Select Committee on European Union Minutes of Evidence


Examination of Witnesses (Question Numbers 140-159)

Mr Murray Birt, Mr Matthew Farrow and Mr Dwight Demorais

9 JULY 2008

  Q140  Chairman: I am a little surprised that we have not heard an avalanche of representations that go something like, "Trading conditions are difficult; life is difficult; it's tough out there; yeah, we can't put our hand up and say that we are subject to carbon leakage but this just adds another marginal cost which makes life more and more difficult and inevitably we become that little bit more uncompetitive internationally" because ETS is by definition a regional scheme.

  Mr Farrow: We may well find and I am sure that we are finding that sectors in that position are making a case to the Commission and, as I say, if they have a strong case, they will be heard. I think that business perceptions may vary across different European countries where the tone of the climate change debate tends to be a little different. To be fair to our members, they are recognising that climate change is a genuine threat and, if we are going to tackle it, we are going to have to have schemes like emissions trading and it is absolutely right that we, as the CBI, a representative lobby, ensure that the scheme works effectively and offer as much protection as the scheme can deliver to sectors that are at real risk. British business is recognising that carbon pricing is on the way and there are sectors that will not find it easy but, over a transition period, will need to invest and structure their operations over the next decade or so to take account of that. We do see an important distinction between sectors such as cement where we think that will just crucify those sectors for no environmental benefit and other sectors who need a transition such as—and this is something which we may come on to—the system of international credits which again at the margin can alleviate a bit of the pressure, but nonetheless over time are going to face a carbon price. It is a difficult judgment for us as an organisation to make but that is what we have made of it.

  Q141  Baroness Sharp of Guildford: I have three questions on the auctioning issue. The first one is, what position do you take on the Commission's proposals in particular that all sectors should be subject to the 100 per cent auctioning except for those subject to major carbon leakage? Do you support the Government's view that a minimum level of auctioning should be set leaving Member States to decide whether to auction a higher or a lower proportion of the remainder? Lastly, in relation to the revenues raised by auctioning, you advocate in your paper that at least some of that revenue should be used to support climate and renewable energy actions but argue that this should be left to each Member State, but to what extent are you confident that Member States will use those funds for that particular purpose if it is not stipulated by legislation?

  Mr Farrow: With regard to the proposals for auctioning, I would not say that we are desperately enthusiastic about such a big shift to auctioning but we do recognise that, for the power sector, it is appropriate and I think that, if you had the power sector representatives here today, they would give you a similar view. For sectors which are not at risk of carbon leakage, the Commission proposes a transition over the whole of Phase 3 towards full auctioning and, while it is a difficult judgment to make and will not be easy for every firm in that situation, we do recognise that it is probably the right thing to do. For sectors at risk of carbon leakage, we feel, as we have discussed, that allocation based on benchmark is necessary. In terms of your second question, I think that the Defra or UK Government positions are for Member States to have some flexibility but only upwards. I think that their preference might be for a minimum. We do not support that. We are nervous that the Government's understandable enthusiasm to be a climate leader, which in broad terms we accept and support, might, on some of these marginal issues, as you were saying, Lord Chairman, lead them to take some risks, shall we say, with certain sectors where they convince themselves that those sectors can bear more auction than elsewhere in the EU. We would prefer the Commission approach which is to have a harmonised level of auctioning which cannot be deviated from. In terms of the revenues, we do not feel that it should be a European decision. Are we confident that other Member States would spend the money in our view appropriately? No, we are not, but we feel that that is a decision for them fundamentally. Obviously, our interest is in the UK and UK business and, as an organisation, we are nervous about tax harmonisation at a European level and we feel that allowing the EU to stipulate, "You must spend this proportion of money on these particular things" is perhaps a slippery slope towards more tax harmonisation. We are saying that it should be a Member State choice; the Commission might advise and recommend but it should be a Member State choice. However, within the UK context, we feel that given the sums of money that will accrue to the Treasury through auctioning and given that this money is coming from business and consumers in order to pay a carbon price and given the challenges that as a country we face in terms of R&D in energy technology and adaptation and so forth, it is right that the Government earmark a certain proportion of that revenue for spending in those areas and in fact we have written, along with WWF, the environmental NGO, to the Prime Minister to make that case. I do not know if my colleagues want to add any thoughts on that.

  Mr Demorais: Simply to say that as a company we would certainly agree and as a trade association we would certainly agree with what Matthew has said about applying the auction revenues to R&D. Certainly in the cement sector, we have commissioned a report, which we are expecting to be published very soon, by the International Energy Authority on carbon capture and storage within the cement industry. A lot of work has been done in the power industry on this. As members may know, the cement sector has very concentrated levels of C02 in our stack gases which have the potential to be captured and stored but the scale for us is way away from where the power industry is. The whole of the UK cement industry produces about as much C02 as a single two gigawatt power station. So, when we are talking about scale, it is entirely different. We believe that that is a way to go. Sixty per cent of our emissions as an industry are from the actual limestone process, only 40 per cent is our fuels. There is nothing we can do about 60 per cent. If you are going to make cement, you have to heat the limestone up to get the chemical change and that drives off the C02. We believe that that is a way forward for us but it is a technology that is out of our reach at the moment but, if we had the option to recycle auction revenues back into R&D in these sorts of areas, we would strongly support that.

  Q142  Baroness Sharp of Guildford: What chance do you think there is of the Treasury accepting this philosophy?

  Mr Farrow: Being honest, for the Treasury, very little chance. The Treasury, as we all know, has a long-held view although it is worth perhaps mentioning that, under another trading scheme, a domestic only UK trading scheme for carbon reduction commitment which is aimed at the commercial and public sectors, which is a fully-auctioned scheme, the Treasury did accept for that scheme that the money should be recycled directly to participants. We feel that a precedent has been set but the Treasury tell us that they do not feel that that was a precedent. Being honest about it, we feel that it needs to be a political decision at the highest levels. Our argument is that politicians tell us and we in business agree that climate change is an unprecedented threat and requires an unprecedented change to the economy in society and therefore, given that these very significant revenues will be accruing to the Treasury that they would not otherwise have had without business being willing to accept some auctioning, it seems an obvious opportunity. I think that some politicians are open to the idea but the Treasury has always had a view which I suspect we have all come across.

  Q143  Baroness Sharp of Guildford: I note that what you are actually calling for in your recommendation is that a significant proportion of the auction revenue be devoted to low carbon technologies and adaptations. What would you define as a significant proportion?

  Mr Farrow: Probably whatever the Treasury is willing to part with!

  Mr Birt: It is worth remembering that the Stern Report says that the two fundamental pillars of addressing climate change are putting a price on carbon which is what the emissions trading does and then increasing the level of spending on public research and development and demonstration of new technologies and those are two equal pillars. So, even if the hypothecation argument is not accepted directly, the need to increase the UK and Europe's spending on public R&D which is then matched by private spending on R&D and demonstrating technologies is clear. So, I think that the Treasury and the Government should be weighing those possibilities quite strongly in terms of increasing the revenue going towards those ends.

  Mr Farrow: Just to add to that, the UK tends to perform quite poorly in terms of league tables of publicly funded energy R&D. I think that we spend about a third of the EU average as a proportion of GDP, so we do feel that this is an area of weakness in the UK which is going to come back to haunt us as we try and face up to the challenges of renewables and energy security and climate change.

  Q144  Baroness Sharp of Guildford: Except for the pharmaceutical and aerospace sectors.

  Mr Farrow: Indeed.

  Q145  Lord Brooke of Alverthorpe: Following up on that, do you see alleviating fuel poverty which is a consequence that may come of course with increased costs on fuel prices, as part of the hypothecation?

  Mr Farrow: We have made a case for that and we would recognise that a case could be made. We feel that the fuel poverty question, which is obviously becoming a significant issue as oil prices increase, is really a social policy question for the Government as opposed to an energy policy one. To be honest, if the Government said or a future Government said that they would use a proportion of the revenues to support the R&D that Dwight was talking about, a portion for adaptation, a portion for fuel poverty, we would accept that as perhaps a reasonable package, but it is not an argument that we have made ourselves directly.

  Q146  Chairman: Is there a danger that, if the Government do not get it right in terms of what to do with the revenues, there is a significant inflationary effect possible here?

  Mr Farrow: Could you enlarge on that.

  Chairman: You are putting costs up, are you not? The Government are getting the revenue—

  Lord Cameron of Dillington: You are going to charge more for electricity.

  Q147  Chairman: At the very least, there is a danger of adding to a wage price final.

  Mr Farrow: Yes and the oil price issue generally of course is also adding to that. Yes, those risks are there. In a sense, if you put a price on carbon that gives businesses an incentive and consumers an incentive where they can to move away from carbon-intensive products and services, the incentive is there for business to innovate and find less carbon-intensive ways to produce the goods people want and for people to switch their purchasing power or their purchasing choices, but obviously where those products and services are essential, then you can get an inflationary pressure which is something that the Government are going to have to manage carefully. These are difficult choices.

  Mr Birt: It is also worth thinking about the energy poverty issue. It is not one that we touch on a lot but it is almost the flip side of the carbon leakage issue in that increasing energy costs can impact consumers and it can also impact companies and there are varying impacts. They are almost two sides of the same coin. Maybe potentially that is useful in thinking about it.

  Q148  Earl of Dundee: In terms of sectors and gases, you will note that the broader the scope of the Emissions Trading Scheme, the better. What makes you think however that the Commission's current proposals necessarily advocate this at all?

  Mr Farrow: The Commission propose to do things. They propose to include some additional sectors and gases and, in broad terms, we support the move to do that. There is a risk of some distortions at the margin and Dwight has an example that he might give in a moment to illustrate that. There is also I think a special case around aluminium which the Commission propose to include and the UK Government propose should be kept out given its particular vulnerability to carbon leakage issues. Alongside that, the Commission are, one could argue, going the other way in terms of taking the smallest emitters out of the scope of emissions trading, but we think that is the right thing to do because the transaction costs are quite significant for the smallest emitters. Some estimates put them around £300,000 a year per site and because of the way the distribution of emissions is skewed, it is possible to take out a large number of very small emitters without taking much emissions out of the scheme and we can talk about the numbers we have put forward around that. Dwight will want to give you an example of how expanding scope makes sensible in principle but one has to be careful at the margin about the distortion effects.

  Mr Demorais: In the cement industry, we are trying to increase the amount of alternative fuels/waste fuels that we use in the process, so we are trying to get away from fossil fuels as much as we can and we are using a lot of society's wastes, used tyres for instance and solvents, quite a lot of biomass, meat and bone meal, sewage, sludge pellets, plastics etc, and we are encouraged to do so. We are encouraged to try and recover energy from waste. The interesting issue there is that, in the EUETS, incineration and the gases from incineration and from landfill are not covered by EUETS. So, while we would get charged for emitting C02 but having captured the energy from it, the incinerators do not. So, there is a little quirk there.

  Q149  Earl of Dundee: I have taken into account differences in special cases. Are you satisfied so far that the Commission have taken these on board and have adjusted within their proposals in order to achieve balance?

  Mr Farrow: With aluminium, we think, along with the UK Government that it probably has not, that aluminium should not be included despite the Commission's wishes. Apart from that, we broadly do think that they have covered the right sectors and gases. We also support the proposed inclusion of aviation which, as you may know, the UK Parliament is right now discussing and plans to bring in at the end of Phase 2. We think that the principle is right, the more sectors you have in, the lower the overall costs of the scheme. However, one has to careful that you are at the margin and you are not causing distortions or you are not bringing in a large number of very small emitters who actually are probably better off being targeted by different policy measures.

  Mr Birt: Even if aluminium is kept out of the scheme, they will still be impacted by electricity prices, so that is a fairly large concern for that sector.

  Q150  Chairman: You mentioned transaction costs being excluded from the small emitters. Do you have evidence on transaction costs?

  Mr Birt: The UK Emissions Trading Group of which we are a member are currently doing some research into this and they have done a sample from companies that are participating in the EUETS and looking at what their transaction costs are and having people and setting up systems to monitor their emissions and make plans for reducing their emissions. The Government have also estimated this but industry view is that the Government are likely to have underestimated the cost of complying with the ETS. That evidence is still being worked on but we would be happy to send it to you when it is available.

  Chairman: We would be grateful.

  Q151  Lord Cameron of Dillington: May I continue with the de minimis threshold question there. It would seem to me that you want the scheme to work effectively and therefore, to raise the de minimis threshold, which is what you are proposing, from 10,000 tonnes to 50,000 tonnes—the Government will go only go as far as 25,000 tonnes—you are making the scheme less effective. My second point is, would the small people therefore have a competitive advantage over the bigger people if they are not involved with the scheme and what is to stop the bigger people from splitting themselves up so that they fall below the minimum threshold particularly if it is as high as 50,000 tonnes?

  Mr Farrow: To give some explanation of why we have gone for the higher threshold, I think that the numbers are quite striking because of the skewed distribution. At the moment, if you were to raise it to 50,000 tonnes, you could remove about 70 per cent of emitters from the scheme, but actually you would only be removing five per cent of emissions from the scheme. We think that does show that the scheme is better targeted at the big emitters who are more able to work within a quite sophisticated scheme. What is very important is that the small emitters excluded from the scheme do not get a sort of get out of jail free card, as it were, and in fact the Commission proposal makes it quite clear that they must be subject to comparable restraints. The Carbon Trust has undertaken some analysis on this—and their work tends to be pretty even handed—and their view is that, within the UK, being subject to the uplift of electricity prices which all firms will face anyway plus the payment of the climate change levy plus potentially being subject to climate change agreements or the carbon reduction commitment does mean that firms who are removed through having a higher threshold would in fact be faced with comparable carbon restraint measures but at a lower transaction cost. So, that should discourage larger firms from going through the complexity and difficulty of trying to break themselves up. Clearly, if that suddenly appeared to be happening, we would need to revisit this but although people argue about the precise threshold, it does seem to be broadly agreed across all the stakeholders that actually the smallest emitters are probably better being subject to different policy measures rather than the full complexity of ETS.

  Mr Birt: It is also worth remembering that part of the emissions trading proposals from the EU is a cap for Member States on the non-traded sectors and as well the UK Climate Change Bill sets firm limits on the entire economy. So, there will be defining measures and the policy measures currently in place do create a carbon cost for those sectors if they are excluded from the ETS.

  Q152  Chairman: Is that the way to tackle agriculture then?

  Mr Farrow: To be honest, agriculture is not a sector at which we have closely looked. We do not feel it is appropriate for ETS though I would have thought that some of those measures would make more sense. I will be honest, it is not my area of expertise.

  Q153  Lord Brooke of Alverthorpe: Perhaps I could continue with this as I was to come in with a question later on non-traded sectors and I think that it is probably appropriate that we pick it up now. How content or otherwise are you that the balance has been appropriately struck in terms of sharing the emissions reduction burden between the different sectors between the traded and the non-traded?

  Mr Farrow: Our initial view when the appraisal came out was that it seemed to bear too heavily on the ETS sectors because they face a much sharper reduction than non-ETS sectors. Having said that, what we then did was go back to some work that we commissioned from McKinsey for our Climate Change Report which came out last year which looked at the marginal abatement cost curve for the UK and worked out where those cost-effective emissions cuts could come from and Murray did some rough analysis working out which of those emission cuts would be designated as ETS and non-ETS sectors and that did actually suggest that probably the Commission balance was broadly comparable to what we would expect from the UK and I think that what partly explains that is a measure like more energy efficient electrical appliances for households which one sees as a sort of nothing to do with ETS. It does not actually show up of course as a reduction in the ETS cap because the power companies have to supply less power. So, having initially been concerned about the balance, our analysis suggests that it may actually be broadly appropriate for the UK.

  Q154  Lord Cameron of Dillington: May I ask a question about the new entrant reserve. You seem to indicate that five per cent is too much and also perhaps that the definition of a new entrant is not helpful enough, shall we say.

  Mr Birt: On the definition, in Phase 2 which we are currently in there is a new entrant reserve and it is defined as including new facilities and new installations—they are opening up greenfield sites—but then also including expansion of new sites, putting in a new production line and a new kiln at an existing facility. That is already the definition currently used. The Phase 3 proposals were restricted to only new sites, so it really removes the opportunity for a company to, say, close down a facility and then move their production to another site and expand their production there as that might be more efficient. That is the definition issue. The UK Government on the size of the reserve have done some analysis; they have looked at it and said that they are also of the view that five per cent is too large and that actually 1.2 per cent is probably the size that would reflect the needs better. We want to have a little bit of leeway just in case the economy is growing faster and in case the calculations are a little bit off, so we are suggesting a new entrant reserve size of two per cent.

  Lord Brooke of Alverthorpe: I liked your briefing; I thought it was very good. One marginal complaint as someone who struggles increasingly to read small and smaller print—

  Q155  Chairman: He did read it at half-past 11 last night and did not sleep as a result!

  Mr Farrow: It might just send one to sleep!

  Q156  Lord Brooke of Alverthorpe: I thought that it was very helpful, indeed. In particular, I read about the external damage which is what I would like to raise some questions on. You indicate your support for the use of external credits in Phase 3 but accept that their role should not be unlimited. It seems that you regard the limits proposed by the Commission as too restrictive. Could you explain where those limits should be placed and why.

  Mr Farrow: We have not been able to come up with a precise figure but let me try and explain where our thinking sits and the band we think might be appropriate. There are two purposes to allowing external credits to be part of the scheme as we see it. One is to support the international carbon market which we think is important and the second is, at the margin, it may ease some of the competitiveness pressures if the carbon price is very high within ETS and CDM credits, for example, are trading at lower prices. The Commission has quite an ambitious tactic in the package aimed at the Copenhagen discussions where it says that if an international deal is done at Copenhagen, there should be a quite significant access given to international credits. If no deal is done or no acceptable deal is done, there should be very little access at all, and the thinking basically is to offer an inducement to developing countries by saying, "If you are willing to sign up to a decent deal at Copenhagen, we will unlock flows of credits and that will help your economy and so forth". We accept that and it is quite an ambitious negotiating tactic, but I think that it is so important to try to get a good deal at Copenhagen; we accept that as a tactic as a part of the package. Where we disagree with the Commission is on the view that if no deal is able to be done, there should be almost no access at all to credits. We feel that, even if that were the case and the negotiation did not produce an acceptable deal, it would still surely be important in the years after 2009 when no doubt international politicians were trying to resurrect some sort of process to keep the international carbon markets going to some extent and equally I think the competitiveness concerns that we have talked about today are going to be as sharp as ever if not more sharp in the absence of an international deal | On that basis, we feel that surely there should be an option to use a proportion of international credits even if no deal is done. To get the differential right, we feel that if you are going to have a limit of, say, 50 per cent, which we think is about right, in reduction effort post deal, which is broadly in line with the Kyoto approach to the use of credits, then the volume of credits to be allowed without a deal has to be below that to offer an inducement, but rather than the Commission limit of a couple of per cent, I think Murray, we think that something around maybe 20/30/35 per cent would be broadly appropriate, but we have not been able to come up with the precise figure and we still doing some analysis on that and again it is a judgment.

  Mr Demorais: I would like to add to that, if I may. As a company, Lafarge Cement is active and has been active in the international CDM field. We believe quite strongly that it is in every company's best interests to do as much as they can wherever they are located at every installation. That is good business. We do also see the importance of developing technology in developing markets where, if we save a tonne of carbon in Malaysia, it is just as good as saving a tonne of carbon here. I had the privilege of being project manager for Lafarge on a CDM project in Malaysia which is now producing 60,000 tonnes a year savings. Another part of Lafarge in Morocco introduced wind turbines which are saving 30,000 tonnes a year. Yes, we need to do all we can in every installation we are in, but the opportunity to do work through the CDM benefits not only us but the host country as well.

  Mr Birt: I would like to add to that. What the Commission have done in the absence of a deal is that they have slightly changed the rules retroactively. There are CDM limits allowed throughout Phase 2 but the proposals in the absence of a deal would extend that pool of credits over the entire Phase 3. So, they are taking the limit of Phase 2 which would be over five years and saying that it should now be spread over 12 years instead of over five years. So, it is significantly reducing the amount of credits that companies are able to use through both Phases 2 and 3 or it might end up that the limit has been totally used up in Phase 3, so that is a significant concern. A lot of the carbon market is based in the UK and that is a real strength and is actually one of the bright spots in the economy currently and we want to maintain that going forward. So, it is important that some more access to CDM credits is allowed but we have not been able to pin down what that number should be.

  Q157  Lord Brooke of Alverthorpe: How do you think the EU can best prepare for possible linkages between ETS and other regional emissions trading schemes around the world? We hear about the states in America preparing themselves for it if they may go ahead. How do you think they can do preparatory work for linkages of that kind?

  Mr Farrow: This is a complex area and again, to be honest, it is not a subject that we have done our own analysis on. I think that the principles are that it is absolutely right that the Commission should be looking to potential linkages as a way to develop or to move us towards a global carbon market which must be the long-term aim. I think that one has to be careful to make sure that you do not link two very different trading schemes, so if you have the ETS scheme in Europe which has an absolute cap for example and you link that with a scheme which had perhaps a low buy-out price or a carbon-intensity scheme, you could undermine the rigour of the European scheme and that must be guarded against. Our feeling is that on the detailed mechanics of the scheme, so things like how the auctions will be run for example and the verification systems, it must make sense for the Commission to develop detail of the proposals, to look at what is going on in parts of the States, in Australia and in Canada where cap and trade schemes are being talked about and worked up to try to make sure that our system in detail is evolving in a way which would allow it in time to be linked as opposed to going down some different models, perhaps running the auctions or something, which then in three or four years' time turn out to be incompatible. Those are our broad principles but, to be honest, we have not done some detailed work in this area.

  Q158  Lord Cameron of Dillington: Are your fellow organisations in the States as signed up as you are to this whole agenda?

  Mr Farrow: What is interesting is how far they have moved in recent years. Going back to, say, 2004, we were looking to do some joint work with them around emissions trading just as an issue which business throughout the world was having to think about and there was, to be honest, a reluctance to get involved for political reasons which I think we can all understand. That shifted very markedly and, in the last couple of years in particular, we have developed much stronger links on those issues and Richard Lambert has had meetings with his counterparts. Having said that, I think that while we are all encouraged that the debate in the US particularly led by business has become more akin to the debate here, I think we should recognise that it still lags behind where we are in the UK on some of these issues.

  Mr Birt: I would like to mention that, as part of the follow-up to the CBI's Climate Change Taskforce Report, we are engaging quite purposefully with our business counterparts all over the world and we will be developing views on what international agreement should look like and also trying to encourage other business federations to take a constructive view on climate change and trying to share experiences in how the CBI has come to take the views that it does on climate change and climate policy. For instance, the experience of how our taskforce was set up and operated and trying to share that experience across a number of business federations globally. So, that is part of our ongoing work.

  Q159  Baroness Sharp of Guildford: Do you have concerns about the monitoring of CDMs?

  Mr Farrow: Yes, we do. We recognise that there are some genuine questions being asked about the quality control of CDMs in the whole carbon offset market. I think that there is a risk of babies and bathwater here. What struck me working on this issue in recent years is that, if you go back perhaps a couple of years—and I am talking about the carbon offset market more wider than just a pure CDM market—many companies were looking to, as Dwight said, make reductions that they could in their own operations and then it was seen as a good thing to do to be buying offsets/remissions you could not easily have used in the short term. Then there was a sudden sort of press backlash with the NGOs and so on saying that all these credits are not worth the paper they were written on and all of a sudden companies are now very, very nervous about getting into those markets at all and I think that we need a middle course here. The carbon markets are important and, yes, there probably are some issues with some credits and they need to be addressed. In terms of the Commission package, what we are a little edgy about is that the Commission seem to feel that they are best placed within Europe to say, "Right, we are going to have our own quality standards and we will only allow into the EU scheme credits which meet the quality control of every Member State". Our feeling is that this is about trying to build a global carbon market, so let us address quality control concerns at the root of the UNFCCC process and solve them there rather than Europe or individual Member States have their own quality control systems. We recognise that it is an issue and, as I say, there may be a baby and bathwater factor and we prefer it to be tackled at a UN level if possible.

  Mr Birt: I would like to add that the schemes already are very rigorous. It takes months and months and it is a very complicated process to get a CDM credit created through the UN Executive Board and that is a concern. We need to be encouraging more emission reduction activities but at the same time getting them to be environmentally rigorous. That is a tricky balance but it is worth trying to improve globally through improvements to the UN process itself.

  Lord Brooke of Alverthorpe: Just on a concluding note to a degree—

  Chairman: As a number of members have now left, we have lost the percussion and the brass and we only have the violins left now!



 
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