Select Committee on Economic Affairs Written Evidence


Letter from Mr Meyer Burstein

  My name is Meyer Burstein. I am the co-founder and former Co-Chair of the International Metropolis Project. Prior to that, for approximately 10 years, I served as the Director-General of the Strategic Planning, Research and Analysis Branch at Citizenship and Immigration Canada. In that capacity, I was, among other things, responsible for the management and design of the immigrant selection (points) system.

  Thank you for the opportunity to submit comments to the Economic Affairs Committee. The questions posed by the Committee are both important and timely: Important because they proceed from the recognition that immigration is a matter of choice for democratic societies; timely, because economic restructuring, demographic change, technological advance and shifting public attitudes create inexorable pressure for that choice to be exercised wisely.

  My comments are rooted in Canada's immigration experience since the early eighties. That experience suggests a need for rebalancing Canada's portfolio of policies, programs and partnerships in order to achieve improved economic outcomes for both immigrants and their hosts. The lessons may have broader application.

  Recent economic evidence is shedding light on the profound changes that have occurred in immigrant economic performance over the last two and a half decades. Until the 1980s, immigrant earnings had quickly eclipsed those of similarly endowed, native-born Canadians. Then the picture changed dramatically. Successive arrival cohorts experienced sharp declines in both earnings and other measures of economic success. This fall in performance persisted through the nineties and, though somewhat attenuated, is still in evidence today. It is by no means certain that new arrivals will attain native-born earning norms, notwithstanding the fact that catch-up rates have improved slightly. Not surprisingly, immigrant and minority poverty has risen sharply.

  Undoubtedly, some of the decline in economic performance can be attributed to the decline in manufacturing jobs and the consequent reduction in absorptive capacity but there is more to the story. Better tailoring immigration to the business cycle would also have helped. Nevertheless, other measures are needed—particularly for immigrants from non-traditional backgrounds who have been hit the hardest.

  The prevailing view among Canadian economists is that the earnings decline is related to a number of factors, notably: (i) Overarching structural adjustments that have depressed the earnings of all new labour market entrants; (ii) A fall in the value that markets attach to non-Canadian work experience; (iii) A compositional shift that has increased immigration from countries where employers discount educational (and other) credentials obtained abroad; (iv) A sharp decline in English and French fluency among workers; and (v) discrimination. In particular, there would appear to be a growing consensus that language plays an especially critical role and that recent immigrants lack the communication skills demanded by the labour market. Greater uncertainty persists regarding the extent to which declining returns to work experience and education reflect discrimination or, more benignly, declining returns to age, differences in educational quality and problems of acculturation.

  Policymakers must be especially concerned with economic (and social) integration because it constitutes both an outcome and a lever. As lever, successful integration plays a critical role in leveraging public support. The ability of governments to manage integration is limited. Governments contribute and shape essential services but much of the work of integration takes place in private settings involving employers, schools, religious institutions and NGOs. To persuade these stakeholders to invest in integration, there must be an expectation that immigrants will not only draw on the public purse, but also contribute to it. The success of the Canadian policy model has depended on the success of Canada's immigrant population and the ability this has given governments to leverage crucial public support. The current downturn in immigrant fortunes places that leveraging capacity at risk.

  A second link between successful integration and integrative capacity originates in the changing face of cities. As foreign-born populations grow, newcomers and minorities are no longer being integrated by, or into, the "traditional" host community. Instead, they are being integrated by other immigrants and minorities into settings that do not contain dominant majorities. Research tells us that newcomers rely primarily on the family—and not the state—for information about jobs, residence and services. They also rely on ethnic and religious community organisations. Unless families and communities are successfully integrated, their capacity to undertake crucial integration tasks is seriously compromised and, with it, the capacity of the integration system as a whole.

  Canada, like the UK, cannot afford failure. Declining incomes and growing long-term poverty among immigrants and minorities has raised worries about second and subsequent generations; in particular, worries have mounted about the dangers of developing a metropolitan underclass comprised of visible minorities—who now make up roughly three-quarters of Canada's immigrant intake. Governments must act decisively to avert such an eventuality by improving immigrant economic prospects. This realization is producing changes—or pressure for change—in several areas of domestic policy. These may be of strategic interest to UK policy development.

  One of the key lessons to have emerged in Canada is that a policy of anchoring immigration levels to vague demographic objectives and ignoring the state of the labour market has been problematic. Time will tell how costly this "experiment" has been—a function of how long the economic "scarring" associated with entry during periods of weak economic performance persists and whether intergenerational effects occur. There is ample evidence to support pro-cyclical immigration levels management. Clearly, absorptive capacity matters! Putting excessive pressure on this capacity leads not only to poor labour market outcomes for new arrivals but to poorer outcomes for all entrants.

  From a labour market perspective, Canada stands to gain most from highly trained, selected immigrants whose skills complement those of the domestic workforce. Hence, careful management of the point system is essential. This said, non-selected migrants account for roughly four out of every five entrants and supply 25% more workers to the Canadian labour market than does the skilled worker program. In order to improve labour market outcomes, immigration policy management must address both flows. Three broad sets of policy changes are required: first, adjustments should be made to the point system and the way it is managed; second, admission structures should be altered; and, third, changes should be made to integration programs and delivery systems.

(I)  CHANGES TO THE POINT SYSTEM

  Under Canada's point system, all points are fungible meaning that points awarded for "non-performing" factors can offset (a lack of) points for factors that are critical to labour market success. In the current system, the factors pertaining to age and experience are both problematic. Based on current analysis, the age range for obtaining maximum points needs to be reduced substantially as does the allotment of points for experience, which tends to be heavily discounted by the labour market. By the same token, language skills, which are emerging as absolutely critical, do not seem to be adequately captured in the current system. Labour markets would be better served by language assessments that are more closely tied to job requirements and, more controversially, by abandoning the practice of awarding points for ability in the second official language. In terms of education, additional points should be awarded to applicants in highly skilled trades. There is a demonstrated, economy-wide need for such skills, however, the points system is biased against such occupations. In addition, consideration should be given to awarding points for targeted fields of study as opposed to (merely) level of educational attainment.

  More generally, economic migration needs to be managed with a view to minimizing backlogs. Aside from creating lags, which produce a mismatch between applicant skills and current employer needs, backlogs are a clear indication that applicant "quality" has been compromised.

(ii)  CHANGES IN ADMISSION STRUCTURES

  Difficulties linked to non-recognition of credentials and work experience can, to a certain extent, be circumvented by opening up new admission channels to migrants who are studying or working temporarily in the country. Recent shifts in this direction by Canada—involving both students and temporary workers—will have a salutary effect on labour market outcomes. The Australian experience on this front is positive and clear.

  A further measure that would accelerate labour market integration and counter various difficulties associated with the non-recognition of foreign work experience would be to enhance the participation of private employers, provinces and other institutions in the selection process—either by raising the points awarded for prearranged job offers or, more directly, by routing a larger proportion of the permanent migration stream through temporary employment channels. Research has shown that domestic work experience "validates" previous, overseas experience. In exchange for greater access to foreign workers, employers should be induced to invest more heavily in language training and in upgrading skills.

(iii)  CHANGES TO INTEGRATION MACHINERY

  Notwithstanding improvements that can be made in Canada's immigrant screening machinery, serious investments will be needed in integration if economic outcomes are to be improved. Several areas stand out, in particular language training, job placement, credential and skills recognition and anti-discrimination. There is mounting evidence that immigrants lack the more complex language and communication skills that are required to function effectively in today's labour market. Current initiatives aimed at tying enhanced language training more closely to labour market needs are steps in the right direction. Bridging programs have also demonstrated that they can play an important role in facilitating labour market integration. A number of successful designs are currently in play, among them paid internship programs lasting anywhere from four months to a year. Programs need to be "employer friendly" and occupation-specific. Finally, credential recognition and anti-discrimination measures must be reenergised and refocused. The latter need to concentrate on ensuring job access and promotions as opposed to equal pay.

  Achieving improved labour market integration—and, by extension—improved economic outcomes for both newcomers and the host population will require closer collaboration among different levels of government (including municipal government), employers and non-governmental organisations. The onus must be on institutions, and not on immigrants, to coordinate policy interventions. Among the capacity-building measures that are needed are support for local communities, including cultural communities, that play a critical role in economic and social integration and in forging expectations; public education and information programs are also needed to broaden local support, to create fertile ground for engagement and to build positive inter-group relations, a core requirement for successful economic integration.

9 September 2007



 
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