, so I do not regard European regional policy as being regional policy full stop. Can I put to you an interesting experience that I had about ten years ago when we were starting to prepare for devolution in Northern Ireland and I found myself in conversation with a very senior official of the Northern Ireland Department of Finance. We were discussing European funding and he said that European regional funding was quite often more trouble than it is worth, and the reason why he said that was that the Northern Ireland Department was under constant pressure from the Treasury to design its capital spending programme so as to attract as much European funding as possible and that this distorted the public expenditure priorities and sometimes made them adopt projects that would not be high priorities simply in order to ensure a drawdown on European funding. Obviously, this is that particular official's viewpoint and it is a different viewpoint from that of people who are running the regional authorities and already know that they are going to get X amount of money branded as European anyway, but I would just like to share that with you.

  Mr Meadows: Lord Trimble, you are right to say that European regional policy is only a part of the regional policy armoury which has been deployed in the United Kingdom. You may have been more aware of regional policy in Northern Ireland than someone would have been in perhaps the South West of England before European regional policy began. The views of civil servants—I speak as a former civil servant—are sometimes imperfect. I remember that when the politicians in Cornwall and South-West England were lobbying for Objective 1 status which would have meant considerably more resources coming to the county from Brussels that one of the civil servants in the county said to me confidentially at the time "I only hope we do not succeed because we just will not know what to do with the money". Now it is clear that the rate of economic growth in Cornwall is much greater as a result of Objective 1 status and funding being granted to the country. If you went to the county you would find that there is a fairly widespread agreement that European regional policy has helped the county to reverse its fortunes.

  Q227  Lord Trimble: I notice that in the succeeding paragraphs to the one listing all the things that would be lost by re-nationalisation of regional policy, you say that regional policy makes the Union visible to citizens but then criticise it by saying that it has a "poor record" of claiming credit for its achievements. I am again not really sure that I see this because one is accustomed to seeing regularly projects with large signs saying that this project is being funded by blah-blah-blah—one sees that travelling around the regions regularly. The two points in any event seem to me to be somewhat inconsistent with each other.

  Mr Meadows: You do see signs, you are right, but the number of signs that you see often bears quite a low relationship to the number of projects which are being financed in any region. At times, from Brussels, the European Commission has launched the idea that there should be, for example, one day a year on which people draw attention to the projects or the training actions which have been co-financed from the European Union, not as a way of trying to detract from an appreciation of what the Member States have done for their citizens, but as a way of saying that here Europe has also been trying to assist you. These sorts of ideas are never really very welcome in Member States' capitals.

  Lord Renton of Mount Harry: Can I add something to that last point, simply to say that I am very interested and very glad to hear you say that because I, as very much a supporter of the EU generally, and regional funding, have always thought that it is a very great shame that it is not compulsory that if you are going to get EU regional money as we are talking about, you should advertise the fact that some value is coming from the development of the EU. It happens in Scotland, very much so, but it is totally different and noticeable in my part of the country, south-east England, you never get any credit for the EU but in Scotland it is always very much on the billboards.

  Q228  Lord Trimble: I thought it was compulsory that you did.

  Mr Meadows: It is compulsory.

  Lord Renton of Mount Harry: It is compulsory, is it, and just ignored, is that so?

  Lord Trimble: It may be that there is not much expenditure of regional funds in your area.

  Lord Renton of Mount Harry: It is where one knows that there has been expenditure and there is no advertising.

  Q229  Chairman: Mr Meadows, perhaps you can answer the question whether it is or is not compulsory.

  Mr Meadows: I was quite happy to hear their Lordships' dispute. It is compulsory but it is, as it were, still something which is honoured or fulfilled in a rather strange way and is often not fulfilled at all, so much so that the European Union has the power to withdraw a percentage of funding if it finds that afterwards proper publicity has not been accorded to the project. In my own time we withdrew money from one quite large project because there was no sign inside the airport to say that this was part funded by the European Union. In the north-east of England once Commissioner Wulf-Mathies was taken to the Theatre Royal in Newcastle, which had been refurbished partly with European Union money, but it was difficult to find the plaque. It was there and the law was fulfilled but people going to the theatre would not have been aware of it.

  Lord Renton of Mount Harry: I must say have been to that theatre with Lord and Lady Eccles and I was totally unaware that it had been in any way revamped by EU money.

  Chairman: I would like to pull us back to where we were. Lord Kerr, you had a question on the last point.

  Q230  Lord Kerr of Kinlochard: I was thinking about Lord Trimble's point about Northern Ireland and that going for regional fund money is more trouble than it is worth; and about Mr Meadows' point about the South West. The South West was a very impressive story, but post hoc does not necessarily mean propter hoc, and one of the reasons it seems to me why there has not always been the wildest enthusiasm for bidding for Structural Fund money in the United Kingdom is the Treasury rules on non-additionality; in order to maintain the planned total of public expenditure, if you win money from Brussels this is netted off against your money from London. This rule does not create enormous enthusiasm for a huge bidding exercise or perhaps plaques in theatres when you win. Would you like to comment on that?

  Mr Meadows: In the past was a tough debate between the European Union and the United Kingdom about this very question, about whether funding was, or should be, additional or not, I think Lord Kerr, who was then Sir John Kerr, was the British Permanent Representative in Brussels at the time. The issue was only partly solved and has been further diluted since. It is true that among officials you may encounter reluctance to campaign for funding, but politicians from Brussels, politicians or political leaders in regions or in the devolved parts of the Union realise that there is at least publicity value in it and there may be a marginal or even considerable value in getting additional funds by going to Brussels. My experience was that there was no shortage of people coming and arguing for funding. One of the problems that the policy faces, and I do not think this is only in the United Kingdom it is in other places also, is that if the amount of funding being granted to a Member States is low, then it is very tempting for the Member States to merely mix it in with its own resources. If you were at the moment running the Polish government it would be very difficult not to make the expenditure additional because there is so much, something like 60 billions euros over nine years. That gives a clue as to how to view things. If one looks at a detailed level in the United Kingdom, the amount of funding being targeted into a particular local authority area by the European Union may be a considerable percentage of the authority's investment resources. I have in mind West Cumbria, which was a very clear case. The Union targeted more money into West Cumbria than the British Government would have otherwise paid to the region, so there was a considerable net benefit. Also, you sometimes find that in terms of the net investment effort in a region, the investment effort will be considerably increased by the fact that European Union funding is chiefly for investment. Looked at it in more detail, therefore, and at the level of smaller units, you do see an additional benefit and you see also the benefit of a different quality of expenditure. You do get additional benefits on the ground therefore.

  Q231  Lord Kerr of Kinlochard: Following that up, one takes your point with regard to Poland because EU funding going into Poland is something like 20 per cent, the rate of increase is 20 per cent above the funds that the Polish Government has, so obviously with regard to Poland regional funding has got considerable added value. With regard to larger, richer states, regional funding has comparatively limited added value, so apart from some ideological point, would it not be actually better to take the richer and larger states out of regional funding so as to concentrate the funding where it is going to make a significant difference?

  Mr Meadows: The richer Member States conceal or contain very wide variations in regional incomes or in regional well-being and, as I have just mentioned, we have had experience in the United Kingdom whereby European Union resources coming into the country meant that the Government transferred more of its own resources to less well-off areas. At the end of the exercise it was clear that the regions which had been listed as being eligible for EU funding came out with more funding than they would have otherwise had. One can allocate resources to richer regions and concentrate it on the poorer parts of those regions. Also, it is quite conceivable that without a regional policy which operates in all of the Member States adherence to the single market or adherence to the single currency would be weakened in some Member States.

  Q232  Lord Renton of Mount Harry: Could I just mention, Mr Meadows, that area of northern England that you mentioned? Could this be due to them having a very active MEP and therefore making a lot of noise, and that some of this has therefore been picked up by the local MPs in order to get the EU money and with that more Government money? It seems to me just the sort of suitable target for an MEP.

  Mr Meadows: I would like to hand the credit to them, but West Cumbria was two local authority areas and because of the configuration of the areas—it is the coastal plain between the Lake District and the sea—these local authority areas are rather long and they cover the whole area. This was a very particular case, that is why I remember it, and it bore on the additionality argument that Lord Kerr was referring to. The problem for London was the realisation that London had agreed to the transfer to this area of a fairly large amount of European Union resources and then had realised that its own funding to the area was insufficient to provide matching funding. I am quite happy to give the credit to the boisterous nature of Members of the European Parliament or Members of the House of Commons or Members of the House of Lords.

  Q233  Chairman: Can I pick up out of the general question about re-nationalisation of funds or not, in your experience where are the States of the European Union going with it? Is there any general level of support for re-nationalisation? I have no feeling for who thinks what about it.

  Mr Meadows: The last time that Member States had to decide whether they wanted to go for some kind of re-nationalisation was, of course, the budget settlement which was reached in December 2005. That is the last time that the question was put. The fact that the policy is going on in a similar to that which existed before, though with some changes, indicates that there was not a consensus among Member States to re-nationalise European regional policy. Under normal circumstances, after an agreement of that kind, it would be some years before the same question was put again. But in the agreement of December 2005, there was a provision to look again in the mid-term at the evolution of the budget, so, strangely, the arguments which were used in that negotiation are still circulating because the Union is now going through its mid-term review of the present budget settlement. The last time that the Member States were called upon to decide this particular question, then, they decided not to re-nationalise. The Member States themselves have a wide range of needs which can be met through the existence of something like European regional policy, even though it is true as Lord Trimble says, that each of the Member States themselves has its own regional policy.

  Q234  Lord Kerr of Kinlochard: As a strictly economic policy—this is between the lines of your admirable paper—skewing towards the poor makes sense. There was a bit more skewing introduced in 2005 and maybe a little bit more in this mid-term review, but in terms of strict economics, that must be right. You have a number of political arguments for maintaining the Structural Funds EU-wide; you say it is supportive of the single labour market; you say it is supportive of the disciplines of the Stability and Growth Pacts and you say it is also good for the image of the Union EU-wide. Probably you would also concede that it is politically tricky in some Member States to agree that they would not be eligible for any money from the Structural Funds, or only for a little bit. But basically the economics of the operation only make sense if it is a way of transferring resources from the richer Member States to the poorer Member States; do you agree with that?

  Mr Meadows: By and large, yes, but I would also say that in my view the skewing to the poorer Member States has probably gone too far. One has to have in mind that when the policy began there was a certain balance and the balance was struck around the threshold of 75 per cent of community income. Those regions with a per head income less than 75 per cent of the Community average received something like 80 per cent of the funding and the others 20 per cent. The enlargements of the Union which have taken place have lowered the Community average income by about 15 percentage points. So the balancing point which was thought to be suitable for the policy between 1989 and 2006 has suddenly gone down, although the practice of concentrating funding on the regions below 75 per cent has been retained. You have, therefore, a considerable exaggeration in the skewing effect and you see the effect of this in the United Kingdom. In the United Kingdom, regions which would have continued to receive a fairly large injection of European resources had the enlargements not taken place, in other words had the average income not fallen, no longer receive the same intensity of support. In effect, economically speaking, they are removed from the category of regions receiving the highest intensity of assistance, perhaps before they are in a position where they could continue to sustain the further growth of their own prosperity. This is because the threshold income which triggers the highest intensity of support is now 15 percentage points lower. I find that there is a danger of—if I say it in these terms I do not mean it in an emotional way—abandoning a region before it has reached the position where it can sustain its own development. If one is not careful one will discover that regions—we have seen this in the case of one or two regions—leave eligibility and then bounce back into it, like planes which do not take off. Their economies are in the process of restructuring but when the Union withdraws the funding they cannot sustain the effort and bounce back onto the runway again. I would see that as an economic argument that the balance of the policy has been changed by this lowering of the Community's average income.

  Lord Renton of Mount Harry: Perhaps we could just take that point a bit further because it is precisely the question that I was going to ask.

  Chairman: We will go back, but do take that point now.

  Q235  Lord Renton of Mount Harry: Indeed, that is precisely the point that you make in paragraphs 46 and 47 of your note to us, this drop of 15 percentage points, and when I read that last night I must say I was taken by considerable surprise. Does this actually show the real difficulty for you or the Commission in getting this right and actually satisfying both the needs and the requests? You then, Mr Meadows, go on to suggest the creation of a third category of regions between convergence and competitiveness, perhaps to be called regions in transition, to cover those who might otherwise be over 75 per cent but really should not be. Would you like to just explain that a little bit more because it seems to be part of the difficulty in always having as it were to create new classes in order to keep up with the mob?

  Mr Meadows: The third category exists at the moment but in an ad hoc way. Basically what happens is the Commission proposes some kind of short term transitional arrangement for regions which are no longer to receive high intensity support. The policy offers degressive to help the transition to a lower intensity of aid. This degressive support is time-limited, however. If one looks at the development of some regions, one finds that they become stuck in the, as it were, netherworld. To continue their development, they need an intensity of support which is higher than that given to the generality of regions, although it need not be as high as in the very worst-off. As a result they find it difficult to close the gap between their average income and the Union average. At the moment, the policy is in a certain sense unfair because it removes necessary support from some regions before they are able to sustain their continued development. In economic terms it is not good management to reduce the intensity of support below the level which would be justified by the economic fundamentals. I think it could be done better and have suggested, as you say Lord Renton, a third intermediate regional classification.

  Lord Trimble: It might just be worthwhile trying to sort out the factual basis of this because you are assuming that if a region ceases for example to be Objective 1 and then there is a reduction in the amount of European regional fund money that comes to the pot, that then results in a lowering of regional funding for the region. I do not think that actually is the case as far as the United Kingdom is concerned. Just from our own experience when we ceased to be Objective 1 we had of course transitional arrangements regionally after that, but there was no reduction in total funding for the region, it continued to increase in the way that other parts of the United Kingdom expenditure was increasing. The strain did not come in the region; if there was any strain it came on the Exchequer generally and there was no reduction of expenditure in the region. That might not be true of other countries or other regions, but it might be worthwhile just inquiring into that.

  Lord Kerr of Kinlochard: Poverty is relative. If you admit a large number of poor Member States what happens to the average is pretty obvious and 75 per cent of that is 75 per cent of something else. I have noted down the years how Member States grappled with that situation, changing the frontiers of their regions, and playing games of that kind. I did it with the frontiers of the Highlands and Islands myself, to get Aberdeen out of the Highlands in order to maintain the great poverty of the Highlands.

  Lord Renton of Mount Harry: We now know who was to blame.

  Q236  Lord Kerr of Kinlochard: This is a political game which is nothing to do with the economics. The economics is that you will do most good by sending the money to where the need is greatest and when Spain joined the pressure on the UK was considerable and we fought gallantly to hang on to as much as we possibly could, but the balance tilted to Spain, quite rightly. Now that the East Europeans have joined the balance has tilted from Spain to East Europe, and this is correct, that is where the money is needed.

  Mr Meadows: I will come to Lord Trimble but, first of all, yes, poverty is relative. I find it, however, difficult to say to a region which is no better off absolutely on Tuesday than it was on Monday, "You are relatively much better off than you were yesterday because a lot of less well-off Member States have joined the European Union." It is true that poverty is relative, but there is an absolute element to be taken into account. The second thing is you will be pleased to know, Lord Kerr, that as a result of your stalwart efforts with the Highlands a regulation was adopted by the European Union which prevents the gerrymandering of regional borders in the course of a negotiation over a budget settlement. Lord Kerr was quite shameful in the sense that he actually did it when he knew he would derive a financial benefit from it—or he knew that the region would.

  Q237  Lord Woolmer of Leeds: Is that shameless or shameful?

  Mr Meadows: Could I answer Lord Trimble? The first thing to remember—and I have only ever seen this through a glass darkly, as it were, is that the United Kingdom has a very firm arrangement, the Barnet formula, for distributing public sector resources between its constituent nations. It may well be possible, as Lord Kerr said, that the removal of European Union finance would in some way be compensated in the application of that formula. If you look into the Irish Republic, I would imagine that support for regions has changed as a result of the fact that intensity of support under regional policy is now much less than it was, let us say five years ago, and if you look into other Member States you do see a difference in the amount of resources being injected into a region if their status inside European regional policy changes. In other words, you can see by the loss of a resource the fact that the resource was bringing an additional benefit.

  Q238  Lord Trimble: This is the point that I put to you earlier, that there are some states where, because of their smaller size and position financially, regional policy has significant added value for those states and there are other states where it does not. That is basically the argument that you are putting to me now.

  Mr Meadows: Yes, but I do not want you to interpret me as saying that it is only in a particular group of Member States that the benefit can be derived from regional policy—and here I would probably have to part company with you and Lord Kerr. I believe that even in a quite well-off Member State there are always quite large pockets of low income which would benefit from the application of a regional approach.

  Lord Trimble: That is undoubtedly the case but I do not think it is right to assume that the comparatively well-off Member State would not itself have a policy for dealing with the problems of deprivation.

  Chairman: I am going to call time on this one and move us on. Lord Steinberg, you were going to ask about the impact that enlargement has had on Structural Funds but much of this it seems to me has already been answered. Have you anything that you would like to ask on that?

  Q239  Lord Steinberg: First of all I would like to congratulate you, Mr Meadows, on preparing a good list of answers to our questions. Whilst we may not agree with all of them, it is certainly a very comprehensive answer, so thank you for that. What I want to ask is we have been talking quite a bit about percentages of effect and whilst I have never been a mathematician I have worked in the question of financial matters for some time. I am concerned as to how you arrive at the 15 percentage points. Where have you taken that figure from? How many new entrants were there; have you taken that then with the full 27 in and what was your previous starting figure because 15 percentage points is an awful lot, and I am really very much concerned that you might not have taken it from the right starting point and you may have gathered this figure from some statistic. I found it very, very strange when you have large numbers of countries already with rather large Structural Fund positions; 15 percentage points seems enormous to me, could you explain that, please?

  Mr Meadows: Thank you, Lord Steinberg. Remember that we are working with harmonised income data which is collected from the Member States so one may have a range of questions about the data, but these are harmonised and to the best of everyone's efforts we can have confidence in the data with which we are working. That is the first point. The second point is that the enlargement of the Union to take in the ten new Member States—that is the 12 minus Romania and Bulgaria—because the national income per head of those Member States is so much lower than the Union average, and in some parts of Poland it is only a little more than a third of the Union average, the effect of taking in ten rather poor Member States meant that the average income fell by about 12 percentage points at the first stage, and it was on the basis of that reduced income that the present period was decided, and that produced, as Lord Kerr said, a shift of resources towards the new Member States. In the United Kingdom a number of regions like Merseyside and South Yorkshire, for example—which had been below 75 per cent—as a result of this change came above 75 per cent and moved into this transitional group that I mentioned earlier. What is significant is that even with that percentage drop in income, there are still parts of the United Kingdom which are below 75 per cent of the average, which is really a significant finding. Since that political agreement was reached in December 2005, of course, Romania and Bulgaria have also joined the Union and they are also poorer than the new average, so they have pulled the average down by another two percentage points although the lower income of 15 percentage points has not yet been applied for the policy. In other words we have never had the selection of regions on the basis of this full 15 percentage point drop. Quite clearly, however, a region like Cornwall or West Wales and the Valleys would no longer qualify for the high levels of support they are getting on the basis of the present level of income in the European Union, they would both now be above 75 per cent of the new Community average.

  Lord Steinberg: I can understand all of that and I know of course that there has been a shift, but you still did not tell me where you started off from, how the 15 per cent was arrived at, because 15 per cent is a colossal figure and Romania, Bulgaria and Poland would not change it by that amount. I entirely agree with my colleagues that there is a shift and that the poorer countries are not only entitled but are receiving much more in terms of aid. Here I have to declare an interest: I have just bought a sizeable business in Poland a week and a half ago, so I am obviously confident about the future of Poland. If you are telling me that that 15 percentage points has come from when we were 15 then I can understand it better, but if you are telling me that it has happened with Romania and Bulgaria coming in, going from 25 to 27—if I am right you said that effect was about two or three percentage points.


 
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