Select Committee on Economic Affairs Written Evidence


Memorandum by the Migration Policy Institute

INTRODUCTION

  This written evidence is intended to provide a brief overview of points systems around the world, their major features, why they were created, and how they fit into the economic migration selection system of the UK. We conclude by suggesting some key principles policymakers must consider to ensure a points system will remain valuable to the UK.

  The annex, a chapter on economic migration taken from the forthcoming book by Will Somerville, Immigration under New Labour, published in September 2007 by the Policy Press, provides context and detail to this written evidence. The chapter charts the history of economic migration policy in the decade 1997-2007.

POINTS SYSTEMS: A GROWING TREND

  An increasing number of developed countries make it relatively easy for highly skilled foreigners, particularly those that their labour markets need, to be admitted as immigrants. With that goal in mind, Canada launched the first points assessment system in 1967. Australia launched its points system in 1989, followed by New Zealand in 1991 and the United Kingdom in 2001.

  Several more European countries are considering adopting such systems. For example, in the Czech Republic, the Active Selection of Qualified Workers Project, introduced in 2003, relies on the principles of a points system to stimulate permanent immigration of young qualified people from select countries, mostly from Eastern Europe and the Commonwealth of Independent States. Criteria for obtaining points include previous work experience in the Czech Republic, educational attainment, and language skills. As many as ten other countries are considering points systems, from South Africa to the Netherlands.

  On October 24 2007, the European Commission plans to issue a directive (proposed "legislation") on the highly skilled, along lines that are likely to include principles associated with points systems. Clearly, more and more countries are deciding that admitting immigrants, selected for the education and qualifications the receiving economies need, and can presumptively benefit from, is a good economic and labour market policy for both the short and the longer term.

WHAT ARE POINTS SYSTEMS?

  First and foremost, points systems are human capital accumulation mechanisms. As such they are not about filling immediate, specific job vacancies in the economy and have limited application for such a goal. In essence, they award points for certain individual characteristics that countries choose to value most at a specific point in time. All points systems include a minimum number of points that candidates must have to qualify for entry; typically called the "pass mark."

  Five criteria garner the most points across all points systems in use across the globe:

    —  Education.

    —  Occupation.

    —  Work experience.

    —  Language.

    —  Age.

  A second tier of criteria do not appear in every system and their valuation—measured in terms of assigned points—typically lags far behind that of the top five. These are:

    —  Previous or proposed earnings or salary (an important component of the UK system).

    —  Employer nomination/job offer (often in a "shortage" sector).

    —  Prior work experience or education in the country of proposed immigration.

    —  The presence of close relatives.

    —  Settlement stipulations and considerations (where one commits to locate).

    —  Investment with job creation responsibilities and retirement.

  When the UK points system, The Highly Skilled Migrant Programme (HSMP), was originally introduced, in December 2001, it awarded a small number of points for language, age and a greater number of points for education, experience and awards. A variety of changes over the years, most significantly in November 2006, has made the system more focused on educational qualifications, past earnings and age while language fluency has become a mandatory. In doing so, the system moved from rewarding potential to rewarding certificated achievement.

  As implied, points systems aim to attract the highly skilled. However, this is not pre-ordained. A points system can also be used to select workers who are not necessarily highly skilled. At present, policymakers are operating under the presumption that those with high skills will better benefit the economy.

WHY WERE POINTS SYSTEMS CREATED?

  This question is best answered by a brief examination of the genesis of point systems, particularly in the country that gave birth to them: Canada.

Canada's points system

  Canada reached the decision to introduce a points test partly to avoid the cycle of numerical feasts and famines in admissions that its economy had been creating and partly to distance itself from a selection system based on racial criteria. After a few false starts (during which the system focused primarily on addressing job shortages), its points system became a mechanism to advance the broadest possible economic interests of the country and get better "economic integration" outcomes for points-tested immigrants.

  These broad interests included a crucial social and demographic component. In many ways Canada's points system is predicated on selecting immigrants who will integrate into society.

The objectives of points systems

  However, not all points systems were introduced for the same reasons. Unlike Canada, Australia has been relentlessly focused on two objectives for points-tested immigrants: first, they should bring a fiscal benefit (hence the young, well-educated migrants favoured in selection who must also pass a stringent health test) and second, they should get a job as quickly as possible (hence the premium on English and incorporating job offers into the points system).

  New Zealand, as in so many of its policies, follows the Australian mode, but with one crucial difference. New Zealand policymakers spend much more time examining its emigration flows as it is deeply concerned with losing skilled workers. It therefore shares a focus on population flows with Canada, though the difference is New Zealand is concerned with maintaining its population, Canada with expanding its population.

  The following table gives a summary of the objectives behind the four major points systems around the world.


Country
Date of introduction
Objective

Canada
1967
1.  Demographics (nation building)

2.  Fill job shortages
Australia
1989
1.  Gaining employment rapidly

2.  Fiscal contribution
New Zealand
1991
1.  Balancing loss of skilled workers

2.  Contribution to the economy
United Kingdom
2001
Originally—attracting the next "Einsteins"

Currently—attracting youthful, qualified workers to contribute to the economy


Other deficiencies addressed by points systems

  Points systems also became popular among government planners as a means of addressing another concern. Higher education systems that were not producing enough professionals with the human capital characteristics their economies needed to grow and become more competitive in the emerging global marketplace. This concern hints at an ever-present debate in immigration policy: the balance between importing skills and "growing our own" in the training and education system. Elements in the HSMP, such as the introduction in 2006 of a new criterion that awards graduates from the 50 top business schools from around the world wishing to immigrate to the UK an automatic score of 75 points, equal to the pass mark, show that policymakers are keen to augment the UK system.

  In passing, it is worth mentioning potential uses of points systems. They include their potential to address the illegal population in the UK (they become legal if they meet the requirements) and to address the movement from temporary to permanent status (the pre-condition for citizenship). The former has been recently suggested by Senator Hagel ("The Immigrant Accountability Act of 2007") for the US and the latter would be easy to implement given the fact that tests on language and knowledge of `Life in the UK' have recently been introduced for those immigrants wishing to gain permanent residence in the UK. Thus, immigrants who are already present but do not have the authorization to live or work in the country could, by meeting the criteria of a points system, earn legal status. Some of those who come as part of a temporary worker program could also gain permanent residence through a points system.

The politics of points systems

  In addition to meeting policy goals, points systems have helped governments meet certain political aims. For instance:

    —  They can inspire public confidence by appearing to use universal, data-driven, and objective selection criteria to advance clearly defined and easily understandable economic and labour market objectives. Compared to most other selection systems, points systems appear to avoid the "gamesmanship" between employers and bureaucrats that afflict all case-by-case selection systems.

    —  The appearance of impartiality discourages individual-level challenges while the semblance of technical complexity and the formula's focus on addressing longer term economic growth and competitiveness priorities dampens concerns about adverse effects on domestic workers.

    —  They can reassure the public that immigrants were chosen through criteria that place the country's broadest economic interests front and centre—and thus promote its position in an increasingly competitive world.

    —  Most significantly, a points system conveys to the public that the government is being proactive in anticipating needs and manipulating entries in ways that put national economic interests first; that is, that the government, rather than employers or immigrant families, is in charge of what is arguably the most important function of the immigration system.

  Selection systems that rely on points assessments, however, are not focused only on communicating with their own citizens. They also serve as announcements to would-be immigrants anywhere about the skills and preparations that could win them a work visa to an increasing number of the most advanced economies in the world. Developing countries around the world have altered their systems to such opportunities.

  Adaptability, flexibility, and simplicity are hallmarks of the most successful points selection systems. Thus, points systems can serve as incentives for creating the "virtuous circles" of using the need to constantly adjust both the attributes the system chooses to reward and the point values it assigns to each to engage in systematic, targeted, and ongoing research and evaluation studies on immigration.

THE EVER-CHANGING POLICIES OF POINTS

  The countries that developed the points-system concept (starting with Canada) have continued to rely on points systems but are showing considerable flexibility by adopting several ideas from elsewhere, particularly the United States.

  Specifically, after a period during which job offers had been assigned fewer and fewer points, Canadian and Australian employers are increasingly allowed to bring the workers they need from abroad, albeit initially as temporary workers. Hybrid selection systems thus appear likely to dominate the immigrant selection field in the future. Such hybrid systems would facilitate selecting immigrants in ways that are most consistent with a country's traditions and with the way in which its economy and labour market operate.

  Points systems will nonetheless continue to be relied upon by increasing numbers of states, including the UK, particularly during the early phases of opening themselves to international migration. The reasons are many. Not the least among them is that these countries need a way to get out of the "no immigration" traps they set for themselves over the last several decades. As the UK matures as an immigrant-receiving society, however, firms may need to be empowered to gain better access to the skills and talents they need.

WHERE DO POINTS FIT IN THE UK CONTEXT?

  As noted above, the UK already has a points system (the HSMP). The figures (from Professor John Salt, University College London) show that those entering under the HSMP have risen steadily, from 1,197 in 2002 (the first acceptances date from 1 February of that year), to 4,891 in 2003, 7,358 in 2004 and finally 17,631 in 2005. The Joint Committee on Human Rights recently noted that a cumulative total since its inception was 49,000. This expansion is likely to continue, but remains small in the context of an inflow that totalled 565,000 in 2005 (of which over 300,000 were neither British citizens nor from the European Union).

  The government's plan for a Points-Based System is actually a misnomer. The Points-Based System is a hybrid, five-tired economic migration selection system. Only tier 1 could be described—by any reasonable analyst—as a points system. The other four tiers are in fact more "traditional": tier 2 is based on the former work permit system, tier 3 on low-skill temporary worker schemes. Tier 3 is likely to be restricted while the EU provides workers prepared to take up low-skill jobs in the UK. Tier 4 refers to students and tier 5 might best be described as miscellaneous, including various training and exchange programmes.

  As a result, the UK is likely to only points-test approximately 1 in 20 of its immigrants. Of course, this is not as low as it sounds. Canada, the points pioneer, points-tests fewer than a quarter of its immigrants in an average year, which shows that points-tested immigrants to Canada do not replace family immigrants and refugees. Furthermore, in our view, this is not a bad thing: points systems should be one of a number of tools in the policy toolbox.

CONCLUSION: KEY PRINCIPLES OF POINTS SYSTEMS AS APPLIED TO THE UK

  Generally speaking, points systems are effective in creating pools of skilled workers from which employers can hire some of the workers they need. It is important for policymakers to understand, however, that points systems are not mechanisms for meeting the specific needs of specific employers within the narrow time frames that most firms operate. But for any selection system to be effective, the needs of employers must be placed at the centre.

  The following five principles or recommendations for success are based on our assessments of successful changes to points systems around the world:

  1.  Points systems must be part of a hybrid system, where other selection systems work in tandem. Indeed, they should not be the centrepiece of any selection system (notwithstanding their use for PR). This appears to have been understood by UK policymakers, despite the misleading title of the reforms. However, the interdependence of categories and cross-fertilization has not been significant.

  2.  Points systems must be governed in a flexible, easily adaptable way as circumstances in the global economy change rapidly. Light-touch regulation is therefore the most effective. This is an inherent strength of the UK system but warning bells, such as the new sponsorship requirements, indicate that this strength may have become diluted in recent reforms.

  3.  Points systems, if they include the criterion of a job offer, can partially resolve shortages in certain sectors. If they do not have such a criterion, as currently in the UK case (Tier 1), they will not be particularly useful in filling gaps in the labour market. As a result, the advice of the Migration Advisory Committee will be of limited value to deciding on tier 1 (indeed, their work will be focused on tier 2 of the system). Essentially, our view is that filling job vacancies is best left to market forces.

  Nevertheless, we do see two crucial areas where independent advice would be of value. First, ongoing research and value has been crucial to the changes in all other systems. It is essential this role is taken on effectively for the UK. Second, analysts, rather than predicting shortages in particular occupations, might better spend their time examining how best to build up particular strategic sectors, useful to the UK, in the medium to long term (perhaps environmental energy science or creative industries). This could be easily incorporated into a points system in tier 1.

  4.  Points systems, particularly if they have the objective of moving people into the labour market quickly in shortage sectors, must take account of the needs of local labour markets. In the UK this will require a new approach to governance that at least includes local and regional leaders in consultative mechanisms. At present, this does not exist.

  5.  For an economic selection system to be effective in the long-term, two essential conditions will have to be met:

    —  First, the case must be made to, and understood by, the public. New mechanisms such as the Migration Impact Forum (MIF) and the independent Migration Advisory Committee (MAC) may go some way towards achieving this, particularly if they are not simply used as political cover, as they will draw in interlocutors from across government and ensure that an independent evidence base is amassed that has greater credibility than current UK government statistics. However, its long-term viability will require much more. Instead of borrowing the Canadian points model, it may be wiser for the UK to borrow their system of consulting the public, which requires politicians to explain the rationale for their immigration system to public meetings across Canada.

    —  Second, the needs and aspirations of immigrants (what `drives' them to the UK) must be understood. As the race for talent intensifies, the UK will lose out unless it recognises what makes it attractive, and, more to the point, what does not.

28 September 2007



 
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