Select Committee on Public Accounts Thirtieth Report


1  COST AND EFFICIENCY

1. Network Rail took over responsibility for the West Coast Main Line modernisation from Railtrack, and under Network Rail's direction the project has met revised key infrastructure delivery and performance milestones. The long-distance passenger franchise operator, Virgin West Coast, has been able to take more passengers, obtain faster train speeds and hence reduce journey times. The new fleet of Pendolino tilting trains, however, has yet to achieve the journey speeds envisaged by Railtrack of 140 miles per hour, and there have been substantial abortive costs to the programme.[4]

2. Railtrack's programme for the West Coast upgrade was overly ambitious and over-optimistic. No formal delivery strategy was in place with too much reliance on innovative but complex new signalling technology. The lack of clear project management and direction meant that the project ran into difficulty quickly, costs were out of control with the likely final cost increasing rapidly until it reached a peak in 2002, when it was estimated at £14.5 billion (Figure 1). The Department suggested that if a more accurate estimate of the final costs had been available at the outset, approval would have been unlikely for the project as originally scoped.[5]

Figure 1: By May 2002, the final cost of the modernisation of the West Coast Main Line was estimated at £14.5 billion



Notes: Under Railtrack, the final cost was estimated in May 2002 as being £14.5 billion. Network Rail got costs back under control and the estimated cost is now £8.6 billion.
[These expected costs relate to different scopes/expected outputs.]
Source: National Audit Office analysis of cost estimates across the course of the programme

3. The benchmarking of rail renewal and enhancement costs within Network Rail across projects and regions was underdeveloped, in part due to the mix and difficulty of the work. The benchmarking of programme management costs both within and outside Network Rail remains underdeveloped, with no agreed definitions of project management costs. With the development of its Cost Analysis Framework in recent years, Network Rail has begun to capture and analyse systematically unit costs for key elements of renewals expenditure. This information is improving the quality and usefulness of unit cost data and has increased Network Rail's ability to compare West Coast Main Line unit costs with those for the wider network.[6]

4. Network Rail has tightened its control of costs in recent years, but still needs to maintain a proactive and robust stance in negotiations and in its ongoing management of contractors and suppliers. In 2005-06, West Coast Main Line track renewal unit costs were some 16% higher than Network Rail's target and 14% higher than the network average (Figure 2). This higher cost was due in part to a high design specification, the narrow spacing between tracks, the need to isolate the overhead line system, and limited opportunities for working due to the heavy volume of traffic on the line. Further track renewal efficiencies might still be possible. For example, Network Rail has demonstrated that it can reduce the cost of renewing signals, having secured a reduction from £400 for the average unit cost of such work across the network several years ago to between £190 to £250 today, depending on the nature of the renewals scheme.[7]

Figure 2 - West Coast Main Line track renewal costs are still higher than the network average



Source: National Audit Office analysis of Network Rail data

5. To secure value for money, best practice suggests that contractors should be appointed after a competitive exercise and that prices obtained are tested by regular market competition thereafter. In early 2002, Railtrack-in-Administration (Railtrack) appointed Bechtel as project managers to drive forward programme delivery. Railtrack did not hold a competition to test whether the £40 million a year paid to Bechtel was a competitive price. Instead Railtrack relied on market testing carried out some years previously and on Bechtel's reputation and performance on other contracts. There was concern that testing the market would have delayed the start of work by some two and a half months.[8]

6. Relatively few firms provide specialist services, such as signalling. For some projects on the West Coast upgrade only one signalling contractor had tendered and tenders were substantially higher than Network Rail's expectations. It is for the Office of Rail Regulation to review the extent of competition in the market. There might be scope for the Office of Rail Regulation to review whether the market could be opened up to other suppliers, so as to increase competition and drive down prices.[9]

7. Network Rail needs to improve its forecasting of signalling equipment lifespan, and to become more adept at managing the risk that systems may need replacing sooner than anticipated if critical key components cannot be obtained. Unavailability of spare parts installed in the 1970s had already necessitated replacement of some systems, and Network Rail considered that modern signalling systems might be largely outdated in just 20 years. Network Rail accepted the importance of arranging access to the spares and compatible components needed to extend the operating life of its systems.[10]

8. Network Rail used 92% of its booked track access (known as possessions) time in 2005-06. Track possessions were needed to enable staff to access tracks for repair work for example. By deploying different contractors and carrying out different activities on the same stretch of track at the same time, Network Rail's contractors had achieved up to six separate work streams working at the same time in some locations, compared with one or two work streams in each possession three or four years ago. Network Rail acknowledged that making best use of track access was one of the biggest challenges facing the railway, not only on the West Coast Main Line but across the network, over the next few years. Network Rail anticipated, however, that it would take several more years for contractors, the train operators, and others to achieve maximum efficiency from track access.[11]

9. Network Rail operated two track access compensation systems for train operating companies. Each scheme had different rates and requirements. If the track was required for renewals, compensation was payable under the passenger train operators' track agreement, in accordance with an agreed formula. Access required for improvements or enhancements was compensated for under the Network Code and was less prescriptive, being based on a train operator's claim for reasonable costs and losses, taking account of likely future revenue gains and losses. The Office of Rail Regulation had looked at these arrangements, and had proposed that the industry considered a single compensation regime starting in 2009. A revised system should make rates paid more predictable and transparent, and more closely aligned to a train operating company's true costs and losses.[12]


4   Q 13 Back

5   Qq 48-49 Back

6   Qq 72, 79 Back

7   Q 104 Back

8   Qq 130-137 Back

9   Q 112 Back

10   Q 111 Back

11   Q 11 Back

12   Q 44 Back


 
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Prepared 14 June 2007