Select Committee on Economic Affairs Written Evidence


Letter from the City of London Corporation

  The City of London Corporation welcomes the opportunity to contribute to the Committee's inquiry into the economic impacts of immigration. London is experiencing an unprecedented period of sustained high levels of international migration, of very diverse kinds, with potentially major impacts on the growth and competitiveness of London. In the absence of any detailed analysis of the impact of immigration on London's economy the City Corporation commissioned the London School of Economics to undertake research specifically focused on the impact of immigration on London's economy. The Committee's inquiry, which coincides with the publication of this research, therefore comes at an appropriate time. A copy of the report is enclosed to assist in the Committee's deliberations but, for ease of reference, it may be worthwhile outlining some of the key findings of the research.

  London's leading role as global financial centre is widely recognised and the presence of international talent is one of the key factors underpinning the City's competitiveness. For many years the City has benefited from the presence of a multinational workforce. Evidence of this can be found in City street names such as Lombard Street which dates back to the reign of King Edward I when land was given to goldsmiths from the Lombardy region in Italy. Similarly, many of the City's notable institutions such as Schröders and Rothschilds originated from international enterprise in the 18th and 19th centuries.

  The City has remained open to talent from abroad through to the present day with up to a quarter of its employees estimated to come from outside the UK. The research recently published by the City Corporation reveals that in the period 1986-2006, London's "foreign born population" increased from 1.17 million to 2.23 million with much of that increase coming since 1998. Whereas in 1986 half of this population originated from just six countries, it now comprises 15 nationalities. Particular elements, such as asylum seekers and the recent influx of migrants from the EU Accession States, have contributed to this growth but are only minor parts of a strong trend driven by international forces combined with London's particular attractions.

  The research also found that generally, new migrants share characteristics of relative youth, above average qualifications, and positive ratings by employers. Migrants are present in most types of job in London. There are concentrations mainly from richer countries in the financial and business services. Many work in catering and hospitality whilst A8[19] in-migrants are particularly concentrated in construction. Those who come from richer countries tend to remain for shorter periods (particularly the most qualified), while those from less developed countries are far more likely to make London their long-term home and tend, at least initially, to take up lower status jobs than their qualifications would warrant. Over time this differentiation tends to disappear.

  The research discusses two distinct positive effects of migration—its "qualitative" impact on the London labour force and economy, through diversity, flexibility, international experience and skill sets; and its "quantitative" contribution through expanding labour supply and thus enabling employment growth and reducing upward wage pressure. An effect of the concentration of migrants in the worst paid segment of the labour market has been a significant downward pressure on wages at the bottom end of the market. This seems to have encouraged job growth in these occupations, but earnings among workers in this sector have suffered, falling behind growth in the cost of living. At the same time the gap between earnings levels for this group in London and those in the rest of the UK has been substantially eroded. Both employment rates and earnings among new migrants tend to be lower than for otherwise comparable Londoners. This suggests that their potential is not being fully used at present by London employers.

  In terms of the impact on the housing market, the research showed that new migrants form fewer households than British nationals, occupying less housing and live disproportionately in the private rented sector. Over time, as incomes rise and people become more settled, their impact on the housing market may become more apparent but, if the migrant population remains transient, then this longer term impact may be more limited. Nevertheless, additional demand from those moving to the UK has put pressure on house prices although in the private rented sector, however, rents have remained fairly stable. There is a perception that those moving to the UK receive beneficial treatment in terms of housing provision when compared with British nationals which can add to existing tensions. In reality, however, whilst there are some migrants who may be prioritised, in particular those with families or those in poor housing conditions, migrants are not usually eligible for social housing immediately on entry.

  Similarly, the majority of migrants use relatively fewer public services than indigenous households and, in general terms, are less of a burden on the public purse. There are, however, additional pressures from the more diverse needs of migrants, such as translation services, which have placed additional burdens on some areas in London since the capital receives a much larger share of the current wave of new arrivals than the rest of the country. Since finance to secure additional local government services is often not fully underwritten by central government, this has resulted in some authorities having to make statutory provision without an adequate resource base. London faces particular problems when revisions are made to estimates of migrant arrivals (and thus local populations), as these lead to unpredictable shifts in central grant support to local government, the NHS and other services. Unless this balance is redressed, the strain on local government finances can only increase, with negative consequences for the quality of the services they are expected to provide. Social cohesion within London has generally remained strong during the recent period of rapid in-migration. There is some risk that this could change if there were a long-term mismatch between available resources and additional spending needs.

  One caveat should, however, perhaps be noted. The researchers found that there are major limitations in the official statistics about migrants, notably on out-migration, whether by the UK-born or by temporary residents. Similarly, the researchers experienced difficulties in tracking migrants' subsequent moves within the UK. The basic facts are reasonably clear, but the picture is complicated, and current understanding remains only partial.

13 September 2007




19   The eight eastern and central European countries that acceded to the Union in May 2004. Back


 
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