The Economics of Renewable Energy - Economic Affairs Committee Contents


Memorandum by the Institution of Mechanical Engineers

  The Institution of Mechanical Engineers (IMechE) is a professional body of over 78,000 professional engineers in the UK and overseas. The Institution's membership is involved in all aspects of energy exploration, conversion, supply, use and recovery. As a Learned Society, IMechE's role is to be a source of considered, balanced, impartial information and advice.

1.  THE ROLE OF RENEWABLES IN UK ENERGY POLICY

  The Institution welcomes the EU-set target of 15% of energy consumed in the UK to come from renewable sources by 2020. However, despite its abundant natural renewable energy resources, both on land and around its coastline, the UK lags far behind other EU nations in expanding its renewable energy production. If the UK is to achieve its target, renewable energy must be rapidly deployed across the transport, power and buildings sector. Put simply, an ambitious and coordinated package of measures across the energy field is urgently required.

2.  BARRIERS TO ENTRY

  Existing markets, economic models and mindsets all tend to artificially favour conventional (fossil-fuel and nuclear) energy technologies and inhibit the growth of new, radically different, alternatives. Current barriers to the greater deployment of renewable technologies include (but are not limited to):

  2.1  Research and development in the UK energy industry is low, hampering the development of new technologies and allowing other countries to gain market advantage.

  2.2  Most renewables incur a much higher proportion of their life-cycle costs in the early planning, manufacture and build phase. Their operating costs and decommissioning costs tend to be very low (particularly when compared to existing technologies like nuclear). However, the lack of availability of financing for renewables projects has impacted on their deployment.

  2.3  The UK suffers from a lack of skilled engineers and scientists needed to develop renewable energy capacity. Renewable energy must be seen as an exciting opportunity for young people. Without this the UK will cannot hope to be competitive in the global market place for renewable energy.

  2.4  Much of our manufacturing base has now moved overseas. Achieving the necessary scale of manufacturing capacity in a desirable time frame is unlikely without coordinated and concerted government support. In the absence of this support, it is likely that most of the components will need to be imported.

3.  FUTURE COSTS

  There are already a very wide range of renewable energy technologies that are likely to become cheaper both in real and comparative terms. Once built, most renewables utilise freely and permanently available resources. The early-stage additional costs of renewable energy must be thought of as an investment, not just in the achievement of long-term energy and climate policy objectives, but also as an instrument of industrial policy, stimulating future jobs and export earnings.

4.  FEED-IN TARIFFS

  International experience has clearly demonstrated that feed-in tariffs have delivered far more renewables, far quicker, than quota-type systems like the Renewables Obligation. IMechE believes there is a very strong case for introducing a FIT system for small-scale energy producers (electricity and heat) at the earliest possible opportunity. At larger scale, careful consideration needs to be given to ensure that any FIT proposals do not cause a collapse in what little investor confidence the RO has so far built up.

5.  THE ELECTRICITY GRID

  The existing electricity grid (transmission and distribution networks) was designed in the first half of the 20th Century to take energy from the coal fields to the major industrial centres. That model is now totally inappropriate; over 70% of the electricity grid is beyond its designed capacity. Major investment and upgrading of the grid is already required. The advantages of renewable and distributed sources of energy (particularly those providing electricity and useful heat at the same time) are numerous and well documented. There is a strong case that future investment and upgrading of the grid should be geared towards a more distributed, less centralised model.

6.  INTERMITTENCY

  Most renewables are variable—they only produce energy at certain times when the prevailing conditions are appropriate. They are not, however, unpredictable, at least not within the timescales required for effective operation of the electricity grid. With the exception of biomass and Energy from Waste plants, other forms of renewable generation will require marginally more back-up than conventional plants. The Institution can provide much deeper technical evidence on these matters if required, but in summary we believe that the intermittency issue is entirely manageable, at an acceptable cost, provided that a balanced portfolio approach is pursued. No one technology (and here we emphasise that renewables are not one single technology) should be allowed to become too dominant in the mix. While a wide range of scenarios are possible, a reasonable working model on which to plan is that no one energy source (eg wind, nuclear, coal, gas, biomass, wave, tidal, solar, etc) should generate more than 25-30% of overall electricity demand.

7.  COST COMPARISON

  The applicability of renewables is often highly site-specific, so generalisations about their cost relative to the market incumbents are subject to significant imprecision. Conventional technologies see a higher proportion of their life cycle costs discounted into the future, making them appear cheaper. The estimated £75bn (and rising) bill to decommission safely our existing fleet of nuclear power stations shows how misleading such up-front calculations can become. Global stocks of oil, gas, coal and uranium are all finite, all depleting, and all likely to see considerable price volatility over the coming decades. Most renewables utilise indigenous natural resources and so enhance security of supply because they are not subject to geo-political supply chain risks.

8.  OTHER FORMS OF ENERGY CONSUMPTION

  There is a wide variety of renewable technologies able to deliver electricity, heat and/or fuels for transport. While the opportunities for renewable energy in the transport sector are relatively limited, substantial opportunities do exist in the heat sector. The immediate focus in the heat sector should be on energy efficiency improvements, particularly to the existing building stock. However, incentives and support mechanisms are needed to encourage their uptake of both energy efficiency mechanisms and heat supply technology in the UK market, and achieve cost reductions through economies of scale.

9.  EU ETS

  The EU ETS is an important tool, but is unlikely to bring forward the required large scale investment in renewable energy when employed in isolation. The carbon price is neither sufficiently high nor sufficiently predictable to provide long-term investor confidence.

10.  BIOFUELS

  Despite recent controversy, IMechE sees no fundamental reason why biofuels can not provide a significant source of low carbon energy for the transport sector, sustainably and without unacceptable impacts on food or natural eco-systems. The current target to supply 10% of our road transport fuels from biofuels is a reasonable aspiration for the current (1st generation) energy crops, provided it is managed appropriately. With the right investment, 2nd and 3rd generation biofuels have the potential to supply much more.

11.  OVERALL ENERGY POLICY

  In general, the development and delivery of all forms of renewable energy needs to be planned and managed in ways that takes due account of the whole energy scene, and its inter-relationships with other policy areas eg climate change, foreign policy and security, taxation and the economy, manufacturing, agriculture, etc. It is vital, therefore, that renewable energy technologies are developed as part of a co-ordinated and balanced overall energy policy, alongside major investment in energy conservation and efficiency, the development of carbon capture and storage, and a much greater focus on the heat sector.

12 June 2008



 
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