CHAPTER 4: ACP/LDC countries and the
eu sugar regime
Impact of the 2006 reform
49. The 2006 reform of the EU Sugar Regime included
a 1.2 billion package of transitional assistance through
Accompanying Measures to affected ACP[68]
and LDC[69] producers
to help mitigate the effects of the reduction in the EU sugar
priceencouraging increased competitiveness where applicable
and assisting other producers to diversify and leave sugar production.
This transitional assistance has been delivered through individual,
country-specific multi-annual Action Plans.
50. To comply with a 2005 WTO ruling, the EU
had to maintain preferential access to its sugar market for these
countries under reform of the regime; all ACP and LDC producers
therefore have tariff-free access to the EU market, subject to
safeguard measures on imports from those ACP countries that are
not LDCs.
51. Discerning the impact of the reform on ACP
and LDC countries has been challenging, with varied responses
from the ACP countries to restructuring efforts.[70]
However, the overwhelming impression we received from our witnesses
was that much of the 1.2 billion set aside for transitional
assistance had not reached where it needed to be, with many countries
experiencing delays in receiving such funds.[71]
Red tape and bureaucracy emanating from the Commission were highlighted
as impediments to the smooth flow of funding to these countries,
such as Belize which had only received 16 per cent of the money
allocated to it for 2007/10.[72]
In addition, it was highlighted that "the administrative
procedures associated with those [funds] actually cost more than
the amount of money received."[73]
52. We were concerned to hear that EU delegations
might be responsible for the variable disbursement of funding,
owing to the pressured timetable and that "it is usually
the case that one person ... who is dealing with lots of other
things, may have no knowledge of the sugar industry, and suddenly
they have to deal with it".[74]
We strongly urge the Commission to ensure that delegations
in the ACP/LDC countries are sufficiently resourced and to monitor
closely the progress of disbursement of funding.
53. The capacity of the governments in recipient
countries was also highlighted as an issue in funding getting
through and it was suggested that a more realistic view about
the time required to get things done in target countries was needed.[75]
Barry Newton, EPA/EBA London Sugar Group, also suggested that
many of the smaller countries did not have the resources necessary
to meet all of the conditions laid down for contracts.[76]
Whatever the reason, in many countries it seems that results have
not been tangible.[77]
54. Another issue highlighted in relation to
transitional assistance was that funds were not being used to
target the issues that recipient countries wanted to address.[78]
Gerald Mason, Vice-President, EU Affairs and Strategy at Tate
& Lyle Sugars explained that the views of local EU officials
often held considerable sway, with the power to spend money effectively
delegated to them and their views as to the right solution
for the country being central to the process.[79]
This apparent lack of focus on the country's view of important
issues was borne out in the comments made to us by the Minister,
who did not believe the 2006 reforms had paid sufficient attention
to the needs of developing countries.[80]
We recommend that Action Plans for the affected ACP/LDC countries
should be revisited as soon as possible. Such Action Plans need
to be started in the period before 2015 but sufficient time should
be allocated to design appropriate plans and build the capacity
in recipient countries to implement them. We further recommend
that Action Plans should be targeted at issues identified by the
countries themselves, such as increasing their competitiveness
and efficiency or, where appropriate, moving away from sugar production
altogether.
55. We were, though, encouraged to hear the experience
of Mauritius, where considerable restructuring and diversification
has taken place, most notably through a deal with Sûdzucker
to export up to 400,000 tonnes of refined sugar annually to the
EU, thus enabling Mauritius to add value within its own sugar
sector and increasing its competitiveness.[81]
Nevertheless, we are in agreement with our witnesses, including
Tate & Lyle Sugars and the Minister, that while there are
lessons to be learnt from the decision by Mauritius to focus on
the high added value sugar market, this model may not work for
all ACP/LDC countries for reasons of scale and geography.[82]
56. Our witnesses highlighted another more positive
result of reform, whereby the reduction of EU production of sugar
beet had enabled the ACP/LDC countries to negotiate higher prices
for their sugar due to greater competition in raw sugar imports.[83]
As Anna Locke, Overseas Development Institute stated, "I
think that the original EU sugar reform has worked to the benefit
of the ACP countries", though she recognised that "that
may have been unintentional".[84]
It should also be noted that the positive impact of increased
prices may have been limited, as ACP/LDC countries have not been
able to supply as much sugar to the EU as needed or expected (exporting
around 1.8-1.9 million tonnes in 2012[85]
against the 2006 estimation of up to 3.5 million tonnes each year);
something which Barry Newton, EPA/EBA London Sugar Group, attributed
to delays in the finance getting through.[86]
Situation post-2015
57. We heard that, under further reform, ACP
and LDC countries would face a more volatile market, losing the
current protection provided by the EU sugar regime which shields
them from variable world prices. It was therefore likely that
there would be greater uncertainty for these countries in future,
with the possibility of particularly detrimental effects if the
world price sat at a low level.[87]
58. However, views amongst our witnesses were
split. Anna Locke, ODI was concerned about the price volatility
under further reform and the resultant uncertainty for developing
countries[88] and Barry
Newton, EPA/EBA London Sugar group suggested that the time to
end production quotas had not arrived, citing the staff working
paper in 2006 which stated that production quotas would be phased
out once imports and production levels had stabilised, which he
did not think was currently the case.[89]
On the other hand, Sheila Page, ODI was supportive of an end to
production quotas and expressed the view that "if you have
too much time to adjust you do not do so".[90]
While she recognised that exposure to volatility would result
for all ACP/LDC countries under further reform, she thought that
"most of them will survive ... either by changing their sugar,
their markets or what they are producing".[91](See
Chapter 3 for further discussion of quotas).
59. While increased exposure to volatility was
widely recognised as the likely result of further reform, there
were mixed views amongst our witnesses about the likely direction
of the world price for sugar over the coming years. John Adams,
Senior Research Economist for LMC International suggested that
there would be higher prices over the next decade and that any
low levels would be unlikely to last;[92]
the EPA/EBA London Sugar Group was less optimistic, predicting
that prices would fall, whilst recognising that "anybody
who forecasts the world sugar market price endangers their reputation";[93]
while the Minister did not see any likelihood of a significant
decrease in the world price.[94]
We consider that the future price of sugar on the world market
is uncertain and that increased exposure to volatility for ACP
and LDC countries is likely.
60. The uncertainty of future prices makes an
accurate prediction of the likely impact of reform on ACP and
LDC countries difficult. This is compounded by the fact that the
situation varies greatly from country to country. As highlighted
by the ODI and the Minister, some countries have no chance of
becoming competitive in sugar, some will require considerable
work and investment to reach a competitive standard and others
are likely to be able to respond to a variable world price.[95]
The Commission will need to work closely with the ACP and LDC
countries to determine what mitigation measures are needed beyond
2015. We recommend that such work should be part of decisions
on the pace and detail of further reform and that this should
involve extensive consultation with representatives of the countries
concerned.
61. Support for the ACP and LDC countries beyond
2015 is particularly important in light of the fact that in these
countries, the sugar industry is often woven into the fabric of
society, acting as the main source of employment in a particular
area.[96] We
therefore recommend that it will be necessary for the Commission
not just to consider matters on a country-by-country basis, but
to look at the localised impact of changes and support.
62. We recognise that some countries will need
to move out of sugar production altogether and were struck by
the suggestion of providing retraining for those workers who are
affected by changes to the EU sugar regime.[97]
For example, Anna Locke, ODI pointed to the experience of Brazil,
which had mechanised its sugar cane harvesting and was retraining
the sugar cane cutters to service and maintain the machines. She
suggested that this was "an interesting model to look at."[98]
We recognise that it will be necessary for some countries to
move away from sugar production altogether and that others will
need support to improve their competitiveness and efficiency.
We therefore recommend that in determining what mitigation measures
are needed beyond 2015, the Commission should consider support
for retraining, drawing inspiration from existing best practice
where relevant.
63. Another area of concern, highlighted by the
Minister, was the possible impact on ACP and LDC countries in
relation to the problems being faced by Tate & Lyle Sugars,
the UK's only significant cane refiner, in importing sufficient
raw sugar to maintain its factory.[99]
Inevitably, if this factory had to close, the market for cane
sugar in the UK would alter dramatically, with direct consequences
for ACP and LDC producers. This was borne out in the evidence
we heard from Barry Newton, EPA/EBA London Sugar Group, who underlined
that, though there was not a problem at the moment, if any of
the larger factories were to go out of production "it does
introduce a problem for a number of us, in that we may be forced
to supply to a refining capacity that is well away from the port".[100]
64. Overall, we recognise that developments in
EU sugar policy have implications for the future of sugar
production in many ACP/LDC countries. We were therefore struck
by the Minister's condemnation of the plans for further reform
for almost ignoring the needs of developing countries and encouraged
by his view that the Government have an obligation to find ways
to support them.[101]
Ultimately, support for developing countries is a matter for
development policy rather than agricultural policy. We agree with
the Minister that plans for further reform of the EU Sugar Regime
have not sufficiently accounted for the likely impact on ACP and
LDC countries and appear to have been taken in isolation from
discussions on future development policy. We recommend that the
Government vigorously pursue this issue during negotiations on
the Commission's agriculture and development proposals for the
period 2014-2020.
Free Trade Agreements
65. A number of our witnesses raised concerns
about the potential impact on the EU market of various Free Trade
Agreements (FTAs) signed by the Commission with third countries,
in addition to the specific arrangements with the ACP and LDC
countries.
66. There are currently about 300,000 tonnes'
worth of commitments to the Central American and Andean countries
to import sugar into the EU market.[102]
As noted by Chris Carter, Corporate Affairs Director, British
Sugar plc, this will affect the supply balance, with implications
for ACP and LDC suppliers.[103]
Barry Newton, EPA/EBA London Sugar Group, suggested that the result
would be increased instability in the market, meaning that ACP
and LDC countries would not be "bankable" to the European
bankers, whose funding is required for further investments in
efficiency to be realised.[104]
67. We heard from Sheila Page at the ODI that
the FTAs which have been signed or are in negotiation with some
Latin American countries would make the system "even less
workable".[105]
However, Ian Bacon, President, Tate & Lyle Sugars suggested
that, in the light of a probable 1.5 million tonne deficit in
cane sugar, and with the maximum being brought in under FTAs at
around 250,000 tonnes, it was unlikely to make a big difference
to the overall supply and the overall impact on the market in
the short term.[106]
68. We are not convinced that importing an
additional 300,000 tonnes of cane sugar will have significant
consequences for ACP and LDC producers. However, more Free Trade
Agreements are likely to be signed. In preparation for the negotiation
of such Agreements, we recommend that the Commission should produce
an Impact Assessment of the likely effect on these countries and
the EU sugar market before making any further commitments relating
to the trade of sugar.
68 The African, Caribbean and Pacific Group of States
is an organisation of 48 Sub-Saharan African states, 16 Caribbean
states and 15 Pacific states. It was established in 1975 with
the aim of coordinating cooperation between its members and the
EU. Back
69
Least Developed Countries are 48 countries suffering from the
most severe structural impediments to sustainable development
on the basis of GNI per capita, human assets, economic vulnerability
and population size. Back
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