The Economics of Renewable Energy - Economic Affairs Committee Contents


Memorandum by the Renewable Energy Association

1.  INTRODUCTION

  1.1  The important question is not how much renewable energy costs, but how we achieve renewable energy targets at least cost. If cost is a factor in deciding the level of achievement, it should be asked before a target was set, rather than afterwards.

  1.2  There are two ways of achieving renewable energy targets at least cost; one is to encourage—as far as possible—the very cheapest renewable sources. The other is to have the most lowest cost policy measures. This generally means the bankable, low-risk mechanisms. There are factors which must be taken into account with both approaches.

  1.3  Aiming to rely on only the very cheapest technologies has many dangers. The cheapest electricity generating technology is co-firing imported biomass with coal, but over-reliance on this would be undesirable for several reasons. It is also more cost effective to use biomass for heat production, rather than power. It is least cost-effective to use it for transport. However, using biomass (defined as all grown material)  is the only lower-carbon fuel substitution solution available for the transport sector in the short to medium term—unless we convert to renewably-charged electric vehicle transport, which brings serious considerations of availability of renewable electricity.

  1.4  Leaving aside landfill and sewage gas, both of which are limited in terms of resource, the next cheapest technology is onshore wind. However relying exclusively on this would entail us being required to meet some 60% of the UK's electricity demand. Not only would accommodating this amount of intermittency have cost implications—but there would undoubtedly be significant planning difficulties. It is clear we need to have a diversity of renewable sources and scales of project, and cannot rely on simply exploiting the very cheapest forms of renewable energy.

  1.5  There are fewer downsides to relying on the lowest cost support mechanisms—but there is one very important factor—that of maintaining investor confidence. Any firm, bankable policy, be it Feed in Tariffs or fixed price contracts are likely to be cheaper than market-based mechanisms which carry a risk premium. This is not an argument to convert to a Feed in Tariff in the UK—a question we come back to later in this evidence. A shift at this stage would create a major hiatus and undermine investor confidence. There is also the question of how well the policy would fit into the wider picture, discussed below.

  1.6  We do not address all the questions in the call for evidence, but have grouped our response into several themes.

2.  POLICY COMPARISONS AND GRID ISSUES

  2.1  The Select Committee asks how renewables fit into Britain's overall energy policy. This section tackles this question from the perspective of power generation, as there is no heat policy in the UK and renewables transport policy is considered separately below.

  2.2  The Renewables Obligation (RO) results in a premium being paid for each MW of renewable electricity produce. Beyond this there is no special treatment for renewable generators, nor the power they produce. The same rules apply for connection to the grid for renewable generators and non-renewables as well as for dispatch and the regulatory and commercial arrangements for transmission and distribution.

  2.3  This is, to a large degree, desirable. However, where it comes to connection, the rules are inappropriate, as they favour incumbent generators over newcomers. The incumbents are primarily fossil fuel generators whilst the newcomers are almost exclusively renewable.

  2.4  The current EU Renewables Directive includes provisions to allow priority access to the electricity network for renewable generation. It states that Member States "may also provide for priority access to the grid system of electricity produced from renewable energy sources". The new draft EU Renewable Energy Directive strengthens the provisions, saying Member States "shall also provide for priority access to the grid system of electricity produced from renewable energy sources". (Emphasis added.)

  2.5  UK policy is not decided in this area. We are in the process of a review of the transmission arrangements and it would have made much sense for the UK to have decided its position prior to the review. There is a risk that work may have to be re-done if the outcome is in conflict with the policy decision. At the very least the process would have involved less work had the decision been taken beforehand.

  2.6  With the exception of the rules on connection, such equitable treatment is a good way for renewables to fit into energy (electricity) policy. It better prepares them for the eventual time when external costs of carbon emissions are fully internalised—at which point they should need no additional support or special treatment.

  2.7  In countries with feed in tariffs (FITs) the policy often goes beyond the scope of the tariff payments themselves, dealing with dispatch, transmission and distribution aspects. It is often very favourable elements, such as that electricity utilities have to pay for the costs of connection that have contributed to the successful deployment of renewables. The premium payment is, of cruse, important too, but it must be noted that the price of the premium is not always higher for feed in tariffs than for tradable certificate policies. Indeed it is often the reverse. It is the bankability of the FIT as opposed to the higher risk tradable mechanisms that means the price can be lower, yet still more attractive.

  2.8  There is a specific question on the comparisons of FITs within question 4—"what are the relative merits of FITs versus the RO?"  The inherent simplicity of a tariff based system is a key advantage with respect to encouraging on-site generation. We use the terms "merchant" power for power stations built for the export of power to the grid. Examples of merchant plant includes wind farms, biomass power stations, hydropower schemes etc. We thus distinguish these types of project from "on-site" generation, where the objective is to produce power to meet the users own energy needs.

  2.9  Onsite generation will mostly comprise developments initiated by companies which are not specialist renewable energy project developers. The latter will be well-versed with the Renewables Obligation, whereas for companies for whom energy is not their core business, this legislation is dauntingly complex.

  2.10  These include entities whose main line of business is not energy, eg community wind turbines and units serving industrial estates, water treatment works, out of town shopping areas etc. The RO is less effective at stimulating these kinds of developments, due to its inherent complexity and risk characteristics. A more straightforward tariff arrangement is required here to engage the wider set of owners we need to reach out to. We need to bring such sites into the fold if the 15% target is to be reached.

  2.11  The Renewables Obligation (RO) is complex and the administrative arrangements onerous for onsite renewable electricity generators. At present the very smallest generators (ie micro-renewables under 50kW capacity) provide only 0.2% of the renewable electricity generated, yet occupy around 70% of the RO administrator's time. The RO was never designed with small scale generation in mind. It was targeted at merchant power and is effective in that role.

  2.12  Feed in tariffs also have merits for early stage technologies such as wave and tidal energy, which are expected to see significant price reductions over the next decade. These technologies are at an early stage, and project developers have to manage a significant degree of technology risk. It would be preferable for all other risks to be removed. Simply knowing exactly what prices will be paid for each MWh of wave or tidal stream power generated is far better than the current situation, where there will be such worries as will the conditions for a top up grant be satisfied?—to what degree is the top-up grant additional to ROCs under a banded obligation?—how might the price of ROCs change over time?—what banding levels will be set for wave and tidal stream energy?—how will the grandfathering arrangements work when the banding level is reduced?—how will the Scottish RO and the rest of the RO interact?

  2.13  These are complications and risks a project developer with a significant degree of technology risk, could well do without.

  2.14  The FIT proposed within the Energy Bill does not cater for this—however, although previous proposals the RO has put forward do cater for bankable wave and tidal power purchase agreements.

3.  ENDURING QUESTIONS

  3.1  A number of the questions in the call for evidence have been around since the development of renewables (wind in particular) first started. Many studies on intermittency have been published and we do not propose to comment further.

  3.2  Question 6 asks if the planning system is striking the right balance between all the different considerations. It is well known that the planning (along with grid connection) is one of the main barriers to the deployment of renewable energy.

  3.3  The Planning Bill aims to insulate the larger projects from political interference, by giving the decision making to an independent committee. For renewable energy projects, this means that projects previously determined by the secretary of state under Section 36 provisions are now dealt by this committee. For these projects it is legitimate to have a political aspect, as it is Government policy to increase renewables deployment, and meet ambitious targets.

  3.4  It is, unfortunately, the projects that are dealt with by local government decision makers that are more prone to unhelpful political interference—albeit local politics as opposed to national politics. The planning bill will do little to help under 50MW projects, which comprise 75% of renewable generation capacity accredited under the Renewables Obligation.

4.  RENEWABLE ENERGY AND THE UK TRANSPORT SECTOR

  4.1  The transport sector accounts for about 25% of the UK's carbon emissions and this is predicted to continue to rise, in contrast to most sectors of the economy which are reducing emissions. Given that reducing carbon emissions is the major driver for the Government's renewable energy policies, it is important that the transport sector makes its contribution. Currently, the use of biofuels, as noted in the overall "Introduction" to this submission, is the only lower carbon fuel substitution solution available in the short to medium term. Biofuels, provided they are produced sustainably (see Paras 5.5 and 6.1), can be a valuable and valid use of renewable biomass.

5.  THE EFFECTIVENESS OF GOVERNMENT POLICIES

  5.1  Question 4 asks about the cost-effectiveness of different forms of Government support.

Transport sector support mechanisms

  5.2  Support for the development of a UK biofuels industry began with the introduction of a 20 pence per litre fuel duty rebate for biodiesel (2002) and bioethanol (2005). This policy proved largely ineffective in stimulating more than just a niche biofuels industry based on used cooking oil. Given that the EU Directive on the promotion of biofuels (2003/30/EU) set an indicative target for biofuel use of 5.75% by energy by 2010, reliance on fuel duty rebates alone could also have proved costly to the Exchequer in duty foregone. The Government therefore consulted widely on alternative forms of support and decided in 2005 to introduce a Renewable Transport Fuel Obligation (RTFO) from April 2008.

  5.3  It was the consensus view of the stakeholder community that the RTFO was the most effective way to support an emerging biofuels industry. The potential UK producers of biofuels also felt that the fuel duty rebate should remain a part of the policy mix until the RTFO was tested and understood by the investing community. However, in Budget 2008, the Government announced that the fuel duty rebates would be abolished from 2010. Support will continue through the RTFO, which will rely on the Buy-Out Price mechanism for its effectiveness. At present, the combined value of the duty rebates and buy-out price is 35 pence per litre. When the duty rebates are removed in 2010, the only support will be the buy-out mechanism—which will be set at 30 pence per litre. The REA remains concerned that this level of Buy-Out Price will be insufficient to ensure that obligated suppliers supply biofuels, rather than buying out of their obligation. Furthermore, the way in which the Buy-Out Price is set is not transparent. Given the changes in both commodity prices and the crude oil price recently, the industry would like to see a more transparent mechanism for setting the Buy-Out Price.

  5.4  The key policy mechanism under the RTFO is the establishment of targets for the sale of biofuels. The RTFO came into effect in April this year with a target of 2.5%, rising to 5% by volume by 2010. While the industry has accepted these targets, they are conservative—95% of fuel use will remain fossil based. In order to encourage and justify investment and to ensure that sustainable biofuels can make a meaningful contribution to greenhouse gas emission reduction, targets should rise in the future to reach the proposed mandatory EU biofuels target of 10% by energy by 2020. This mandatory 10% target was agreed by EU Heads of Government in March 2007. If this target is either reduced or made indicative, this will put a correspondingly bigger, and more challenging, burden on the other sectors of the economy to reach the 15% UK target. It would not be right for transport to be allowed to duck its responsibilities in this way.

The longevity of policy

  5.5  The introduction of policy mechanisms to encourage the use of low carbon biofuels aims to correct market failure, by creating a market where none might otherwise exist. However, policy has to be long term if investors are to have confidence in the new market. Unfortunately, UK Government policy on biofuels has wavered and the longevity of the RTFO looks more shaky than was the case a year ago. When the RTFO was announced in December 2005, investors responded and in early 2006 investment plans for the production of some 4.5 million tonnes of biofuels were announced. Since then, about two million tonnes worth of investment in the UK has been abandoned, with corresponding employment potential destroyed. The REA believes that the Government should have confidence in its own biofuels policy, which is underpinned by a world-leading set of sustainability standards set out in the Technical Guidance on Carbon and Sustainability Reporting as part of the RTFO, and set mandatory targets out to 2020.

6.  PRINCIPLES OF THE UK'S BIOFUEL POLICY

  6.1  The main driver for the UK biofuels policy is the reduction in greenhouse gas emissions. Government has also been determined that robust sustainability standards for the production of biofuels should be in place. More recently, the Government has announced a study into the indirect impacts of biofuel production, fearing that UK and EU biofuels policy would encourage unsustainable practices elsewhere in the world. The REA has been at the forefront of support for the Government's principles for a biofuels policy both in the UK and the EU and supports all efforts to ensure that biofuels are produced sustainably across the world. However, the UK industry can only ensure that its own biofuels are produced to the standards set out in the RTFO. It is for Government to ensure that all imports of finished biofuels are produced to the same standards.

7.  FUTURE TECHNOLOGIES

  7.1  Question 3 asks about technological advances in relation to cheaper renewable energy. In the transport sector, consideration has to be given not only to cheaper sources of renewable energy, but, more importantly, to sustainable sources. The question of the contribution, if any, that the production of biofuels makes to rising world commodity prices is not a debate for this enquiry. Nevertheless, there is no doubt that future developments in the production of biofuels should move to the greater use of sustainable feedstocks that do not compete with feedstocks primarily used for food, for example biomass wastes and residues, as well as non-food crops such as jatropha. A great deal of research is still required to develop new technologies and to bring these to market. However, investment in such research requires a working market and a reasonable promise of a return. The market must start, as it is doing currently, with the use of sustainably produced conventional feedstock. It will then be able to transit towards the commercial deployment of alternative feedstocks and technologies. It is wholly unrealistic, and a recipe for doing nothing in the transport sector, to call for the development of new technologies before policies and targets are in place. Calls for a moratorium on the use of biofuels in this context are na-with-diaeresisve at best and irresponsible at worst. Government should be supporting technological advances in the transport sector in parallel to giving the market confidence in the future.

  7.2  Question 11 asks about the costs and benefits of the present generation of biofuels as against so-called "second generation". The REA finds the terms "second generation" or "advanced" biofuels somewhat misleading. As has been stated, the key principle underpinning the UK biofuels policy is the reduction of greenhouse gas emissions. It is against this principle, as well as that of sustainability, that biofuels should be judged. Many current generation biofuels produced in the UK can deliver significant greenhouse gas savings entirely sustainably. For example, British Sugar has announced that its sugar beet-to-ethanol plant in Norfolk delivers a 71% saving against fossil petrol, and Argent Energy delivers an 83% saving against fossil diesel at its tallow-to-biodiesel plant in Motherwell. Other biofuels, such as sugar cane- to-ethanol can deliver high levels of greenhouse gas savings, but safeguards to protect against indirect impacts on rainforest or other valuable carbon- or biodiversity-rich environments must be taken into account. To the extent that the technologies to use other non-food feedstocks—including wastes and residues—can be developed at a commercial level in the future, they are likely to deliver good levels of greenhouse gas savings.

  7.3  The key to UK Biofuels policy must be:

    —  Mandatory targets at the EU level, providing a working market, to ensure investor confidence and the commercial delivery of new generation biofuels.

    —  Robust sustainability standards at UK, EU and eventually at the global level.

    —  The achievement of good levels of greenhouse gas emissions reductions. The REA supports the UK Government's target for 50% by 2010.

June 2008



 
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