Select Committee on European Union Written Evidence


Memorandum by Amsterdam & Peroff, Barristers/Solicitors, on behalf of Mr Mikhail Borisovich Khodorkovsky

  1.  As International Legal Counsel to Mikhail Borisovich Khodorkovsky I respectfully submit the following in response to three of the questions posed in the Call for Evidence.

How successful have the EU's wide range of cooperation and assistance programmes been in attaining their stated objectives, especially in the fields of foreign and security policy; and rule of law, democracy and human rights? What potential is there for the EU's new cooperation and financial assistance instruments to be effective in Russia?

  2.  Despite a significant investment on the part of the EU in cooperation and assistance programmes, since the last Partnership and Cooperation Agreement there has been a decided change for the worse in Russia, particularly at the top levels of political power. Militarily, Russia is more menacing now than at any time since the Cold War and Europe is particularly vulnerable to Russian state-controlled enterprises with regards to its energy industry. Democratic reform appears to have ceased and in fact reversed with NGOs under threat and the restrictions on the press at their highest since the Soviet era, in many cases leading to self-censorship. It is, however, on the rule of law on which I would like to focus.

  3.  The power to prosecute has become the instrument of choice in the Kremlin's means of achieving its desired political and commercial outcomes. The Kremlin wields great influence through the constant threat of heavy-handed intimidation and unfair incarceration and expropriation. Multiple grievous violations of the Constitution of the Russian Federation have accumulated in recent years, making a mockery of its primacy in the Russian legal system. Numerous other Russian laws have also been disobeyed by the authorities, as have obligations under international treaties and conventions.

  4.  Russian courts are subject to political interference. Judges exposed to such extrajudicial pressures are often forced to find means to decide a case in favour of the party applying the pressure. As a result, Russian courts are widely believed, inside and outside of Russia, to be far from impartial, particularly in cases where major political or financial interests are involved.

  5.  The Kremlin exploits legal mechanisms not only domestically, but is increasingly seeking to do so internationally as well. Moscow is eager to settle scores with certain high-profile exiled business leaders who have vexed the Kremlin for not bending to its wishes, and who continue to frustrate the Kremlin through their attempts to influence events in Russia from abroad. Among the prime targets are former Yukos employees.

  6.  Their record shows that Russia's prosecutors do not deserve our automatic trust. International cooperation with Russia's prosecutors depends upon Russia having an independent, properly functioning prosecutorial system. To comply with requests from Russia's prosecutorial system demands that it meet minimum levels of modernity, justice and legal rigour. All are sorely lacking. In light of the heavily politicised prosecutorial system, such requests must be carefully scrutinised on a case-by-case basis.

  7.  In a landmark decision issued in August 2007, the Swiss Federal Tribunal ordered Swiss authorities not to cooperate with their Russian counterparts investigating ex-Yukos officials. The Tribunal ruled that the Russian proceedings were politically-motivated and in violation of law, and that Swiss cooperation would be tantamount to complicity in the illegalities. This was a major rebuke to the Kremlin, which had sought to portray the Yukos prosecutions as legitimate.

  8.  A series of events in 2006 and 2007 have further blackened the Kremlin's reputation in matters of the rule of law. Through the betrayals of foreign energy majors with interests in Russia, notably BP and Shell, and the bullying of trade partners, whether Ukraine, Belarus, Georgia, Poland or the European Union, the Kremlin has deeply undermined its reliability as a business partner. Additional worrisome trends are evidenced by the xenophobic and unconstitutional roundup and deportation of Georgian citizens, and the forced closure of Georgian-owned businesses using various regulatory pretexts. Meanwhile, the murders of Andrei Kozlov, Anna Politkovskaya and Alexander Litvinenko are all additional bellwethers of Russia's atmosphere of growing lawlessness.

  9.  In its September 2006 report on global governance, the World Bank ranked Russia 151st among 208 countries in terms of political stability, democratic voice and accountability, effectiveness of government, quality of regulatory bodies, rule of law and control over corruption. Russia was therefore overall in the league of Swaziland and Zambia, and just ahead of East Timor. Russia's political stability—defined as the perceived likelihood that the government will be destabilised or overthrown by unconstitutional or violent means—was comparable to that of the Philippines and Kyrgyzstan. On the credibility of the state's commitment to policy formation and implementation, Russia was in a group with Pakistan and Tanzania. For regulatory quality, Russia was ranked alongside Madagascar and Senegal. Rule of law in Russia was as effective as in Ecuador, Indonesia and Bangladesh.

  10.  Worldwide esteem for the Russian leadership is at an all-time low. There is a heavy onus on the Kremlin to earn back its legitimacy and to promote the true rule of law in Russia and respect for international obligations. Otherwise today's Russian leaders may well be responsible for a tailspin into anarchy.

  11.  Russia under President Putin today is less stable than generally perceived. The consolidation of power in the executive has drastically weakened all other branches of state power. In the absence of a real separation of powers, should discord or crisis befall the executive, the broader political system may be unable to withstand the attendant shocks without collapsing altogether.

  12.  In an open letter to Kommersant on October 8, 2007, Viktor Cherkesov, a senior public official, stated that intensifying rivalries within the Kremlin inner circle may soon explode into open conflict that could threaten Russia's stability. Former Kremlin adviser Andrei Illarionov compared the infighting to battles between feudal lords, warning that instability and "palace coups" could result. One observer commenting on Kremlin insiders, cited in the International Herald Tribune, stated: "They stood together as long as they were robbing others of their assets . . . But after dividing the spoils, they realized that they can only expand their wealth by robbing one another" (Arrests hint at struggle for power after Putin, 10 October 2007).

  13.  The ruling clique's desire to maintain power is based in strong measure on insecurities resulting from its multi-year attack on the rule of law. Members of this clique will avoid a real democratic transition at all costs in order to protect their actions from review and redress.

  14.  According to the Indem Foundation, businesses paid officials in Russia a total $33.5 billion in bribes in 2001—growing almost tenfold to a staggering $316 billion in 2005. In 2006 Russia's own procuracy, slightly more optimistic, estimated graft at $240 billion per year—almost equal to the state's entire revenues. This endemic corruption is not only a hugely burdensome tax within the Russian economy—it has also destroyed accountability across a public administration taking its cues from a Kremlin that flaunts the rule of law at will.

  15.  Without advocacy for the rule of law, there will not be progress in Russia. Due to the suppression of truly effective political pluralism in Russia, such advocacy will not arise internally. Therefore, without external pressure, an autocratic clan-based system will not generate of its own volition any positive developments with respect to human rights or the rule of law. Therein lays the challenge and the responsibility of the EU today. The window of opportunity to influence developments within Russia is rapidly closing, and the EU should not fail to rise to make every effort to do so.

How can the EU contribute to managing relations between individual EU Member States and Russia? Have the Member States shown solidarity when under pressure from Russia? Is there a need for a greater unity and coherence of approach among the Member States towards Russia?

  16.  We have learned that in addition to being a commodity essential for our continued economic development and well-being, energy can be wielded against us as a political or foreign policy tool. The EU can ensure that Member States work together to address the issue of energy security. National self-interest is the basis upon which Russia has been able to play EU Member States off against one another, ultimately undermining the EU as a whole. Yet this has not been the case with countries such as Poland, Estonia and Lithuania, which have been subjected to pressures from Russia and asked for solidarity from across the EU. At the last EU-Russia summit in Samara, the EU, through Chancellor Angela Merkel and President José Manuel Barroso, stated:

  17.  "We had an occasion to say to our Russian partners that a difficulty for a Member State is a difficulty for all of us at the European Union. We are a Union based on principles of solidarity. We are now 27 Member-States. So, a Polish problem is a European problem. A Lithuanian, an Estonian problem is a European problem as well."

  18.  In this context, the EU's growing dependence on external energy supplies, largely from undemocratic and unstable countries, and particularly dependence on Russia, is worrying.

  19.  A recent own-initiative report adopted in the European Parliament and drafted by Jacek Saryusz-Wolski, Chairman of the Foreign Affairs committee, stated: "The EU's 27 Member States need to replace their current preference for energy unilateralism with a new common policy of energy solidarity."

  20.  If the EU acts with one voice in relation to its energy concerns, it will be able to secure energy supplies under the best conditions for the future. However the EU will have to muster the requisite political will to act in concert.

  21.  The EU is Russia's largest trading partner and has the potential to exert a great deal of influence, through the framework of a Partnership and Cooperation Agreement, over the country for the benefit of its people. No one stands to benefit more from an effective market economy and a culture of respect for human rights and the rule of law than the Russian people themselves. In order to reverse the disturbing trends the EU must use every opportunity to encourage Russia to change course on human rights and the rule of law.

What is the nature of the Russia-EU dialogue with regards to energy questions? To what extent is Russia an indispensable partner, rival or obstacle for the EU in its efforts to attain the objectives of its recently adopted external energy policy?

  22.  The dynamics of the energy industry have strengthened Russia's hand in relation to the EU over recent years. Europe is becoming increasingly dependent on Russian energy supplies and the European response has been discordant and divided.

  23.  Since mid-2006 Russia has surpassed Saudi Arabia as the largest exporter of oil in the world. As stated by Daniel Twining, major economies that are "increasingly dependent on Russian gas and oil exports... are rendering themselves vulnerable to the ambitions of an autocratic, imperial state that has not refrained from using energy as a geopolitical weapon and has been ruthless in its treatment of both internal political opponents and neighbouring states" (Putin's Power Politics, The Weekly Standard, 16 January 2006). Indeed, "fuel diplomacy" has become the primary lever of Russian influence on the geopolitical stage.

  24.  This influence can be readily seen in Gazprom's appointment of former German chancellor Gerhard Schroeder as chair of the supervisory board of the $4.7 billion Nord Stream pipeline. Unsurprisingly, it was Mr Schroeder who, for seven years, consistently ignored the gradual rollback of political rights in Russia, and derailed attempts to bring unified Western pressure to bear on Moscow to modify its conduct. Rather, Mr Schroeder focused only on deepening Germany's commercial and political ties with Russia. Mr Schroeder's complete absence of criticism of the regressions of the Russian regime only buttressed the intransigence of the Kremlin in its deflection of foreign concerns and criticisms.

  25.  Although less successfully so than with Germany under Mr Schroeder, other Western governments are also compelled to embrace Russia for its newfound influence in world energy markets. A "business-as-usual" policy of some governments has helped to legitimise the kleptocrats who perpetrated the Yukos expropriation, which The Economist has characterised as "larceny" (Russian oil—Yuk, 28 March 2007).

  26.  It is the non-market-oriented state corporatism of today's Kremlin that necessitated the incarceration of Mr Khodorkovsky and the expropriation of Yukos. By jailing Mr Khodorkovsky and expropriating Yukos, the Kremlin cleared the energy sector of any competitors. No one will now build competing pipelines; no one will advocate the break-up of Gazprom; no one will promote the corporate governance and transparency that are anathemas to the state-owned enterprises. The costs of these Kremlin actions are becoming increasingly evident, from mismanagement of state resources and declines in the growth of energy production, to the risks of reliance on an energy supplier whose political stability depends upon one corrupt clan maintaining its grip on power.

  27.  Meanwhile, the Kremlin's recklessness was displayed with the cut-off of gas to Ukraine in January 2006 and the cut-off of oil to Belarus in January 2007. Both incidents signalled the Kremlin's readiness to engage in energy brinksmanship for not only commercial but also political reasons.

  28.  As a further example of the Kremlin's unreliability, consider the July 2006 announcement that, despite longstanding engagements to the contrary, Gazprom had decided to shut out all foreign energy majors that had previously been short-listed as potential partners in the multi-billion-dollar development of the Shtokman gas field. Gazprom's move, nonsensical from a business standpoint, was clear proof of the Kremlin's readiness to politicise energy. The Shtokman developments demonstrated the unacceptably high risk of assuming that, in dealing with the Russian state, business sense will prevail over political whim and design.

  29.  Paradoxically, the law, which has been so blatantly disrespected by the Russian procuracy both in procedure and in substance, continues to serve as a pretext where convenient for intimidation or control by the state. The instrumentalisation of law so openly on display in the expropriation of Yukos has now been replicated elsewhere, such as the bullying of BP, Shell and PriceWaterhouseCoopers, with seemingly less and less concern for any semblance of credibility. Extortion has been entrenched as a method of acquisition by the state. An increasingly hubristic Kremlin has calculated that it has space for manoeuvre in disregarding legal and moral obligations—whether with respect to treaty obligations, or business ventures, or commitments to send gas and oil through pipelines without political interference.

  30.  As a new energy superpower, the Kremlin has become accustomed to abusing the advantages of asymmetrical relations, whether with domestic or foreign energy companies. Facing the brinksmanship of a Kremlin fuelled with the confidence of energy revenues, foreign political and business leaders have lacked a strategic response. Now they must more forcefully advocate a principled commitment to the rule of law in Russia, making clear the costs and consequences of the whimsical attitude towards law that is the norm of the current regime.

11 October 2007



 
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