Select Committee on European Union Minutes of Evidence


Memorandum by the New Zealand Government

SUMMARY

  1.  The efforts by the European Union (EU) to reform the Common Agricultural Policy (CAP) are commendable. Not only were the 2003 CAP reforms far reaching, but, more importantly, they (and current proposals) are leading the EU in the direction of greater market orientation and reducing distortions to international trade.

  2.  New Zealand's own policy shift towards market orientation was supported by our farmers, who saw the advantages of this change and who remain strong proponents of reform. They prefer to be reliant on markets rather than the whim of government policy for their incomes. The New Zealand agricultural sector and the wider economy has benefited from those reforms. Europe should experience similar gains from any comparable market-oriented reform.

  3.  As a party directly affected by the CAP (on EU and world markets), New Zealand will, therefore, continue to be vitally interested in proposed CAP changes. New Zealand will also continue to engage with European Commission and Member State colleagues on the implications of those proposed changes, in particular for their trading partners.

  4.  The upcoming "health check" and budget review, aside from a reduction in CAP spending and further movement towards a wholly decoupled system, should ensure that the most is made of the intended gains of reforms. The health check should also send clear signals as to the direction and speed of further reform to facilitate the agricultural sector preparing itself for the structural adjustment required.

INTRODUCTION

  5.  New Zealand welcomes the opportunity to comment on progress to date with the 2003 CAP reforms and to examine what further policy changes at the EU level are required in both the short-term, and beyond 2012.

  6.  New Zealand's reference points in making this submission include:

    —  a significant domestic policy shift towards market orientation in New Zealand almost two decades ago;

    —  New Zealand's experience as an exporter of agricultural products to the EU and the rest of the world; and

    —  a desire to see a minimisation of distortions in international trade and consequential resource misallocation, consistent with numerous international declarations on development and sustainability.

  When making an oral submission on the topic of the future of the CAP, New Zealand can provide more detail on the policy shift that took place in the 1980s.

  7.  Agricultural production and exports of agriculture products are critical to New Zealand's economic and social wellbeing. The bulk of New Zealand's production of these goods is exported and accounts for more than half of our foreign goods trade receipts. As a long-time exporter of pastoral and fruit and vegetable products to the EU, and as a country forced to compete with subsidised EU products on world markets, New Zealand has a strong interest in the evolution of the CAP.

  8.  While usually thought of as a developed country, New Zealand shares many common interests with developing countries, which are similarly dependent upon agricultural exports, and which have experienced the negative flow-on effects of the CAP, both in their own markets and through the spill-over effects in international markets. The views expressed by New Zealand would therefore be shared by many developing economies, for example those demonstrated by the Membership of the Cairns Group of countries that work together in the context of World Trade Organisation (WTO) agriculture negotiations.

OVERVIEW

What should the long-term objectives of the CAP be? Does the title "Common Agricultural Policy" aptly fit your perceived objectives of the policy? What do you consider to be the main pressures on the CAP as it currently is?

  9.  It could be argued that the original CAP objectives have either been met or are no longer appropriate. This is in the context of a much larger and diverse EU following its enlargement to 27 Members States, and in a substantially altered international setting, where globalisation and internationalisation have radically changed the relationships between economies. These developments have led to a greater appreciation of the negative spillover impacts of some national policies into the global domain. They have also increased awareness of the benefits of economic liberalisation for world social and economic wellbeing.

  10.  The EU has an opportunity to recast the mould post-2013. In this changed global environment, the United Kingdom (UK), the EU, and New Zealand are now facing largely the same pressures and challenges in agriculture, such as climate change, food safety issues, and biosecurity. It is thus sensible to expect that our policy objectives may look similar long-term, although reflecting our geographic and other differences. Therefore, we could see an ideal set of objectives for the future CAP as including:

    —  to provide for the orderly structural adjustment of the rural sector away from dependence on market support measures via subsidisation (Whether the latter be developed through price support, direct payments linked to output, inputs or price, export subsidies, or border protection);

    —  to provide a policy environment conducive to EU producers continuously adjusting farm scale, and methods and types of production in ways which make them internationally competitive;

    —  to provide frameworks for the efficient operation of markets as the key means of allocating resources used for agricultural production;

    —  to ensure food safety and biosecurity;

    —  to provide for an effective innovation system;

    —  to provide policy frameworks which foster the long-term sustainability of the EU's natural resource base of land, water and air, and the maintenance of biodiversity;

    —  to provide a legal framework for the protection of animal welfare; and

    —  to otherwise limit the scope of governmental regulatory intervention to clear instances of market failure.

  11.  Such a set of objectives would closely mirror New Zealand's agricultural policy objectives. While EU agriculture may have different historical roots, justifying a more extended adjustment pathway, the end-game is the same as that for New Zealand.

  12.  Since 1992, the EU has achieved substantial reform of its agricultural policy, in particular in terms of the move away from direct price support, market intervention purchasing, export subsidies for surplus disposal, and the move toward greater direct support of farmers, most latterly via the Single Farm Payment (SFP). These developments have been publicly welcomed by New Zealand and would also have been welcomed by many developing agricultural exporting countries (with the qualification that sugar and certain Mediterranean-related product sector reforms have been much delayed).

  13.  EU farmers still, however, receive considerable subsidies via the effects of high import tariffs (accompanied by export subsidies) and some continuing commodity-linked payments, which directly impact on the prices of farm products. Further, while direct payments are clearly less distorting than price support, they still deliver indirect support. This maintains resources in agricultural uses which would otherwise flow to other, more efficient uses.

  14.  It would be beneficial to UK farmers, the EU economy, and to those economies heavily dependent upon agricultural exports if ongoing EU reforms led to reduced use of such instruments, and focussed more on the facilitation of structural adjustment of the EU's rural economy. It will, of course, take time for a new market-driven focus to develop, but the EU is able to provide funding to assist farmers through difficult transitional periods. New Zealand did not have such a mechanism at the time of its reforms, aside from a write-down of farm debt for some farmers, and an exit package for those farmers who still remained deep in debt following this and who had little prospect of future viability.

THE REFORMED CAP

What has been your experience so far with the reformed CAP? What has worked well and less well? And where can lessons be learned?

  15.  New Zealand's experience with the reformed CAP has been in relation to our exports into the EU and on the world market. New Zealand welcomed the 2003 reform, which based the new support system almost entirely on decoupling payments from production (although we note that some Member States have chosen to maintain some partially coupled supports). The introduction of the "cross compliance" concept, linking the SFP to respect for environmental, food safety and animal welfare standards was also positive.

  16.  Agricultural subsidies and border protection negatively affect agricultural exporting countries. They tend to create an oversupply of agricultural products inside the protected market, considerably limiting the export of agricultural goods to the protected market. Subsidised exports result in unfair competition in international markets. The much-anticipated reform of EU sugar subsidies was therefore a step forward on the path of subsidy reform.

  17.  Although the reformed CAP now has greater market orientation, the benefits would have been greater if all Member States had made full use of the scope for converting commodity-linked payments into the new SFP. It is very important that the "health check" results in a reduction in the flexibility for Member States in implementing reforms and therefore makes the most of their intended gains.

  18.  The reduction in export subsidisation by the EU since 1994 has had a material positive impact in international markets benefiting both the EU budget and agricultural exporters, including New Zealand. This is a welcome policy change.

  19.  The EU's 2003 reforms represent a major step forward for the EU. The CAP in 2006 should, however, be seen as a work in progress, if the EU foresees a similar end-goal for the agricultural sector. Features such as ongoing partially coupled payments, intervention systems and export refunds prevent full market signals getting to producers, and do not address all of the new and emerging challenges facing agriculture. The review processes underway with the health check and budget review offer an opportunity to better orient the current CAP to address these issues.

THE SINGLE PAYMENT SCHEME

Do you consider the Single Payment Scheme to be a good basis for the future of EU agricultural policy? What changes might be made at the EU level to the Single Payment Scheme, including to the rules governing entitlements, in the short and/or longer-term?

  20.  While the SFP is a very good transitional step, support payments should be progressively phased out, allowing time for markets to adjust in an orderly fashion, in particular the market for land, given that historic subsidy levels have been capitalised into artificially high land prices. Sweden recently became the first EU country to take the position that all EU farm subsidies (except those related to environmental protection) should be abolished. New Zealand strongly supports this position. (New Zealand does not have any measures similar to the SFP, and nor was such a scheme a feature of our own reform process).

  21.  This will result in the determination of resource allocation by way of relative prices for products, a highly desirable outcome for European Member States, their consumers (who will benefit from wider choice and lower prices), and for the international competitiveness of their producers and the wider economy. As the SFP is based on 2000-2002 subsidy levels, individual farmers will not see any immediate difference in their income. Consequently, there may be little effect on production levels in the short-term, an expectation supported by recent research.[1]

  22.  The SFP is also positive in the sense that it removes disparities in assistance levels for different products. Over time it may offer an opportunity to reduce direct support to farmers, particularly those larger or higher-income farmers most readily able to cope with the economic impacts of reform. Future policy reform should be as simple as possible without acceding to special cases except where a "one size fits all" policy would result in grossly inequitable outcomes involving significant economic hardship.

MARKET MECHANISMS

What short and longer-term changes are required to the CAP's market mechanisms? Suggestions made by the Commission have included re-examination of certain quotas, intervention, set-aside, export refunds and private storage payments

  23.  EU "market mechanisms", including intervention purchasing and export subsidies, have been abolished or reduced in some agricultural sectors, which is a positive step. The ideal next step would be a progressive removal of such mechanisms across the board, full decoupling and, if the SFP is continued, making it applicable to all agricultural sub-sectors previously subject to price support. The European Commission appears to share this view, and its upcoming proposals for the "health check" could promote this process. If the EU is to achieve a truly market-orientated agricultural sector, removing remaining distortionary measures will be key to creating a "level playing field" and therefore provide incentives for farmers to take an innovative approach to their product mix.

  24.  In New Zealand's case, the high levels of price support were negatively reflected in resource misallocation. The most common example relates to the sheep sector—since the reform period New Zealand's sheep numbers have fallen dramatically, from 70 million to 40 million today, yet export revenues from these smaller numbers have risen. Also of note is that marginal and easily erodible land has been taken out of production. The sector as a whole has become leaner and more efficient.

  25.  We note that the EU's dairy sector remains an exception to the newly-reformed norm, but that changes are expected in the near future. The eventual elimination of dairy production quotas will be key to this, but must be done carefully. Dairy production quotas should remain in force until the EU has permanently ended export subsidies and reduced its currently high tariffs to very modest levels. If dairy production quotas are freed-up prior to export subsidy elimination and tariff reform, there is a great risk that the EU dairy sector may expand significantly in response to prices which could be well above international levels. This would be to the detriment of other EU sectors which have lower levels of protection, as well as non-subsidised exporters (such as New Zealand). The EU itself would then also be faced with a more difficult adjustment process when tariffs are subsequently reduced following the WTO Doha Round or other trade-liberalisation measures.

  26.  Proposals to remove the set-aside of land are encouraging, as this is a hangover policy designed to avoid some of the negative economic effects of price support measures and reduce the environmental detriments of such support mechanisms. Non subsidy-based regulatory interventions now may be more appropriate to deal with residual environmental objectives not achieved by the removal of price subsidies. Such measures might include, for example, land-use requirements and mandatory biodiversity corridors. New Zealand has not applied a concept such as set-aside, but does successfully address environmental objectives through a range of regulatory initiatives.

  27.  Export refunds, which have been a key mechanism for transferring the costs of excess EU supply to economies reliant on international markets, should be eliminated. Export refunds represent one of the most undesirable aspects of the CAP, allowing the EU to capture perceived strategic benefits in terms of domestic self-sufficiency at the direct, and large, expense of those economies which suffer from the resulting international market price volatility and depression impacts.

  28.  High EU tariffs are another market mechanism where there should be some substantial downward adjustment. Until such changes are made, the EU and the rest of the world will suffer substantial resource misallocation costs.

RURAL DEVELOPMENT

What is your view on the introduction of the European Agricultural Fund for Rural Development (EAFRD)? Do you consider that it is meeting its objectives thus far? Is it suitably "strategic" in nature, meeting the needs of rural society as a whole rather than being restricted to aiding the agricultural industry? How well is it being co-ordinated with other EU and national policies on regional and rural development?

  29.  Support for rural development is beneficial where it is aimed at improving the efficiency, and thus international competitiveness of, European agriculture, which should eventually enable the EU's rural economy to exist without support. The EU should be mindful, however, that the establishment of rural development funds can potentially have the same indirect effect on output as price subsidies and, to a lesser extent, direct payments. In other words, such funds should be aimed at meeting the specific and targeted needs of rural society, rather than acting as a channel to fund further support of the EU's agricultural sector.

WORLD TRADE

What benefits can the EU's World Trade Organisation obligations create for EU agriculture and, consequently, for the EU economy as a whole?

  30.  The EU's current WTO obligations have served to reinforce and "lock in" the EU's unilateral reform programme. The move from price support to direct payments has revealed more clearly the real economic costs of a high level of agriculture sector subsidisation. The fiscal impact of these "on budget" costs will serve to provide incentives to EU governments to continue the overall reduction of farm support.

  31.  While food costs are not a large proportion of average EU household budgets, they impact on wage costs and, through that mechanism, have an impact on international competitiveness in industrial goods and services (which are, by far, the largest contributor to the EU economy). New Zealand has one of the lowest tariff profiles in the world, including for food and beverages. This has benefited consumers who enjoy a wider range of products at lower (world) prices, and producers who benefit from the competition.

  32.  Overall, past reforms have benefited the EU via economic welfare gains, and from reduced environmental degradation and improved sustainability of farming and natural resources. The EU's policy goals associated with assisting the economic development of developing economies are being well served by the reduced negative impact of subsidised exports. However, there is a considerable opportunity for further gains through the elimination of export subsidies, and progressive opening of the EU's borders to imports.

ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AND CLIMATE CHANGE

To what extent has the system of cross-compliance contributed to an improved level of environmental protection? How is it linking with other EU policy requirements such as the Water Framework Directive? How can the CAP contribute to mitigation of, and adaptation to, climate change? What do you consider the role of biofuels to be in this regard?

  33.  The introduction of cross-compliance, and refocusing of the CAP on environmental objectives is a useful first step to encourage farmers to act in an environmentally sustainable way. The removal of subsidies will reduce the incentive to increase output in a way unrelated to market demand, thereby reducing the pressure on the environment and resulting in improvements in water quality, biodiversity, and sustainability of other natural resources. A reduction in livestock intensity will promote a reduction in greenhouse gas emissions, and water in air contamination from animal effluent.

  34.  In terms of new policy, New Zealand has a taxation (polluter pays) and regulatory-based approach to environmental protection, rather than a subsidy-based approach (there is no need for a New Zealand cross-compliance system as New Zealand farmers do not receive subsidies). The key measures include:

    —  the fisheries quota management system (1986);

    —  the Resource Management Act 1991, which codifies sustainable management of natural and physical resources into legislation;

    —  the Biosecurity Act 1993, the purpose of which is to exclude, eradicate, or effectively manage pests and unwanted organisms;

    —  the Hazardous Substances and New Organisms Act 1996, which governs the protection of the environment, and the health and safety of people and communities by preventing or managing the adverse effects of hazardous substances;

    —  the Agricultural Compounds and Veterinary Medicines Act 1997: to prevent or manage risks from agricultural compounds to trade in primary produce, animal welfare, and agricultural security;

    —  the Local Government Act 2002, which gives local authorities a role in promoting social, economic, environmental, and cultural well-being of communities; and

    —  New Zealand's Sustainable Development Plan of Action (2003), which guides policy and decision-making by using sustainability principles as well as focusing on four key issues affecting New Zealand, including quality and allocation of fresh water, and energy.

  35.  The recent inclusion of agriculture and forestry in an economy-wide emissions trading scheme (ETS) is a critical element in the New Zealand Government's recently announced mitigation response policy package to the challenge of climate change. By making producers liable for greenhouse gas emissions while rewarding the creation of carbon sinks, the policy is expected to encourage the adoption of less greenhouse gas intensive forms of agricultural production and expand farm forestry activities.

  36.  At the same time, the New Zealand Government recognises that farmers currently have limited technical opportunities to reduce emissions without reducing agricultural output, and is therefore phasing in the inclusion of agricultural gases in the ETS, while making available substantial funding for research into the development of emission reduction technologies. Other complementary policies include:

    —  technology transfer activities (including new tools for measuring and monitoring emissions at the farm level);

    —  education programmes on existing opportunities to reduce emissions and emerging technologies and practices; and

    —  an afforestation grant scheme (providing incentives for the creation of carbon sinks) for smaller farm foresters not wishing to be part of the emissions trading scheme.

  37.  Climate adaptation is another important area for New Zealand. Significant funding is being provided for research and technology transfer activities into how best farmers can respond to the changing climate, in particular the likely increase in the occurrence of extreme weather events such as flooding and droughts.

  38.  New Zealand also places importance on the use of biofuels, and is looking to encourage uptake of fuels that are produced from sustainable sources.

FINANCING

The Commissioner has expressed her dissatisfaction at the financing agreement reached by the Member States at the December 2005 Council. Do you consider the current budget to be sufficient? Do you consider co-financing to be a possible way forward in financing the Common Agricultural Policy?

  39.  The recent CAP reforms have been far-reaching and are heading in a desirable direction, but, from an outsider's perspective, the level of financial support for agriculture in the EU remains high and continues to be linked to retention of resources in the sector. This is at the cost of EU consumers and society, as well as the EU's trading partners, notably developing countries. Any increase in the CAP budget (particularly as it accounted for 45.5% of EU expenditure in 2005, predicted to decline to 32% by 2013) would not be recommended. Even with modulation moving funds to rural development programmes, the funding remains in the agricultural sector.

  40.  New Zealand observes that for some Member States, the imposition of costs on national budgets may serve as an incentive to moderate expenditure. Co-financing, however, risks a trend towards re-nationalisation of agricultural policy with a loss of transparency, reduced policy cohesion, and efficiency losses.

ENLARGEMENT

What has been the impact on the CAP of the 2004 and 2007 enlargements and what is the likely impact of future enlargements of the EU on the post-2013 CAP?

  41.  New Zealand notes that the recent enlargements of the EU from 15 to 27 Member States have greatly changed the face of the EU, and the agricultural sector in particular. The introduction of new agricultural land, with huge potential for productivity improvements creates new challenges and opportunities, which may require new policy responses. These, and any further enlargements that might follow, are likely to reinforce the current incentives and pressures for reform along the established line. Enlargement can provide a stimulus for greater competitiveness in the agricultural sector.

SIMPLIFICATION OF THE CAP AND OTHER ISSUES

How could the CAP be further simplified and in what other ways would you like to see the Common Agricultural Policy changed in the short and/or the long term?

  42.  The ongoing simplification of the CAP will be important for the future of EU agriculture, and should enable farmers to focus more on farming than on administration. Clearly, the elimination of all subsidies and indirect supports would also make the CAP simpler, but we appreciate that such a step will take time.

  43.  For New Zealand, the gains from agricultural sector reform in the context of a major economy-wide reform have been substantial—and may be a useful reference tool. The critical aspects of reform have been the development of a level playing field, not only within the agricultural sector, but across the economy. This was achieved by the removal of subsidisation and allowing markets to be the prime factor determining resource allocation. The New Zealand Government has abolished almost all agricultural assistance (except in the event of severe climatic disasters, outbreaks of plant or animal disease, or for the provision of innovation funding). This has resulted in a much simplified agricultural policy.

  44.  The New Zealand Government, in regard to agriculture, now focuses its attention on:

    —  sustainability;

    —  innovation;

    —  food safety;

    —  biosecurity;

    —  multilateral trade liberalisation; and

    —  other regulatory frameworks.

  45.  In the EU or elsewhere, national welfare is enhanced by gains in productivity. New Zealand found that its mid-1980's reforms had a markedly positive effect on total factor productivity in the agricultural sector. This total factor productivity averaged 2.5% a year in the post-1984 period (after a three year recovery period) compared with 1.5% beforehand. This is because the reforms enabled the sector to improve its allocation of resources and level of responsiveness to global market signals as well as to maximise cross-sectional synergies. General agricultural productivity growth since the economic liberalisation of the mid-1980's has been three times greater than in the rest of the economy.

  46.  More specifically, the pattern of farm output has changed:

    —  Sheep and beef: The national flock decreased from 70 million in 1983 to around 40 million currently. (There are now 31% fewer sheep and beef farms). Lambing percentages have increased by 25% and average carcass weights have also increased by 25%. Export revenues (in value-added product) from the sheepmeat sector now exceed those generated by the former 70 million-strong flock ($2.25 billion in the year ended 31 March 2007).[2]

    —  Dairy: The number of dairy herds fell by 17% from 16,000 in 1983 to 13,000 in 2004, but the national herd size increased from 2.3 million to 5.3 million, the average herd size increased from 150 to 330 (2006), and there has been a 75% increase in the volume of dairy production (with exports worth $8.41 billion in the year ended 31 March 2007).

    —  Deer: New Zealand only had a very small deer industry in 1984. New Zealand's export earnings from deer are now $260 million (year ended 31 March 2007).

    —  Horticulture: In 1983 New Zealand exported $55 million worth of kiwifruit and $185 million worth of other horticultural exports. In the year ended 31 March 2007, it is expected more than $759 million worth of kiwifruit alone, and nearly $1.12 billion worth of other horticultural products.

    —  Wine: The reforms had a significant impact on the development of New Zealand's wine sector. It has been a growth industry: exports were worth less than $13 million in 1984 and had increased to $660 million in the year ended 31 March 2007.

    —  Farm income: Currently approximately 705 of New Zealand farms have some form of off-farm income either via off-farm work or investments, or other initiatives such as rural tourism.

  47.  Agriculture is a hugely diverse sector in the EU, which has developed structural rigidities as a result of both legal structures for land tenure, and a long history of subsidisation which has prevented ongoing adjustment. We accept that these forces and the rigidities they have induced cannot sensibly be unwound in a short time frame as was done in New Zealand.

  48.  Therefore, the signalling of a clear medium-term policy direction is essential to the achievement of an orderly pathway of adjustment and to give producers the regulatory certainty they need to make investment decisions. This applies in particular to adjustment in the market for agricultural land, as the historical level of subsidy has become capitalised in land prices.

  49.  Time is required to allow the necessary correction to occur and transitional measures are required. It must be recognised, however, that when second or third-best policy approaches are applied, the chances of interventions having unwanted and negative impacts is high. The design of transitional mechanisms presents significant challenges. Shorter adjustment pathways are therefore preferable in order to minimise the economic costs of adjustment.

October 2007



1   Farm Level Adjustment in Ireland Following Decoupling, Teagasc Rural Economy Research Centre. Back

2   Note all figures in New Zealand dollars. Back


 
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