Select Committee on International Relations
Rising nuclear risk, disarmament and the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty
7th Report of Session 2017-19 - published 24 April 2019 - HL Paper 338
Figure 1: Global nuclear weapons inventories, 2018
Chapter 2: The causes of nuclear risk
Multipolarity and inter-state competition
Dual-capable systems and entanglement
Nuclear modernisation and risk
Digital communication, rhetoric and risk
Nuclear doctrine and declaratory policy
Box 1: Nuclear possessor states’ declaratory policies
Figure 2: The UK’s nuclear deterrent
Misinterpretation of doctrine and miscalculation
Chapter 3: The NPT and the wider non-proliferation regime
Box 2: Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons
Figure 3: Estimated global nuclear warhead inventories, 1945–2018
Nuclear modernisation programmes
Nuclear possessor states outside the NPT
A Middle East Weapons of Mass Destruction-Free Zone
Figure 4: Nuclear-weapon-free zones
The history of a Middle East Weapons of Mass Destruction-Free Zone
The reasons for failure to agree a WMD-Free Zone
Dissatisfaction of Non-Nuclear Weapon States
The Humanitarian Impacts initiative
The Treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons (the Ban Treaty)
Box 5: The Treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons (the Ban Treaty)
The negotiation of the Ban Treaty
Box 6: Safeguards in the Ban Treaty
The UK’s approach to the Ban Treaty
Chapter 4: Challenges to non-proliferation and arms control
Box 8: Sanctions on Iran and the Instrument for Supporting Trade Exchanges
Box 9: History of North Korea’s nuclear programme
North Korea, Iran and the wider non-proliferation regime
The Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty
Figure 5: Most recent nuclear tests of the nuclear possessor states
Box 10: The Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty
A fissile material cut-off treaty
Figure 6: Global stockpiles of fissile materials
Box 11: A fissile material cut-off treaty
The Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty
Box 12: Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty
The New Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty
Box 13: New Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty
Box 14: The Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty
Chapter 5: The 2020 NPT Review Conference
The UK’s influence and approach
Challenges and opportunities for the 2020 Review Conference
UK leadership as the chair of the P5 process
The ‘Creating the Environment for Nuclear Disarmament’ initiative
Box 15: The US ‘Creating the Environment for Nuclear Disarmament’ initiative
Summary of conclusions and recommendations