The Economics of Renewable Energy - Economic Affairs Committee Contents


Memorandum by Christiane Golling and Marco Nicolosi, Institute of Energy Economics (EWI), Cologne

GENERAL OVERVIEW

  The German Renewable Energy Act (EEG), which has become effective in 2000, should advance the development of renewable energy plants in Germany. By 2010 at least 12.5 % electricity should be generated by renewable energy sources (RES). Since this objective has already been reached (RES-E reached a share of 14.2 % in 2007—see table 1) it will be increased further to at least 30% electricity from RES (RES-E) in 2020 within the upcoming amendment in 2009. Table 1 and 2 are going to provide an overview of the RE deployment, generation and total costs.

Table 1

TOTAL EEG GENERATION


Year
Hydropower
Windpower
Biomass
Biowaste
Photo-
voltaics
Geothermal
Power
Sum Power
Generation
Share of
demand
Average
Remuneration
Total
Remunderation
GWh
GWh
GWh
GWh
GWh
GWh
GWh
%
ct/kWh
Mrd. EUR

2000
24.936
7.550
2.279
1.850
64
0
36.679
6,3
8,50
0,88
2001
23.383
10.509
3.206
1.859
116
0
39.073
6,7
8,69
1,58
2002
23.824
15.786
4.017
1.945
188
0
45.760
7,8
8,91
2,23
2003
20.350
18.859
6.970
2.162
313
0
48.654
8,1
9,16
2,61
2004
21.000
25.509
8.347
2.116
557
0,2
57.529
9,5
9,29
3,61
2005
21.524
27.229
10.495
3.039
1.282
0,2
63.569
10,4
10,00
4,50
2006
20.000
30.710
15.500
3.639
2.220
0,4
72.069
11,7
10,88
5,81
2007
20.700
39.500
19.500
4.250
3.500
0,4
87.450
14,2
11,40
7,90

Source:  BMU (2008).


Table 2

TOTAL EEG CAPACITIES


Year
Hydropower
Windpower
Biomass
Photo-
voltaics
Geothermal
Power
Total
Capacity
MW
MW
MW
MW
MW
MW

2000
4.572
6.112
664
100
11.448
2001
4.600
8.754
790
178
14.322
2002
4.620
11.965
952
258
17.795
2003
4.640
14.609
1.137
408
20.794
2004
4.660
16.629
1.550
1.018
0,2
23.857
2005
4.680
18.428
2.192
1.881
0,2
27.181
2006
4.700
20.622
2.740
2.711
0,2
30.773
2007
4.720
22.247
3.238
3.811
2,4
34.018

Source:  BMU (2008).


  Core elements of the EEG are the obligation of the grid operators to connect the RE plants to the grid and to buy the RES-E at a pre-specified tariff.[81] The EEG is a technology specific feed-in tariff system (FIT). Every technology has different tariffs, according to size and/or fuel or site quality. For Biomass, different bonuses are granted for sustainability of the fuel, combined heat and power (chp) and new technologies. For Wind, different tariffs are granted for locations with different wind speeds. Due to the complexity of the law, this "piece of evidence" is going to focus on the regulation for wind power.

ONSHORE WIND POWER

  The tariff structure for wind power is quite complex. The tariffs are differentiated by basic tariff and starting tariff. The EEG 2004 and the current amendment (which will become effective in 2009) have basically the same methodology. Altogether, the guaranteed remuneration is granted for 20 years. The starting tariff is valid for five years, if the site reaches 150% of the reference yield. The reference site has a wind speed of 5.5 m/s 30 meters above ground. For every 0.75% below this reference yield, the starting tariff is extended by two months. Very good sites receive the high starting tariff for five years and low quality sites, which receive only 60% of the reference yield, obtain the starting tariff for 20 years. Plants with a yield below 60% of the reference value are not eligible for remuneration. The motivation behind this methodology is to increase the attractiveness for lower yield wind sites. Thereby, the policy makers try to reduce the margins for optimal wind sites at the shore and at the same time encourage deployment within the whole country. Table 3 provides an overview of the annual wind power deployment and the corresponding feed-in tariff.

Table 3

COMPARISON OF WIND POWER REMUNERATION AND DEPLOYMENT


2003
2004
2005
2006

New Installations (MW/a)
2.644
2.036
1.808
2.234
Total Wind Remuneration (Mio. €/a)
1.696,9
2.278,9
2.386,3
2.734,0
Wind Remuneration (ct/kWh)
9,06
8,93
8,76
8,90

Source:  BMU (2007).


  In order to encourage manufacturers to lower their costs, the tariff is reduced by a certain percentage every year. In the effective EEG this degression is defined to be 2%. As the degression is expressed in nominal percent taking account inflation the real degression amounts to about 4%. Along with the high steel prices, this increases the pressure for manufacturers to reduce their costs. Therefore, the degression will be reduced to 1% in the amendment. Moreover, the starting and the basic tariff will be increased (see table 4).

Table 4

REMUNERATION COMPARISON BETWEEN EEG 2004 AND 2009


EEG 2004
EEG 2009

ct/kWh
ct/kWh
Starting Tariff
7,87
9,2
Basic Tariff
4,97
5,02
Degression
2%
1%
System Bonus
0,5

Source:  EEG (2004), EEG 2009 preliminary (2008).


  One of the main reasons for the amendment is the currently high world market price of steel. The high price levels have direct influence on the turbine costs and cannot be overcompensated by technology improvements. In addition good quality sites for wind power deployments in Germany are limited. Slowly the limits are reached. Only higher tariffs may allow a further wind penetration which will be located at sides with lower wind speeds.

REPOWERING

  As an alternative old wind power plants may be substituted by new installations—called repowering. Since wind energy deployment started already in the early 1990s, good quality sites are mostly occupied by outdated windmills. Therefore, the EEG tries to encourage investors and operators to repower the existing sites with newer technologies and increased capacity.

  Repowering overview:

    EEG 2004:

        Plants which started operation before 31.12.1995 qualify for repowering.

        Installed capacity has at least to be tripled.

        Starting tariff is extended by two months for every 0.6 % below 150 % of the reference yield.

    EEG 2009:

        A site qualifies for repowering if it was at least 10 years in operation.

        New capacity has to be between two and five times the capacity of the old plants.

        Starting tariff increased by 0.5 ct/kWh—time period according to regular new installations.

OFFSHORE WIND POWER

  Basically the same principle as for onshore wind power applies for offshore wind power as well. Total support is granted for 20 years. In this case, however, the higher staring tariff is valid for 12 years. It can be expanded according to a greater distance to the shoreline or a higher water depth. For every further seamile beyond 12 seamiles, the starting tariff is extended by 0.5 months and for every full metre beyond 20 metres water depth, the starting period is extended by 1.7 months. Additionally, an early start bonus of 2.0 ct/kWh is granted in the EEG 2009, if the site becomes utilised before 31.12.2015. According to the EEG 2009, the degression of 5% starts in 2015.

Table 4

REMUNERATION COMPARISON BETWEEN EEG 2004 AND 2009


EEG 2004
EEG 2009

ct/kWh
ct/kWh
Starting Tariff
9,1
13
Basic Tariff
6,19
3,5
Degression
2%
5%
System Bonus
2,0

Source:  EEG (2004), EEG 2009 preliminary (2008).


  The main reason for the increased tariff rates is obvious: By now, in Germany there are no offshore wind parks in operation. Since offshore wind parks in Germany are going to be constructed in water depths beyond 20 meters, the constructions are quite risky. Investors seek to receive higher remunerations for these risks in order to invest. As soon as projects are realised costs can be estimated better and risks can be reduced. Therefore, the high starting tariff of 15 ct/kWh will be reduced after 2015 by the abolition of the early bonus and the high degression of 5%.

OTHER NEW ASPECTS OF THE AMENDMENT

  The new EEG 2009 introduces two new elements. First of all, operators have a choice between two different RES-E sale options. The first one is the fixed feed-in tariff system. The second option is the possibility to sell the RES-E on a bilateral basis or via power exchange. Since the wholesale prices have been relatively high during the last months in Germany, plants, especially which receive only the basic tariff (and not the higher starting tariff), receive higher margins if they sell their RES-E on the wholesale market. Plant operators can choose on a monthly basis, whether they want to sell their generated RES-E directly or via fixed FIT.

  The second innovation is a bonus for "system services". These system services are going to be defined in the near future and can be services, such as reactive power, voltage control, reserve power, etc.

  Both new elements are motivated by the increasing share of wind power in the electricity market. The policy makers try to improve the integration of the wind power RES-E to become more independent of conventional power technologies.

August 2008

LITERATURE

  EEG 2004: Das Erneuerbare Energien Gesetz, 2004, Berlin http://217.160.60.235/BGBL/bgbl1f/bgbl104s1918.pdf.

  EEG 2009: Bundestagsbeschluss zum EEG vom 06.06.2008: http://www.eeg-aktuell.de/fileadmin/user_upload/Downloads_Politik/EEG-2009-BWE-Arbeitspapier-neu.pdf.

  BMU 2008: Erneuerbare Energien in Zahlen—Nationale und Internationale Entwicklung, Berlin:

  http://www.bmu.de/files/erneuerbare_energien/downloads/application/pdf/broschuere_ee_zah len.pdf.

  BMU 2007: EEG Erfahrungsbericht 2007, Berlin: http://www.erneuerbare-energien.de/files/pdfs/allgemein/application/pdf/erfahrungsbericht_eeg_2007.pdf.




81   The fixed tariff characteristic of the EEG reduces the investment risk for the renewable investor markedly compared to a more market based promotion system. This should be taken into account when comparing reimbursement rates. Back


 
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