Select Committee on Northern Ireland Affairs Second Report

 
 

 
Appendix 4


Memorandum submitted by the Northern Ireland Office on 22 October 2007 in response to Questions from the Committee relating to the Departmental Report 2007

Q1. There are no PSA targets in support of Objective 1 or Objective 4. How does the Department measure how well it is achieving its objective to "support the devolved institutions and encourage further political development" (objective 1) and "uphold and maintain the rule of law" (objective 4)?

Response

Objective 1: The Department's overall measure of success in respect of its objective of supporting the devolved institutions and encouraging further political development was restoration of the Institutions. Overall progress towards that goal was monitored through regular contact with the NI parties and counterparts in the Irish Government, including through the British Irish Inter-governmental Secretariat. In addition, there are specific measures and targets for individual areas of work; for example, successful and timely delivery of necessary legislation, including during 2006/2007 legislation to make changes to the arrangements for party funding and political donations in Northern Ireland (contained in the Northern Ireland (Miscellaneous Provisions) Act 2006).

Objective 4: Although there are no specific targets associated with PSA Objective 4 the Department maintains a statistical database to monitor the trends in major security incidents. The Secretary of State meets regularly with his security advisers, who brief him on the full range of security issues and the steps they are taking to tackle them. In addition, the Independent Monitoring Commission monitors levels of paramilitary activity in Northern Ireland and reports publicly every six months.

To assist in the greater understanding of community/interface issues the Department employs a number of staff who also play an important role in the oversight of the general security infrastructure.

Q2. With the restoration of devolution in May 2007, will there be a specific performance target set for Objective 1 for the remainder of the current Spending Review period?

Response: The Department set two key targets for the current financial year (2007/2008) which are "the restoration and full operation of the institutions" and "growing preparedness for further devolution". Overall progress is monitored through regular contact with the devolved administration and counterparts in the Irish Government, including through the British Irish Inter-governmental Secretariat.

As the Committee is aware, devolution was restored on 8th May this year, and all parties are participating in the institutions. An Assembly committee has been established to advise the Assembly on the preparation of its report to the Secretary of State, as required by section 18(1) of the Northern Ireland (St Andrews Agreement) Act 2006, on progress towards devolution of policing and justice. The NIO has also initiated a programme of work to prepare for the structural and organisational changes which will be required for the effective and efficient running of the future NIO and a devolved department responsible for policing and justice. The target date for completion of this programme of work is May 2008.

Q3. Page 33 of the Departmental Report indicates that the percentage of respondents who think the PSNI does a good job as a whole (60%) is considerably lower than the percentage that have confidence in the day to day policing abilities of the PSNI (78%). What is the Department's view on the possible reasons for the difference between these two figures? Last year, the Department informed the Committee that it envisaged adding follow-up questions in the NI Crime Survey for July-December 2006 to better understand what influences public confidence[31], and the Departmental Report notes that further questions have now been added[32]. When will the additional questions in the NI Crime Survey provide the further analysis on what affects public confidence in the criminal justice system?

Response: The reason for the difference between these two figures may relate to the format of the survey questions -  for example the question in relation to the PSNI's ability to provide an 'ordinary day to day service' has three positive options which invites the survey respondent to choose either 'some',  'a lot of'  or 'total confidence', whereas the question in relation to the PSNI 'doing a good job' offers the respondent two positive options (very/ fairly good) plus a 'neither good nor poor' option.  It is also possible that respondents interpret the 'ordinary day to day' question as excluding how the police deal with other issues such as counter terrorism, organised crime, public order etc.

 

However, the Department will continue to track progress on a consistent basis using the composite measure.  In addition the Department is currently analysing the results of the follow-up questions on policing confidence (which were included in the NI Crime Survey during the period July - December 2006) and this information is being shared with the key stakeholders in policing to help develop future policing strategies.


Q4. The Departmental Report 2007 states that the NIO has met "its updated interim target" of increasing Catholic representation in the police service to 21.5% by March 2007. When was this updated interim target set, and when and where was it first published?

Response: Following the recommendation in the Report of the Independent Commission on Policing (Patten Report) that the police service should be representative, the Government set a the target of 30% regular officer s to be Catholic by 2010/11. In order to monitor this target and ensure it is achieved, a number of interim targets have been set. Progress on meeting the 30% overall target, including an interim target of 13.5% by March 2004, was published in the Departmental Report 2003. Progress on meeting the overall target, including an interim target of 18.5% by March 2006, was then published in the Departmental Reports for 2004, 2005 and 2006. Having met these targets and to continue monitoring progress toward the 30% within the timescale a further interim target of 21.5% by March 2007 was set and first published in the Departmental Report for 2007.

Q5. In response to the Committee's review of the 2006 Departmental Report, the Department provided the Committee with a breakdown of the results for the composite measures used for PSA Target 2. [33] The Committee would be grateful for a similar breakdown for the 2006-7 results.

Response: Please see the attached table.
% Confident in the Criminal Justice System1,2

   

Northern Ireland Crime Survey  
 2003/04  2005/06 2006/07  
Bringing those who commit crimes to justice  38 42  42 
Meeting the needs of victims of crime  33 35  33 
Respecting rights of people accused and treating them fairly  77 78  80 
Dealing with cases promptly and efficiently  33 38  38 
Reducing crime 28  34 34  
Dealing with young people accused of crime  26 29  29 
Composite Measure  39 43  43 

Source: Northern Ireland Crime Survey

1. All figures exclude don't know responses and refusals.

2. 2006/07 out-turn relates to fieldwork for January to December 2006.

Q6. In the 2007 Departmental Report, there appears still to be no inclusion of data on the proportion of crimes which are brought to justice, as envisaged in the Technical Note and the Department's responses to the Committee's questions on the 2006 Departmental Report.[34] When is such data expected to be available?

Response: There is no immediate prospect of end-to-end reporting on individual crimes brought to justice, as this will require the completion of further modules of the Causeway programme. Causeway is a joint undertaking by the criminal justice organisations (CJOs) in Northern Ireland which aims to improve the integration of criminal justice information systems based on electronic storage, transfer and retrieval of information which will be captured once and then shared and reused by all the CJOs.

 While it would be the Department's intention to generate and validate end-to-end information in the longer term, inevitably it will take a minimum of a year's fresh data following delivery of the Causeway module (expected June 2008) for statistically robust comparators to be generated. On this basis any expectation of imminent delivery of information in this area would be premature

Q7. For PSA Target 3, on reconviction rates, the Departmental Report appears not to provide predicted reconviction rates against which the reductions in reconvictions of 7% in 2004 and 10% in 2005 have been measured. What were the predicted rates underpinning this reported performance? What was the reconviction rate for the 2003 cohort?

Response: The predicted reconviction rates underpinning the 7% and 10% reductions were, respectively, 46.4% and 48.5%. The actual reconviction rate for the 2003 cohort is 43.7%.

Q8. What is the Department's latest (unaudited and unverified) estimate of the cost per prisoner place for 2006-07? When are audited and verified figures expected to be available? What is the Department's latest assessment of the likelihood of meeting the overall target of £82,500 for 2007-08?

Response: The Northern Ireland Prison Service's audited accounts were laid in Parliament and ordered to be printed on 11 July 2007. The actual cost per prisoner place in 2006-07 was £90,298. The Service came in within its allocated budget; the higher CPPP was due solely to the decision to defer the building of accommodation, which had been anticipated in the 2004 Spending Review when the targets were set. The target for 2007-08 is £82,500 and steps are being taken to achieve this target, including the implementation of a pay and efficiency package in April 2007.

Q9. What sort of new Public Service Agreement or Departmental Strategic Objective targets are being considered for the Department's activities under the Comprehensive Spending Review? What consultations have been undertaken in developing these targets?

Response: The Public Service Agreement (PSA) and Departmental Strategic Objectives (DSOs) for the 2007 Comprehensive Spending Review (CSR07) have been agreed with Treasury. The PSA Delivery Agreements have been published on the NIO's website. Within the CSR07 PSA framework it has been agreed that the Northern Ireland Office will not contribute directly to any of the cross-government PSAs but will develop two NIO PSAs which will reflect the Make Communities Safer PSA outcome for which the Home Office (HO) has the lead and the Justice for All PSA outcome for which the Ministry of Justice (MoJ) has the lead. You will wish to note that both sets of PSA outcomes are works in progress and that while the NIO has agreed to reflect the HO/MoJ priorities, we have, with the agreement of Treasury, focussed some of our Key Performance Indicators (KPIs) on priorities specific to Northern Ireland.  

The proposed PSA outcomes and underpinning KPIs and targets are attached at Annex B. The proposed DSOs are attached at Annex C.

The Department has consulted with all principal stakeholders throughout the process of developing the PSA Key Performance Indicators and targets.

Q10. PSNI increased productivity is expected to generated over £50m of the Department's efficiency savings by 2007-08. What sort of productivity improvements are planned? How will the Department ensure that the increased productivity does not have an adverse effect on service delivery?

Response: A large proportion of PSNI efficiency savings have been achieved through reduction of Full-Time Reserve Officers. The ongoing process of 'normalisation' has meant that demands for policing are changing, for example in a reduction of public order duties.

Other significant savings will be achieved through the civilianisation of posts i.e. replacing police posts with civilian staff. Restructuring of back office functions and the effects of the Review Public Administration (RPA) will result in further efficiency savings. RPA allows for greater economies of scale and more efficient use of staff due to restructuring of functions and sharing of services.

The Department and PSNI ensure that efficiencies do not have an adverse affect on service delivery in a number of ways, for example, accountability to District Policing Partnerships; district audit and accountability requirements to Chief Officers; Best Value Reviews; Local Financial Management and appointment of professional financial management teams in districts and HQ Departments; measurement and reporting of performance against policing plan objectives to the Policing Board.

Q11. The Committee would be grateful if the Department could provide a breakdown of the reported efficiency savings split into the OGC classifications of 'provisional', 'interim' and 'final', and outline the extent of validation of the recorded efficiency savings?

Response: The Department's most recent efficiency savings reported to HMT for the quarter ended 30 June 2007 totalled £83.2m.

These were classified as:

Preliminary £0m

Interim £6.3m

Final £76.9m

Efficiency savings are validated through a self assessment process - as recommended by the Office of Government Commerce - which includes review of savings by each delivery group and Director sign-off.

Q12. The Departmental Report reports increases in the number of civil service staff, including an increase in plans for 2007-08.[35] How is this figure reconciled with the expected civil servant headcount reduction of 378 forecast at paragraph 3.29 of the Report? How many posts have been cut to date, and in which areas of the Department have the reductions been made?

Response: Between 1 April 2005 and 31 March 2008, the Department plans to increase by 286 civil servant posts, hence the increased civil service staffing plans for 2007/08 reported in the Departmental Report. However, the workforce planning figures reported under the Department's efficiency programme show a reduction of 378 civil servant posts during the same period. This is because the SR2004 efficiency programme permits the Department to discount staff increases in certain front line growth areas when reporting staffing forecasts. The Department is permitted to discount 664 posts, therefore, the reported net reduction in civil servants between 1 April 2005 and 31 March 2008 is 378 [286 less 664].

The principal areas of civil service growth, and therefore discounted posts are in the following areas of the Department: PPS; NI Prison Service; Forensic Science NI; and Youth Justice Agency.




Q13. The Department appears to be on course to miss its target of reducing the staff headcount by 1,446 posts by around a hundred. In the process, it expects by March 2008 to have cut civil servant posts by almost three times the 128 original reduction target. What is the expected impact on service delivery of this greater than planned cut in civil servant posts?

Response: As noted in question 12 above, as at December 2006, the Department planned to increase by 286 civil servants by March 2008. The reported decrease of 378 posts takes into account allowable increase of 664 posts.

Therefore, service delivery will not be affected.

Q14. Why is the expected Resource outturn for 2006-07 so much higher than for 2005-06 and for 2007-08?[36]

Response: The figures included in the 2007 Departmental Report are based on the Department's 2007/08 Main Estimates. But, in addition to the baseline funding included in the Main Estimates, the Department has agreed with HMT a draw down of end year flexibility totalling £97m to supplement baselines. This cannot be drawn down until the in-year Supplementary Estimates. The planned drawdown will increase the Department's resource DEL budget to £1,238k. This is comparable with the actual 2006/07 outturn.

The main increases between 2006/07 and 2005/06 are as follows:

Direct Policing Costs - increase £29m. Mainly due to the transfer of injury on duty provisions from police pension accounts to direct policing costs and increased depreciation caused by capital assets.

Public Prosecution Service - increase £9m. mainly due to the roll-out of the service, resulting in higher staffing levels and increased accommodation costs.

Prisons - increase £9m. mainly due to non-cash costs for the revaluation of the prison estate.

Youth Justice Agency - increase £10m. mainly due to impairments and higher capital charges on the new Juvenile Justice Centre.

Other - increase £40m. The Department creates a contingency for unexpected costs which may emerge between the final Supplementary Estimates and the year end. The 2006/07 Estimates Outturn is based on the Department's final 2006/07 budget which included this contingency. But, the contingency is not included in the 2005/06 actual outturn as it was not spent in that year.

Q15. The Departmental Report shows an expected reduction in the paybill element of Administration costs by £8 million in 2007-8. What reductions in civil servant and other public servant numbers does this represent? At what level does the Department believe administration costs (and staff numbers) will eventually settle?

Response: The reduction is the administration staff costs is not primarily due to less administration staff. Between 2006/07 and 2007/08, the following front line areas in the Department were classified from administration expenditure to programme expenditure:

Causeway project (£3.6m administration staff costs transferred to programme); and

Compensation Agency (£2.0m administration staff costs transferred to programme).

Also, as noted in response 13, the Department plans to draw down end year flexibility funding in 2007/08 to supplement baselines. £2.9m of this is planned to be for administration staff costs.

The comparable 2007/08 staff costs are therefore:

£40,943k (per Departmental Report)

plus £5,592k (reclassified as programme in 2007/08)

plus £ 2,880 (EYF to be drawn down)

equals £49,415k (adjusted 2007/08 administration costs for comparison with 2006/07)

The adjusted 2007/08 administration staff costs figure of £49,415k is comparable to 2006/07.

Regardless of the Department's Comprehensive Spending Review 2007 settlement, it will be required to make 5% per annum efficiency savings. Therefore, the Department's administration costs are planned to be the 2007/08 baseline (£78,824k) plus inflation (currently forecast at 2.7% per annum) less 5% per annum savings.

The Department is currently finalising plans to achieve 5% per annum savings. Administration staff levels will settle at the 2007/08 figure per the Departmental Report less any staff savings resulting from these plans, together with staffing changes as a result of business needs.






Annex B

Make Communities Safer
PSA Outcome  Aims  Key Performance Indicator  Target/Minimum Standard  Measurement Summary  
Our vision for the 'Safer Communities' PSA outcome is that by 31 March 2011:

"Northern Ireland will be a safer place to live"
 

Reduce more serious violence, including e.g. tackling serious sexual offences.  The level of more serious violent crimes  Reduce by 2012/13*  Police Service of Northern Ireland Recorded Crime Statistics  
 Determine and reduce the harm caused by organised crime.  The level of harm caused by organised crime  To establish by 2009 a baseline and methodology; and reduce harm caused by organised crime by 2012/13  Organised Crime Task Force Strategy Group  
 Enable people to feel safer in their communities.  The level of anti-social behaviour incidents  Reduce by 15% by 2011 (based on 2007/08 data)  PSNI Anti-Social Behaviour Incident Statistics  
 Reduce re-offending  level of overall re-offending

level of serious re-offending  

Reduce re-offending by all offenders by x% by 2011  NIO Statistics Branch data  
 Normalise the policing environment throughout NI, increasing confidence in police  levels of confidence in policing in all communities

levels of police engagement with people in local communities  

Increased confidence in policing**


Increased levels of police engagement with local people  

Northern Ireland Crime Survey  

* Target will be refined once the Home Office work in this area is complete.

** The Northern Ireland Crime Survey can be used to continue measuring confidence against the 2004 PSA Target (to achieve the target of 76% (composite measure) public confidence in policing by March 2008). However, our intention is to consider the work being taken forward by the Ministry of Justice with a view to considering if we need to change our indicators. Should we change the indicators, we would be intending to establish a baseline between October 2007 and March 2008.

Justice for All
PSA Outcome  Aims  Key Performance Indicator  Target/Minimum Standard  Measurement Summary  
Our vision for the Justice for All PSA outcome is that by 31 March 2011:

"The public of Northern Ireland have confidence that the Criminal Justice system is delivering effective and timely justice for everyone."

A more efficient, effective and joined-up criminal justice system will be achieved through increasing public confidence, improving victim and witness satisfaction, and reducing the time taken to trial in dealing with offenders.  

Increase public confidence in the criminal justice system.  Confidence in the fairness and effectiveness of criminal justice system.  Increase public confidence in the fairness and effectiveness of criminal justice system by 2011.*  Northern Ireland Crime Survey  
 Improve victim/ witness satisfaction with criminal justice agencies and process.  Victim and witness satisfaction.  Increase victim and witness satisfaction with criminal justice system by 2011**  Northern Ireland Witness and Victim Experience Survey (WAVES)  
 Shorten the time taken to progress criminal cases.  Time taken to trial in Crown Court Cases  Achieve average, timescale:

Charge to decision to prosecute - 140 days***  

Public Prosecution Service database  
 Shorten the time taken to progress criminal cases.  Time to trial in Magistrates' Court Cases  Achieve average timescales:

Charge cases (Charge to decision to prosecute) - 54 days

Summons cases (Report to first appearance) - 146 days***  

Public Prosecution Service database  
 Shorten the time taken to progress criminal cases.  Time to trial in Youth Court cases.  Achieve average timescale:

Charge cases (Charge to decision to prosecute) - 35 days

Summons cases (Report to first appearance) - 132***  

Public Prosecution Service database  

*There is a current (SR2004) Public Service Agreement (PSA) target which we could use to continue to measure confidence through the existing composite measure using the NICS which is currently comparable with E&W. However, our intention is to consider the work being taken forward by the Ministry of Justice (MoJ) with a view to considering if we need to change our indicators to maintain comparability with E&W. Should we change the indicators, we would be intending to establish a baseline between Oct 07 and Mar 08.

**This target will be based on the results of the soon to be established Northern Ireland Witness and Victim Experience Survey (WAVES); a cross-cutting satisfaction survey which will measure all levels of satisfaction at key points in the criminal justice process - from the time a crime is reported until it is disposed off. Performance will be measured on all answers to a question which asks a random sample of victims and witnesses: "Overall, were you satisfied or dissatisfied with the contact you have had with the CJS?" The question is assessed on a seven point scale ranging from completely satisfied to completely dissatisfied. Satisfaction is defined as all victims and witnesses who are very, completely or fairly satisfied with the service they receive.

***Achievement of these targets depends on the relevant agencies working jointly in partnership. With the focus on time taken to trial there will be an increased need for organisations to ensure cases are processed to the agreed required standard.

                    Annex C

Proposed Departmental Strategic Objectives for the Northern Ireland Office.
Departmental Strategic Objective  
1. To support a stable devolved government in Northern Ireland with responsibility for policing and justice, and a society reconciled with its past.  
2. To manage offenders securely, safely and humanely.  
3. To deliver an independent, fair and effective criminal justice system which supports and protects the community.

(Justice for All PSA maps onto this DSO)  

4. To work with PSNI and other Policing partners to deliver effective and accountable policing services that can secure the confidence of the whole community.

(Safer Communities PSA maps onto this DSO)  

5. To delivery Value for Money savings and to live within annual available funding.  




31   The Work of the Committee in 2006, Second Report of 2006-07, HC 294, Appendix 2, page 17. Back

32   Northern Ireland Office Departmental Report 2007, paragraph 3.17. Back

33   Second Report of 2006-07, The Work of the Committee in 2006, HC 294, Appendix 2, page 20. Back

34   Ibid. Back

35   Northern Ireland Office Departmental Report 2007, Appendix F, Table 6. Back

36   Northern Ireland Office Departmental Report 2007, Appendix F, Table 2. Back


 

 
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