Select Committee on European Union Minutes of Evidence


Examination of Witnesses (Questions 360-379)

Mr Jim Murphy and Ms Jennifer Cole

3 JULY 2008

  Q360  Lord Anderson of Swansea: Can we take it, given what you have already said, that you will be pressing for Justice and Home Affairs and the more narrowly external to be more integrated?

  Mr Murphy: We certainly will. This of course will not be a conversation about the Lisbon Treaty but one of the difficulties in a post Lisbon or non-Lisbon environment is that the pillar on Justice and Home Affairs was envisaged to be an important part of the internal facing security work, moving pillar 3, JHA, into the Community method, but that is not currently expected.

The Committee suspended from 3.42 pm to 3.54 pm for a division in the House of Commons

  Q361 Chairman: Just on the question which Lord Anderson was raising with you, which is the relations between the external and the internal dimensions of security, I wonder, given that the French White Book which has come out has very much pulled together the internal and the external dimensions of security, whether there is any chance that one of the things the French presidency will wish to see given a higher precedence within the European Security Strategy is this internal dimension of security and the inter-linkage between both of them.

  Mr Murphy: I think there is a genuine desire in Paris to see a much better inter-linkage. I do not think it is conceivable or practical for the French presidency or even in the context of this refreshed Strategy to expect an absolutely common architecture in the governance of these issues but certainly a much better cohesion between internal and external, perhaps a more proportionate spend. It is certainly my understanding that there is a 10 to one balance internal versus external spend in the EU budget on migration. I am not certain whether the right balance is seven to one or eight to one, but is the 10 to one legacy or a reflection of today and tomorrow? That is another conversation I think we do need to have.

  Q362  Lord Crickhowell: I would like to come to energy security, which is rather another aspect of the internal/external. It is a subject we have been pursuing with a number of witnesses. Clearly, Europe is faced with an energy supply problem, notably with gas from Russia on and so on, which is what people tend to think about energy in Europe. That is really an economic infrastructure subject. One of the things that has come out of the evidence is that what many people are thinking in terms of the energy strategy, or vision, as one rather wisely thought of it rather than a strategy, was the fact that states around the world, including Russia, are over-dependent on energy and that when it runs out, they may be faced with severe internal crises and become weak and fragile states, and that again, if energy shortages around the world develop, there may be tensions between states and even outbreaks of conflict over energy. There are two quite different issues here, I think, and they are dealt with probably by different functionaries in the economic community, one dealing with the energy to Europe supplies and the other with the creation of the threats to security with which the Strategy deals. I would be very interested to hear what the Government's approach is to this and whether you agree that what we are talking about here is the fragile state, the threats outside, rather than simply the supply of gas, primarily, to Europe from Russia or central Asia.

  Mr Murphy: I do hope your Lordship does not mind when I say I think it is all of the above, in that a genuinely coherent strategy, partially in the Security Strategy but also in the review of the European Energy Strategy, I think, has to deal with the pressing problem we have about diversity of source and diversity of routes to market. In terms of our own economy, the case is pretty clear; the geopolitics of energy as well. There is also an additional issue. I think Gareth Thomas in his letter to your Lordships' Committee talked about the relationship between climate change and energy as, I think he said, a multiplier of instability. I think that was the phrase he used. A coherent strategy should capture all of that. This point about energy source and route to market: I recently, a month or so ago, travelled to Baku to meet the President and other members of the government and those considering investing further in the diversification of routes to European markets. I think that is the importance of the Nabucco pipeline. There are at least two important criteria here: diversity of source and diversity of route to European market and Nabucco gets you both of those. It is an alternative source of energy and it is an alternative route of supply to the European Union's economies that does not travel through Russia, and that is very important. Other pipelines are important as well but that is the strategic importance of Nabucco. But it is all of the above, certainly in terms of the Security Strategy, when you look at the climate change and energy impacts of the Security Strategy.

  Q363  Lord Crickhowell: I do not doubt the importance of that. Indeed, we address it very firmly in our report on Russia and Europe. We agree it has a high priority but when we come to this vision, this European Security Strategy, it seems to me, and a number of our witnesses have emphasised this point very strongly, that we must not overlook that, as far as security and the external threat is concerned, it may not be the supply to Europe. It may be the tensions created elsewhere in the world because of energy supply problems in states which then become vulnerable states and states open to attack. The question that worries one is that the things may get confused and one needs to make sure that they are both addressed in the right way.

  Mr Murphy: That is right; it is important to avoid a confusion but the temptation in some of the conversations—I reflected on this either in evidence to a Commons Select Committee or in the chamber of the House itself—the conversation and debate about European energy I think is entirely out of kilter with the importance of it. The European debate over the past year has been energetic for all sorts of reasons but, as we perhaps move away in time from the debate on the Lisbon Treaty and accept perhaps that is to be parked for a little while and wait to see the outcome and what happens with Ireland, the energy of the European debate on these issues I think will gain a much sharper focus. The danger is we see it through the prism of our relationship with Russia or the world's relationship with Iran, both of those things and an awful lot more besides, but, regardless of the failed state security threat in oil or gas-producing nations, it is an over-arching strategic priority for us to do what we can in terms of these pipelines, which is why I went to Baku.

  Q364  Lord Hannay: Minister, I wonder if we could talk about weapons of mass destruction. First really an analytical question to you: to what extent has proliferation of weapons of mass destruction, particularly nuclear, become a greater security concern since the 2003 Strategy was agreed? Is it to an extent that needs to be reflected in the review of implementation that is under way? What is your assessment also of the risks posed by the very big increase in civil nuclear power that is likely to occur as a result of climate change negotiations and also demand for electricity? Then if I could step somewhat wider than that and ask you whether you believe that the Security Strategy needs to take account of the very important developments in the last few months on both sides of the Atlantic with regard to the need to revive the multilateral nuclear disarmament agenda, efforts led by Schultz, Perry, Nunn and Kissinger on the far side of the Atlantic but taken up in the pages of The Times this week by three former Foreign Secretaries and a former Secretary General of NATO, contributed to also by the Foreign Secretary, whether you think that with that issue rising up the agenda and becoming very actual next year it needs to be reflected in this review of the security agenda.

  Mr Murphy: In response to those three specific questions on the nuclear threat, has it become more acute since the 2003 Strategy, the direct answer is yes, with North Korea, Iran and potentially Syria, but certainly the first two, and further work has to go on in terms of the detail of Syria's intentions or ambitions, which are entirely unlawful if indeed it is for military capabilities. In terms of the growth of the civil nuclear industry, or renaissance, as I think it has been described elsewhere, as your Lordships will be aware, we do support continued growth of civil nuclear programmes, as long as there is inspection and oversight and as long as there is an acute sensitivity to the nuclear cycle and nuclear material not falling into the wrong hands. In principle we think it is right. In fact, we actively support other nations in their ambitions for civil nuclear capacity. Indeed, that is the message we are giving to Iran, amongst others, as your Lordships will be aware. In terms of the Non-Proliferation Treaty in advance of the Review Conference in 2010, we would like to see the European Union playing a bigger role—Member States but also the European Union—to give greater energy to the multilateral disarmament commitments that nuclear nations have signed up to. I think it has been reflected in the Government's response to this. We would very much welcome a higher profile conversation in advance of the Review Conference. I know, Lord Hannay, this will not happen with the members of this Committee but as long as it does not confuse the issue about and the right of Parties to the Non-Proliferation Treaty to develop nuclear energy for peaceful purposes, which is, of course, one of the basic pillars of the NPT, as your Lordships will be aware.

  Q365  Baroness Symons of Vernham Dean: Minister, can you just expand a bit on the civil nuclear renaissance? The fact is that it is actually many countries in the region who are finding that they have uranium. Some of them are relatively poor countries with few natural resources who want to exploit their uranium to the utmost. Others are pretty rich countries who already have supplies of oil and gas but who have also seen that they want to have that sort of capacity into the future. What sort of effort is the EU making in terms of the sorts of things that you were talking about, that is to say, the regular inspection, the nuclear cycle? These are exhortations that you have made, "This is OK provided that ... " but in what active way do you think that the EU through the Strategy ought to be really getting round these issues? Frankly, I have been involved in some of this bilaterally and I do not see a great deal of EU activity. I see quite a lot of UK activity and quite a lot of American activity and I see the International Atomic Energy Authority being very interested, but not actually the EU.

  Mr Murphy: In response to Lord Hannay's point I said that we would like to see a greater role for the EU and greater involvement of the EU.

  Q366  Baroness Symons of Vernham Dean: How?

  Mr Murphy: It is about getting involved in the funding of technological advancement. It is about offering technological advice and on some occasions investment, certainly in the poorer nations, or where investment would help pinpoint the type of behaviour we would like to see. The European Union, the Commission and others being involved at that early stage. The fact is—and I know you are very acutely aware of this—we have said to these other countries that we strongly support the principle of doing so, whether it is for economic purposes, whether it is, as some try and couch it, for climate change purposes, and for others sometimes it is status, to be frank. Therefore, a greater role for the EU at that early point, sending the dual message of welcoming, in fact celebrating their ambitions, but within the proper context. There is a greater role for the EU. I am not in a position this afternoon to comment on the detail of the EU's failings or deficiencies in this, but I am happy to reflect on it and return to it, if you wish.

  Q367  Lord Hannay: If we could change now to a subject which has also come on to the international agenda since the 2003 European Security Strategy was agreed, which was the acceptance by all Member States in UN of the responsibility to protect. Up to now that has not been very easy to implement, to put it mildly, and there has been much talk about it but not much action, and it has proved in a number of specific cases, of which I imagine Zimbabwe is the most recent but Darfur of course is the most prominent over a longer period and there was a brief reference to it in the case of Burma, but it has been very difficult to articulate this new principle which the European Union's 27 members were very prominent in promulgating in 2005. I just wondered whether you felt that the Security Strategy should point the way forward to a renewed effort to make this a practical working reality rather than just a few words on paper which, frankly, are losing credibility as, when circumstances arise where people are not protected, the international community finds itself unable to do much about it, and whether this should not be one of the directions in which a European Security Strategy which is committed to effective multilateralism should be looking in the future.

  Mr Murphy: The UK's National Security Strategy, of course, acknowledges the importance of the responsibility to protect, and so should the European Security Strategy. One of the things that surprised me in my reading over the past few weeks in advance of conversations about the European Security Strategy, and I perhaps should have known this, is that all 191 Member States, countries who have membership of the UN, signed up to this responsibility to protect. We can perhaps with a spirit of realism come to a sense of how firm and how specific and how strong a commitment it was when all the Member States of the UN signed up to it. I say that only as a way of reflecting. It has not been precise enough. The UK raised the responsibility to protect in the context of Burma. The UN Secretary-General said that Kenya was a most pressing recent example of responsibility to protect. The important development is that the Secretary-General is due to return to the UN with a report about institutionalising the responsibility to protect, and I think that is when we get to a sharper conversation about what all 191 countries actually believed that they signed up to and the consequences of them signing up to it. I think that is the pressure point on responsibility to protect. In the mean time, we will continue to cite it on the basis that all countries in the UN signed up to it. The short answer to your question about the European Security Strategy is yes, it should find an important place in the Security Strategy.

  Q368  Lord Chidgey: Minister, I would like to move on to questions regarding climate change. I will start, if I may, with the formal question which you are aware of concerning the High Representative and his counterpart, who presented a joint report in the March 2008 European Council in which they drew attention to the impact of climate change on international security. Then, of course, there is your letter to us on 26 May, which joined together with this question. It would appear that the Government is concerned that these recommendations from the High Representative were not really ambitious enough given the size of the challenge, which therefore brings us to the main body of this discussion as to what the European Security Strategy should be undertaking. Perhaps you could now spend a little time giving us the Government's view on that in relation to your letter to us in late May.

  Mr Murphy: Of course I will happily do so. I was struck by a comment that Lord Crickhowell made in the context of energy, about how a wise sage had reflected that perhaps this was more of a vision than a strategy, and I think in response to this question the report by the Commission is more of a vision than a strategy.

  Q369  Lord Chidgey: It was a pragmatic Anglo-Saxon that influenced it.

  Mr Murphy: A pragmatic and principled Anglo-Saxon. I had the opportunity to be in Berlin earlier in the week and made a speech trying to persuade our colleagues in Berlin that actually our view of Europe was both pragmatic and principled. They accepted the former resolutely but needed some convincing of the latter. Nevertheless, it is a vision rather than a strategy as it currently exists. This point about regional instability—I was struck when reading in preparing for today by the regional aspect of this. Your Lordships, again, I have only brought one copy of this but I will happily provide it to your Lordships. Earlier in the summer myself, the Foreign Secretary and the whole ministerial team in the Foreign Office Board looked at this issue of climate change and the regional impact in the context of the Security Strategy on water scarcity, demography, crop decline, hunger, coastal risks and finally recent conflicts, and it is a global matter of where the interaction between all six is. I think it may be helpful for your Lordships' Committee to see where the Foreign & Commonwealth Office Board and Ministers consider the interplay between all six of these factors to be, at least five of which are directly relating to climate change, one of which indirectly but I think in time increasingly directly related to climate change, which is conflict. It may be helpful. This is the multiplier of instability template across the globe; it certainly is the guide to the Foreign Office in the work we are doing in this matter, as it is for the rest of the Government and, perhaps not surprisingly, north and central Africa and parts of the Middle East having perhaps four or five of these factors laid on top of one another, with the UK only having one, which is the coastal risk. I will happily provide a copy of this for your Lordships' Committee. On what more the Security Strategy should do, in addition to providing resource, which is important, in addition to providing support by scientific development on climate-sensitive technologies and energy generation and transport and everything else that goes with it, it is also about a greater investment in things like mitigation of disasters, preparation for and mitigation of the tragically inevitable increase over the short to medium term of man-made natural disasters. Substantial work is going in there as well. Ourselves and the Dutch in particular are working on that matter.

  Q370  Lord Chidgey: Thank you for that. In your earlier remark you touched on the issue that these matters have started to spill over into conflict issues, which have far greater significance perhaps in the medium term, if I can put it that way, to the security issues we are talking about. Can you tell us what sort of input the UK has been able to have in addressing that with our colleagues in terms of this European Security Strategy? It seems to spill over much wider issues—I do not want to get into them because they could get out of hand—talking with our EU counterparts in terms of providing physical security against conflict within states we are bounded by in terms of the energy resources that you mentioned, for example.

  Mr Murphy: Our aim in the work we are doing is to ensure that, while this map is informative I think—I know it is certainly informative and illustrative—it is worth reflecting on, without EU and international action, what this map will look like in the future in terms of the very clear prediction on the link between hunger, crop decline and conflict. It is worrying—that is a glib way of putting it; it is much more than worrying about the trends behind crop decline and hunger and the relationship conflict which is why the UK, the Dutch but also the World Bank are working on climate change prevention technologies and the relationship between that and conflict. I will happily, in conjunction with colleagues in DfID, provide more detail to your Lordships on this work we are doing, particularly with the Dutch and the World Bank. A final point perhaps on this, and I hope your Lordships accept I am not one of those who says, "We have managed to persuade Europe to do more of what we would like" because, as I have said before, that is a recipe for fuelling Euro-scepticism, not overcoming it, but this is one of the issues where it is genuinely the case that the UK has been in the lead in the relationship between climate change, conflict and security.

  Q371  Lord Crickhowell: I welcome what you have just said on climate change and really in many respects it was the same point I was making about energy. There are two aspects to this. In the case of climate change, Europe happens to have a very strong climate change policy which it is trying to implement and have an impact on other countries as well. What we are really talking about here—and we have talked about mitigation of disasters and hunger and crops and so on—is also adaptation in the widest sense. What I was trying to seek in the energy question is that, in developing this Security Strategy or vision, one has really got to concentrate on those aspects which really are security-related rather than the home economic aspects, because otherwise we will get into a confusion. It seemed to me that you rather clearly were stating it in the case of climate change, and what I am hoping is that if we are adapting the policy as a security policy, we are emphasising those aspects which are security-related clearly, because otherwise I think we get into a muddle. It seemed to me you were doing that rather clearly in the case of climate change and addressing what are really security aspects.

  Mr Murphy: I apologise to your Lordships if I gave the impression that on both energy and on climate change there is a domestic EU economic imperative but also very clear international peace/conflict prevention dimension as well. I was hoping to emphasise that on both aspects. I apologise to your Lordships if I gave the impression but it certainly was not my intention. It is important on both climate change and energy.

  Chairman: We have been very interested that you have put it like this today because we had an earlier witness talking a bit about the French White Book and suggesting that there again in looking at security were these inter-linkages across. Again, it is one of the points which it is rather important we should see made more clearly in the review of the Security Strategy.

  Q372  Lord Anderson of Swansea: Minister, in an earlier reply you appeared to adopt the view that this 2003 document is a vision and is not a strategy, and suggested that the revision should be more action-orientated. In respect of climate change, in your letter of May 26 you write "We are working to ensure that the report leads to concrete EU action, including regional studies and deeper analysis of climate and security issues." How are you going to do this? How will you seek to ensure that it will be more action-orientated, will concentrate more on implementation? Do you envisage, for example, a series of appendices which relate specifically to proposed action, including timetables?

  Mr Murphy: Lord Anderson, what I was saying was that specifically the report on climate change is more of a vision than a strategy. This specific train of work. The work is to be concluded by December. We have plans to conclude this specific work that Solana and the Commission are doing on climate change by December. I think there is a general acceptance that there have to be many more specifics added to this general vision and that is the process that we are in just now.

  Q373  Lord Anderson of Swansea: Within the body of the document?

  Mr Murphy: Yes. It is within Member States proposing specific courses of action which are specific enough to be tracked and monitored but are realistic enough to be achieved.

  Q374  Lord Hamilton of Epsom: If Member States are going to make those sorts of suggestions, should they not couple them with the increased capabilities they are prepared to contribute towards what they want to see happen? It does not really matter what you put in this document, either as it is now or as it might be revised; if the capabilities to do things are not there, nothing will happen.

  Mr Murphy: That is fair. It is the capabilities to do these things but also—I will probably put this rather inelegantly—the capability within the receiving country, the capacity of the receiving country to absorb the support that is being offered. The Security Strategy is not an aspirational document; it is a very strong statement of the collective view of the European Union countries about the threats that we face and what we should do to resolve them. So it cannot be aspirational; there have to be specifics but, as I say, also the specifics at the other end. I think it is a fair point but it is only part of the story about deliverability. It has to be deliverable but also receivable. That is rather an inelegant way of putting it.

  Q375  Lord Hamilton of Epsom: Would you not also agree that actually what has happened under the existing document is that Europe has massively extended its foreign interventions in a number of different areas since 2003 and the restraint, as much as anything, has been capabilities? You need a lead nation, say France, to say that they think a European mission should be sent to Chad, and then they try and gather anybody else they can to join in on the exercise, but if France does not have the political will and the capability to lead the mission to Chad, nothing happens.

  Mr Murphy: Of course, the Security Strategy is a political declaration. In that context, it is agreed unanimously by Member States at the European Council and it is a political declaration of intent about what Member States are willing to collectively enter into to support and protect their own and other populations. As your Lordships know, it is not a legal document so it will always rely on political will, but the important point I was referring to in Lord Hannay's question about responsibility to protect is that it was political will that got 191 countries to sign up to a document that we would wish to see play a greater role in conflict prevention and conflict intervention on occasion. On the political will, of course it requires ourselves, the French, the Germans, the Dutch and others to have the political will to put technology, equipment and people on the ground, both military and civilian. Some people bemoan this but I actually think it is a very important part of making a positive case for Europe that we can achieve much more by co-operation, for example, in Kosovo. We can achieve an awful lot more by co-operating with other European nations than we could ever do by ourselves. That is the important part of the Strategy that in the past I do not think we have made enough of and, hopefully, if we can agree a comprehensive Strategy, it is a very strong case for Europe in and of itself to be a world player.

  Q376  Lord Hannay: Yes, but surely Lord Hamilton's point is a perfectly valid one, that if you are going to have a review of this Strategy and you are going to both confirm existing priorities and perhaps refer to one or two new ones, like climate change, responsibility to protect and so on, you are going to need to accept that these broad lines of policy will only work if the capabilities are there to make them work, and that it is no good proclaiming them if you do not follow that through and then produce capabilities, which of course could be completely different. Climate change means Europe doing its bit primarily and giving a lead and being prepared credibly to reduce its carbon emissions and so on. In the responsibility to protect it is quite different. The point about the capabilities is surely a very valid one. There has been some shortfall in the period between 2003 and now in turning what was a pretty good document, as everybody feels it was, into a living political policy reality.

  Mr Murphy: Certainly we have looked at the 2003 document and reflected on it, and one of the lessons is that we should all only enter into a set of political commitments that we can reasonably be expected to have the political will to fulfil. So despite the progress in Afghanistan, for example—and we may have time to talk about that—there are problems about commitments in Afghanistan. This is an important point about climate change. There is so much to this, but climate change is, of course, the major emergence since 2003, and we have to get our own house in order. Renewables: the UK was the first EU Member State last week to publish its consultation on renewables. What do we do in terms of Poland? I am not a specialist on the Polish economy or industry but I think 96 or 97 per cent of Polish energy is generated by coal-fired power stations. As we encourage other countries outside the EU to be doing the right thing on climate change, we also have to do the right thing within European Union boundaries and borders. My short answer to Lord Hamilton's question is that we should enter into this political agreement at the end of the year with our eyes fully open, with a full understanding about what it means for the UK and for the other 26 countries of the European Union, and get a collective understanding and a willingness to do what we sign up to.

  Q377  Chairman: I wonder if we could go on to another issue. I think it was during the Portuguese presidency that the EU began to see the links between security and development and governance in approaching the problems of fragile states. I wonder whether you feel, although there is obviously some reference to development in the 2003 document, this question of stabilising fragile states is not something that has become more important over this five-year period and the problems arising from what one might call the implosion of fragile states are one of the real sources of insecurity in the modern world. How far do you feel that ought to be taken into account in the revision?

  Mr Murphy: There is certainly a greater international sensitivity to the impact of failed states, the regional impact and in some instances the global impact of failed states, which I am certain will be reflected in the refreshed Security Strategy. It is important that that work is done. I think there has been some progress. Your Lordships' Committee know very well the work that is going on in Afghanistan, in Kosovo in particular, and in parts of the Palestinian Authority which are directly linked to the worries about failed statehood, the regional impact and the wider impact of failed statehood. The realisation, the political, military and economic realisation of the impact of failed states, the good work that has happened in some instances but also where we have not got it exactly right on failed states, I think that should also be reflected, the ability of military and civilian co-operation on the ground, for example.

  Q378  Lord Anderson of Swansea: There will presumably be a section on Russia but I assume that would have been overtaken to some extent by the agreed view of the Union, the new mandate in relation to Russia. Although there has been difficulty in reaching a consensus you would presumably say there will at least be something, possibly aspirational, but rather alongside, paralleled, by the actual discussions which are under way with Russia.

  Mr Murphy: This certainly has to be much more than aspirational. It has to be firm and specific and wide-ranging. That is the mandate the EU has agreed. I omitted to mention this earlier so thank you, Lord Anderson, for giving me a chance to mention it now, because, in the context of energy, an important part of our conversation with Russia is that again, looking at these facts before coming here today, the difficulty—and I am not shy of acknowledging this difficulty—on energy policy in relation to Russia is that, looking at the table—and again, if your Lordships do not have this table, I am happy to provide it—about energy import/export dependence, my reading of is that seven Member States are 100 per cent reliant—

  Q379  Chairman: We published a table of this sort in our own report.

  Mr Murphy: Seven states are 100 per cent reliant; of their imports, 100 per cent are Russian. If I am sitting in a European capital as a politician in one of those countries where, of our imports, 100 per cent is Russian, I think the tone of the debate about our relationship with Russia is slightly different. Notwithstanding that, there is an EU mandate which is broad-ranging, which even goes so far as to say it should be a legally binding agreement between ourselves and Russia. So it cannot be aspirational. I think it is a step backwards.


 
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