Select Committee on Intergovernmental Organisations Written Evidence


Memorandum by the Centre for Global Development

COLLABORATION OF IGOS/GOVERNANCE

  1.  Earlier this year, UK Government Officials told us, "If we look at a typical, highly donor dependent country, we might see 20 UN agencies, 35 bilateral agencies, 20 global, regional banks or financial institutions and 90 global health initiatives".[16] To what extent do IGOs collaborate within countries, in implementing HIV/AIDS, TB and malaria programmes? If improvements could be made, what are they, and how can they be achieved?

  The Center for Global Development's HIV/AIDS Monitor is examining HIV/AIDS donors such as PEPFAR, The Global Fund and The World Bank MAP in three countries Mozambique, Uganda and Zambia. A comparative analysis of financial flows[17] for HIV/AIDS in these three countries shows that each of these three major donors supports the national response using its unique financing approach, but could improve their coordination and sharing of information with each other to enhance efficiency of the response and increase the effectiveness of aid. The study recommended that the three donors jointly coordinate and plan activities to support the National AIDS Plan. All three donors should coordinate to avoid duplication, and ensure that resources are distributed across the range of programming needs. Coordination should be based on supporting the strategies articulated in each country's National AIDS Plan. All three donors should work—either directly or through their Recipient Organizations—with other country-level stakeholders to finance activities that are consistent with the national plan. Where a host country's plan is weak or has gaps, donors should coordinate efforts to assist the government and other country-level stakeholders to strengthen it.

  More broadly, other work at CGD suggests that multilateral agencies serve two broad functions in the delivery of aid:

    (i)  Achieving collective action in the presence of heterogeneous preferences among donors or between donors and recipients.

    (ii)  Economies of scale and scope, especially in information gathering and analysis.

  One benefit for recipient countries of the multilateral agency system is the partial restoring of the broken feedback loop that is typical of bilateral aid where it is usually the donors who can influence the political decision making process. That is, it gives recipient countries a voice in decision making. Of course, the voice of recipient countries in these agencies is dependent on the voting systems in the multilateral agency. One example is the need to address the governance of the World Bank in order to better engage developing countries. In a 2005 working group report, one of the recommendations was "to push the Bank's member governments to make the Bank's governance more representative and thus more legitimate."[18]

  In the specific example of the Global Fund to Fight Aids, TB and Malaria (GFTAM), the 2006 CGD working group report[19] made a variety of recommendations that would allow for more effective collaboration with other international agencies and recipient countries. These include:

    (i)  The ED initiates a regular meeting, with at a minimum, the Director General of the WHO, the ED of UNAIDS, and the President of the World Bank to discuss complementary roles and activities, including mutual support for operations on the ground, technical assistance, procurements, monitoring and evaluation, alignment and harmonization around country operations.

    (ii)  The GFATM move beyond a one-size-fits all approach and design a range of operational models in different countries. Differentiated models would help provide principal recipients and country coordinating mechanisms with incentives for strong performance and provide pooled financing where appropriate.

ADDITIONAL SOURCES

  Birdsall, Nancy. 2007. "Do No Harm: Aid, Weak Institutions, and the Missing Middle in Africa". CGD Working Paper 113. http://www.cgdev.org/content/publications/detail/13115.

  ___. 2003. Why It Matters Who Runs the IMF and the World Bank. CGD Working Paper 22. http://www.cgdev.org/content/publications/detail/2768

  2.  Many organizations told us that the only effective way to coordinate external donors and multilateral partners is to put the recipient country in charge of the coordination and management of financial aid. How do you assess recipient countries' capacity to negotiate with intergovernmental organizations such as the GFATM, WB and other and to effectively coordinate various programmes?

  One means of assessing and improving recipient countries' capacity to effectively coordinate programmes with multilateral agencies like the World Bank is to enhance their voice and representation in these agencies to signal more ownership of programmes and projects, as described above.

  The management of all of these donors is extraordinarily difficult for recipient countries. But sometimes the cure of "coordination" is worse than the disease, especially from the recipient's point of view. Suppose that all of the donors were truly coordinated a donor agency set up for that purpose. That is likely to mean that all the donors must meet and agree before the recipient country can get anything. This would be an interminably unwieldy and inefficient process. Furthermore, donors are unequal. Those with money and prestige will wield more power and ultimately do an end run around the donor coordinating agency in order to strike side-bargains with the government. (There is anecdotal evidence that World Bank task managers frequently felt forced to do such end runs around UNAIDS.)

  Alternatively, many recipient governments could instead shop their ideas and proposals across a wide variety of donors, until they find a donor with a desire and capability to help with a particular project or program. Assessing a recipient country's capacity to negotiate with an IGO like the GFATM or the WB could begin with fixing a knowledge asymmetry (over and above an inherent resource asymmetry) between the two. By providing more complete and timely information about donors, recipients can make decisions about requesting specific donors for support for specific programs and minimize the coordination of multiple donors.

BALANCE OF INVESTMENT

  3.  UK Government Officials also suggested that "within the AIDS opus there is an imbalance between money going into prevention, treatment, care and palliative care".[20] Have IGOs been placing too much emphasis on the treatment of HIV/AIDS, and not enough on prevention? Should IGOs revise their priorities?

  Different IGOs have revealed different preferences with respect to the trade off between treatment and prevention. The World Bank has been much slower to fund treatment, preferring to fund prevention and health systems support mechanisms and community based development styled support for patients and orphans. Figure 6 of the CGD working paper on PEPFAR (http://www.cgdev.org/content/publications/detail/15973/) demonstrates that the US PEPFAR program shifted its funding somewhat away from prevention and towards treatment between 2005 and 2006.

  Research from the HIV/AIDS Monitor indicates that:

  Programmatic activities supported through Global Fund grants varied significantly by country. Prevention, for example, made up only a small share of total Global Fund monies to Uganda but a substantial share of funding to Zambia. Even within funding categories, resources often go to different types of interventions. For instance, 41% of disbursements for prevention in 2004, and 88% in 2005, went toward condom distribution in Uganda, while the available data for Zambia show an emphasis on outreach and behavior change, and only small amounts for condom distribution.

  The variation notwithstanding, a significant and increasingly larger share of Global Fund money is being allocated for treatment activities. The percentage of disbursements going to ARV treatment and services in Uganda went from 21% in 2004 to 33% in 2005 and 72% in 2006.[21] While no programmatic data are available for overall Global Fund disbursements in Zambia, data from two ROs, ZNAN and CHAZ, reflect the trend toward funding for ARV treatment—ZNAN disbursements for treatment went from 0% of total disbursements in 2004 to 51% in 2006, while CHAZ saw an increase from 0% to 15% of funding in the same period. In addition, the Chief of Party for the MOH's component of the grant has noted that most money going to his ministry was programmed for ARV treatment.

  Specific Recommendation provided to the Global Fund based on the above evidence:

  Keep the focus on funding gaps. The Global Fund is right to focus on filling funding gaps. It should continue to ask Country Coordinating Mechanisms (CCMs), as part of the grant application process, to identify all major AIDS activities ongoing in their country. This will help ensure that Global Fund money is made available, where warranted, to support under-resourced priorities such as prevention activities.

  For further information please see: http://www.cgdev.org/content/publications/detail/14569

HORIZONTAL VERSUS VERTICAL HEALTH PROGRAMMES

  4.  In its 2007 report, Help Wanted, MSF wrote, "efforts to further increase access to [antiretroviral therapy (ART)] and maintain and improve quality of care are coming up against a wall due to the severe shortage of health workers".[22] What is the impact of the implementation of vertical programmes on the wider health care systems? Should IGOs be doing more to ensure that horizontal and vertical health programmes are successfully integrated, and should they be placing more emphasis on horizontal issues such as workforce shortages?

  Current research (paper is expected to be released in August 2008) suggests that the Global Funds health system strengthening inputs vary by country and depend on the country's identified needs for this type of support. While results from this analysis are still preliminary, a key recommendation to the Global Fund for its role in health systems strengthening (HSS) is that it strongly communicates its ability to support HSS activities to recipients so that proposals submitted to the Global Fund can indicate this as a priority if other donors are not adequately supporting weak components of the health system such as supply chains, health information systems and mitigating the severe shortage of health workers. In addition assessments of the health system should be improved to enable more focused Global Fund inputs for health system strengthening.

  Additional input from Mead Over suggests:

  On the first question, the reader can consult Section D on page 21 of the working paper cited above, which is titled: D. Expanding AIDS treatment may crowd out other health care. However, the bottom line is "We don't know yet." The answers to the questions about whether donors should do more to strengthen health systems is unequivocally "yes". This would include improving health worker educational systems. However the attempt to prevent health worker migration from AIDS affected countries (or their immigration into donor countries) is misguided and likely to have the unintended consequence of reducing both the quantity and quality of local health care workers. See Michael Clemens' Working Paper on migration of health workers from African countries to donor countries.

PERFORMANCE OF GLOBAL FUNDS AND PARTNERSHIPS

  5.  In a 2007 report, the UK Department for International Development (DFID) concluded that "the [Global] Fund is playing a valuable role within the international architecture mainly due to its ability to rapidly raise significant additional resources for the three diseases and produce impressive concrete results... However, individual country performance is varied, as proposals are dependent on the capacity within country to prepare them. There is also a concern about the Global Fund's impact on health systems (which are generally under-resourced) and the sustainability of its operations, more generally".[23] What is your view on the performance of major donors like the Global Fund in providing treatment/prevention to patients in developing countries? Have these Funds and Partnerships produced positive results? Are the results and operations of these organisations sustainable? What is your assessment of their value for money?

  Formal assessments of the impact of the Global Fund have not been conducted until recently (see below). However, comparative research and analysis from the HIV/AIDS Monitor suggest that the Global Fund is an important and much needed funding mechanism for AIDS given its ability to provide flexible funding for country identified priorities. Through ongoing research the HIV/AIDS Monitor has found that the Global Fund can strengthen its financing model, by (in addition to ensuring that its funding supports those areas of the response that other donors cannot fund-see above recommendation):

    —    Re-examining strategies to build local capacity. Global Fund ROs continue to face capacity constraints, suggesting that the Global Fund should re-examine how it identifies and/or addresses capacity constraints.

    —    Simplifying procedures for good performers. The Global Fund should streamline reporting requirements for ROs that have demonstrated an ability to effectively use earlier Global Fund grants. For example, these ROs could receive larger individual disbursements to cover at least twelve months of subsequent program activities. The Global Fund will soon adopt a streamlined procedure for good performers to access new funding (for up to six years) at the end of a current grant.

    —    Publicly disclosing additional data. The Global Fund should publicly disclose additional financial data that it already collects from ROs. In particular, the Global Fund should consider posting to its website the following information: first-year budgets and second-year budget estimates which are prepared at the outset of each grant; grant-specific documents known as "Sources and Uses of Funds"; and the Fiscal Year Progress reports submitted by each RO. By disclosing these data, the Global Fund will enhance its demonstrated ability to share information with multiple stakeholders and increase the effective use of its resources.

  Additionally, the strength of the GFATM is its unique inclusion of civil society in the proposal development, program management and program evaluation for grant resources. This structure arguably gives the GFATM more legitimacy and makes its activities more transparent than is the case for the other donors. This is true regardless of the "effectiveness" of the GFATM vis-a"-vis the other IGOs on more output oriented measures.

  Furthermore, the GFATM and other multilaterals have a special advantage as channels for AIDS treatment funding. Donor countries which directly finance AIDS treatment for individual patients in poor countries are creating a dependency relationship between those patients and the donor. Since over the span of several years the patients who remain alive only because of this donor will find it increasingly difficult to oppose that donor in other areas (such as on UN votes), this engendered dependency relationship can be viewed as a kind of "post-modern colonialism". In his paper, Mead Over argues argues that this new kind of colonialism, stemming from generous impulses, can nevertheless produce resentment among recipient countries just as traditional colonialism did. To counteract this trend, he suggests that the US should commit its AIDS treatment financing increasingly through the intermediary of the GFATM or other multilateral organizations.

6.  How effective are these programmes in evaluating their results and their impact on health outcomes in beneficiary countries?

  Donor-funded health programs have a mixed record of assessing their impacts on health and other dimensions of human welfare. In general, donor-funded programs—including many in the health sector—have been characterized by weak evaluation, often focusing on inputs (amount of money spent) and failing to measure results. This is the case for many reasons, including:

    (a)  the knowledge generated through evaluation is a public good, and so no single agency or program has sufficient incentive to invest adequately;

    (b)  agencies that fund or implement programs generally place priority on "doing" rather than "learning," and may see in-depth evaluation as unnecessary research; and

    (c)  there are bureaucratic disincentives to transparent evaluation if funding or prestige are placed at risk by revealing failures.

  Health programs have generally undertaken better-than-average evaluation, however, because of the scientific tradition in the health sector, and the relative ease of measuring key outcome variables, such as child mortality (relative, for example, to development outcomes such as improved gender equality or stronger democracies).

  Unfortunately, among global health efforts, HIV/AIDS programs have been among the least rigorously evaluated. The "emergency" and politically visible nature of the programs to scale-up anti-retroviral treatment has compromised opportunities for rigorous evaluation. For example, in the US PEPFAR program, decisions were made early on not to embed rigorous impact evaluation in the program design. Moreover, the relative scarcity of resources for prevention activities, as well as some significant methodological challenges (estimating "infections averted" in the absence of a context-specific model of HIV transmission) have resulted in relatively little evaluation of prevention efforts.

  The GFATM is currently doing an "impact evaluation" which fails to articulate a coherent strategy for establishing a counterfactual and thus cannot actually aspire to "evaluate" any "impacts" at all. The World Bank funded a program called the Treatment Acceleration Project which was to have a "Learning Agenda". However, they failed to fully fund the Learning Agenda and are now pulling out of the Treatment Acceleration Project and its associated learning after only four years. One promising action is that some IGOs are supporting the new institution called the International Initiative for Impact Evaluation (3IE). See the following link for more information http://www.cgdev.org/section/initiatives/_active/evalgap

27 May 2008



16   Dr Stewart Tyson (DFID), Oral Evidence, Q 1. Back

17   See Oomman, N, M Bernstein and S Rosenzweig, "Following the Funding: A Comparative Analysis of the Funding Practices of PEPFAR, the Global Fund and World Bank MAP in Mozambique, Uganda and Zambia. Center for Global Development. 2007 available at http://www.cgdev.org/content/publications/detail/14569/ Back

18   Center for Global Development. 2005. "The Hardest Job in the World: Five Crucial Tasks for the Next President of the World Bank". CGD Working Group Report. http://www.cgdev.org/content/publications/detail/2868 Back

19   ___. 2006 "Challenges and Opportunities for the New Executive Director of the Global Fund". CGD Working Group Report. http://www.cgdev.org/content/publications/detail/10948 Back

20   Dr Stewart Tyson (DFID), Oral Evidence, Q 6. Back

21   Some of this large increase in ARV treatment and services as a percentage of total disbursements in 2006 in Uganda can be attributed to the suspension of Uganda's grants in 2005, and the Global Fund's decision to continue funding most facilities that were providing life-saving ARV drugs. Back

22   Médecins Sans Frontie"res, Help Wanted: Confronting the health care worker crisis to expand access to HIV/AIDS treatment: MSF experience in southern Africa (Johannesburg, MSF: 2007), p 2. Available online at http://www.doctorswithoutborders.org/publications/reports/2007/healthcare_worker_report_05-2007.pdf Back

23   DFID, GFATM Development Effectiveness Summary (London: DFID, 2007), p 5. Available at http://www.dfid.gov.uk/pubs/files/mdes/GFATM.pdf (accessed 30 March 2008). Back


 
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